Impact of Cloud Microphysical Processes on the Simulation of Typhoon Rananim near Shore.Part Ⅱ:Typhoon Intensity and Track

The impact of cloud microphysical processes on the simulated intensity and track of Typhoon Rananim is discussed and analyzed in the second part of this study.The results indicate that when the cooling effect due to evaporation of rain water is excluded,the simulated 36-h maximum surface wind speed of Typhoon Rananim is about 7 m s-1 greater than that from all other experiments; however,the typhoon landfall location has the biggest bias of about 150 km against the control experiment.The simulated strong outer rainbands and the vertical shear of the environmental flow are unfavorable for the deepening and maintenance of the typhoon and result in its intensity loss near the landfall.It is the cloud microphysical processes that strengthen and create the outer spiral rainbands,which then increase the local convergence away from the typhoon center and prevent more moisture and energy transport to the inner core of the typhoon.The developed outer rainbands are supposed to bring dry and cold air mass from the middle troposphere to the planetary boundary layer (PBL).The other branch of the cold airflow comes from the evaporation of rain water itself in the PBL while the droplets are falling.Thus,the cut-off of the warm and moist air to the inner core and the invasion of cold and dry air to the eyewall region are expected to bring about the intensity reduction of the modeled typhoon.Therefore,the deepening and maintenance of Typhoon Rananim during its landing are better simulated through the reduction of these two kinds of model errors.     

Impacts of land surface on climate of july and onset of summer monsoon: a study with an agcm plus ssib

To get more insight into the impacts of land surface processes on climate, a simplified biosphere model (SSiB) developed by Sellers and Xue et al. is implemented into the LASG / IAP spectral climate AGCM (R15L9). The new model has been integrated for more than twenty years. The diagnoses of the integration show that the implementing of the land surface processes has greatly improved the simulation of July climate. It is also shown that the seasonal variations of land surface characteristics have great impacts on the onset of summer monsoon, especially the seasonal march of wind at 850 hPa and precipitation over the regions of summer monsoon.     

NUMERICAL SIMULATION ON THE RESPONSE OF LAND SURFACE TO SEVERE WEATHER

A coupled model of RAMS3b(Regional Atmospheric Modeling System,Version 3b)andLSPM(a land surface process model),in which some basic hydrological processes such asprecipitation,evapotranspiration.surface runoff,infiltration and bottom drainage are included,has been established.With the coupled model,we have simulated the response of soil to the severeweather process which caused the disastrous flood in north italy during 4-7.November,1994,simultaneously compared with the observation and the original RAMS3b,which has a soil andvegetation parameterization scheme(hereafter,SVP)emphasizing on the surface energy fluxes,while some hydrological processes in the soil are not described clearly.The results show that the differences between coupling LSPM and SVP exist mainly in theresponse of soil to the precipitation.The soil in the SVP never saturates under the strong input ofprecipitation,while the newly coupled model seems better,the soil has been saturated for one dayor more and causes strong surface runoff,which constitutes the flood.Further sensitivityexperiments show that the surface hydrological processes are very sensitive to the initial soilmoisture and soil type when we compared the results with a relatively dry case and sandy soil.The coupled model has potentiality for simulation on the interaction between regional climateand land surface hydrological processes,and the regional water resources research concerningdesertification,drought and flood.     

模式误差动力特征：模式参数误差和物理过程描绘缺失误差

模式变最初始场误差和模式误差都是制约数值天气预报准确性提高的重要因素,传统数值预报和变分同化均忽略模式误差的影响.随着研究的深入,关于模式误差对数值预报影响的研究显得尤为重要.本文从非线性动力方程出发,推导出在模式存在参数误差和物理过程描绘缺失误差情况下的模式预报误差演变方程及短时间内误差平方均值近似表达式,并利用Li...     

Seasonal to interannual climate predictability in mid and high northern latitudes in a global coupled model

The upper limit of climate predictability in mid and high northern latitudes on seasonal to interannual time scales is investigated by performing two perfect ensemble experiments with the global coupled atmosphere–ocean–sea ice model ECHAM5/MPI-OM. The ensembles consist of six members and are initialized in January and July from different years of the model’s 300-year control integration. The potential prognostic predictability is analyzed for a set of oceanic and atmospheric climate parameters. The predictability of the atmospheric circulation is small except for southeastern Europe, parts of North America and the North Pacific, where significant predictability occurs with a lead time of up to half a year. The predictability of 2 m air temperature shows a large land–sea contrast with highest predictabilities over the sub polar North Atlantic and North Pacific. A combination of relatively high persistence and advection of sea surface temperature anomalies into these areas leads to large predictability. Air temperature over Europe, parts of North America and Asia shows significant predictability of up to half a year in advance. Over the ice-covered Arctic, air temperature is not predictable at time scales exceeding 2 months. Sea ice thickness is highly predictable in the central Arctic mainly due to persistence and in the Labrador Sea due to dynamics. Surface salinity is highly predictable in the Arctic Ocean, northern North Atlantic and North Pacific for several years in advance. We compare the results to the predictability due to persistence and show the importance of dynamical processes for the predictability.     

福建省上杭-大田地区中生代成岩成矿作用与构造环境演化

本文所研究的四个中生代花岗岩体具不同的同位素年代:汤泉岩体为183～158Ma,紫金山岩体为157-145Ma。才溪岩体为133Ma,四方岩体为108～105Ma,汤泉和紫金山岩体分别属于早中生代中、晚侏罗世,才溪和四方岩体时代为晚中生代早白垩世。汤泉和四方岩体为A/CNK<1.0的准铝质花岗岩类,因富Ba、Sr,贫HREE、Y、Yb而具埃达克岩地球化学特征,是最具铜矿成矿潜力的含矿母岩;紫金山花岗岩体为A/CNK>1.1的强过铝花岗岩,并富K、Rb、Th、Y、HREE,贫Sr、Ba、Ti,具地壳泥质岩石熔融的特征。才溪岩体为A/CNK1.0～1.1的弱过铝花岗岩,其元素地球化学特征介于四方岩体和紫金山岩体之间。富Na2O的汤泉岩体是地幔起源的基性岩浆底侵作用,促使加厚的元古代下地壳基性岩石部分熔融所形成,是铜、铁多金属矿床成矿系列的主要含矿母岩;富K2O的四方岩体是地幔起源的富钾基性岩浆与中下地壳物质部分熔融形成的花岗质混合岩浆,使岩浆中的K2O含量增高,并从地幔中获取大量铜及其它金属和硫,而成为斑岩型铜金多金属矿床成矿系列的主要含矿母岩。研究区自早-中侏罗世(180Ma)以来已有岩石圈伸展的岩石学记录。紫金山强过铝花岗岩是这种伸展机制延续的结果。随时间推移,岩石圈伸展减薄作用和底侵作用增强,地幔组分在花岗质岩浆的形成过程中贡献     

地幔流体及其成矿作用

地幔流体及其成矿作用的研究是当前地学界倍受关注的前沿课题。地幔流体是一种以CO2和H2 O为主、同时含有一定量的溶质成分、相对富集大离子等不相容元素的超临界流体 ,具有独特的溶解和输运能力 ,主要来源于俯冲板块的脱水、脱气作用和地核及地幔脱气作用。地幔流体在许多大型—超大型金属、非金属、油气矿床和矿集区形成过程中具有重要意义。地幔流体成矿作用主要表现为本身成矿、提供成矿物质、成矿流体和成矿热动力。地质构造背景、岩浆活动、矿床地质、矿床地球化学等方面的研究均可提供地幔流体成矿作用的证据。地幔流体成矿作用的主要特征是矿床具有深大断裂构造背景、伴随幔源岩浆活动、成矿物质和成矿流体具有幔源性、往往形成大型—超大型矿床和矿集区     

Stochastic models in hydrology

A stochastic approach to the analysis of hydrologic processes is defined along with a discussion of causes of tendency, periodicity and stochasticity in hydrologic series. Sources of temporal non-stationarity are described along with objectives and methods of analysis of processes and, in general, of information extraction from data. Transferred information as measured by correlation coefficients is compared with the transferable information as measured by entropy coefficients. Various multivariate approaches to hydrologic stochastic modeling are classified in light of complexities of spatial/temporal hydrologic processes. Alternatives of time series structural decomposition and modeling are compared. A special approach to modeling of space properties further contributes to approximate simulations of spatial/temporal processes over large areas. Several aspects of stochastic models in hydrology are concisely reviewed.     

郯庐断裂带晚第三纪以来的浅部挤压活动与深部过程

郯庐断裂带晚第三纪以来持续遭受着挤压 ,使前期大规模的断陷盆地抬升、消亡 ,近代还是中国东部最大的地震活动带。断裂带所遭受的近WE向的挤压 ,是西太平洋弧后扩张和印度板块向北碰撞中的构造挤出作用产生的区域动力。断裂带在新生代挤压活动中切入上地幔 ,出现了地幔剪切、地幔交代、部分熔融等深部过程 ,最终形成了挤压背景下的陆内断裂带大规模的玄武岩喷发     

Origin of the Pegmatitic Pyroxenite in the Merensky Unit, Bushveld Complex, South Africa

The genesis of the pegmatitic pyroxenite that often forms thebase of the Merensky Unit in the Bushveld Complex is re-examined.Large (>1 cm) orthopyroxene grains contain tricuspidate inclusionsof plagioclase, and chains and rings of chromite grains, whichare interpreted to have grown by reaction between small, primaryorthopyroxene grains and superheated liquid. This superheatedliquid may have been an added magma or be due to a pressurereduction as a result of lateral expansion of the chamber. Therewould then have been a period of non-accumulation of grains,permitting prolonged interaction with the crystal mush at thecrystal–liquid interface. Crystal ageing and grain enlargementof original orthopyroxene grains would ensue. Only after thepegmatitic pyroxenite had developed did another layer of chromiteand pyroxenite, with normal grain size, accumulate above it.Immiscible sulphide liquids formed with the second pyroxenite,but percolated down as a result of their density contrast, evenas far as the footwall anorthosite in some cases. Whole-rockabundances of incompatible trace elements in the pegmatiticpyroxenite are comparable with or lower than those of the overlyingpyroxenite, and so there is no evidence for addition and/ortrapping of large proportions of interstitial liquid, or ofan incompatible-element enriched liquid or fluid in the productionof the pegmatitic rock. Because of the coarse-grained natureof the rock, modal analysis, especially for minor minerals,is unreliable. Annealing has destroyed primary textures, suchthat petrographic studies should not be used in isolation todistinguish cumulus and intercumulus components. Geochemicaldata suggest that the Merensky pyroxenite (both pegmatitic andnon-pegmatitic) typically consists of about 70–80% cumulusorthopyroxene and 10–20% cumulus plagioclase, with a further10% of intercumulus minerals, and could be considered to bea heteradcumulate. KEY WORDS: Bushveld Complex; Merensky Reef; pegmatitic textures; cumulate processes; heteradcumulates; recrystallization; incompatible trace elements