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寇新建 《大地测量与地球动力学》1994,(3)
由于观测条件的变化,观测值方差将产生随机波动。本文根据Bayes估计理论,推导了线性模型待估参数的分布函数及观测值方差估计公式,并将其用于位移检验。计算结果表明,在同样的置信度下,本方法更符合实际。文中还对参数估值的统计性质进行了讨论。 相似文献
3.
Qin Chengzhi 《中国地震研究》2004,18(2):178-187
The migration of strong earthquakes is an important research topic because the migration phenomena reflect partly the seismic mechanism and involve the prediction of tendency of seismic activity. Research on migration of strong earthquakes has mostly focused on finding the phenomena. Some attempts on getting regularity were comparatively subjective. This paper suggests that there should be indices of migration in earthquake dataset and the indexes should have statistical meaning if there is regularity in the migration of strong earthquakes. In this study, three derivative attributes of migration, i.e., migration orientation, migration distance and migration time interval, were statistically analyzed. Results in the North China region show that the migration of strong earthquakes has statistical meaning. There is a dominant migration orientation (W by S to E by N), a dominant distance (≤100km and on the confines of 300~700km), and a dominant time interval (≤1a and on the confines of 3~4a). The results also show that the migration will differ slightly with different magnitude range or earthquake activity phase. 相似文献
4.
本文查阅了从1973-1985,13年的历史资料,对石臼港沿岸波浪场进行了详细的分类、统计分析和计算,提出了各类较强天气系统影响石(即指石臼港)的极端区域,同时获得了石港沿岸各类天气系统影响下的波浪分布特点以及波高计算式,为保障石港的生产及港口建设为石港的波了提供了有益的分析数据和预报手段。 相似文献
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Researchers’ fame in most scientific fields is closely linked to their publishing capacity, both in terms of quantity and quality. In GIScience, as in other fields, this situation demands that the researcher evaluate and to be very familiar with the scientific journals in which they could publish. Some specialized journals (e.g. Journal of Citation Reports or JCR) are devoted to ranking these reviews according to various methods and criteria. Compared to other scientific communities, GIScience is relatively new and constantly evolving. Therefore, the journals of this field do not benefit from any real formal ranking yet. The objective of this paper is to present the process and results of a study aimed at addressing this gap. More specifically, the challenge is to elaborate an importance ranking of the scientific journals in the field of GIScience. To do so, both a qualitative (Delphi study carried out with 40 international experts) and a quantitative (JCR impact factor) approach has been implemented. This triangulation method leads to an early global ranking of the journals of this field. 相似文献
7.
区域地下水信息管理系统研究 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
本文通过《河南省地下水动态信息管理系统》的建立,讨论了区域地下水信息管理系统的设计目标,数据结构和软件实现,着重介绍了系统的软件设计特点,最后指出了这种管理系统在水文地质部门中具有广泛的应用前景。 相似文献
8.
Daniel H. Doctor E. Calvin Alexander Jr Metka Petrič Janja Kogovšek Janko Urbanc Sonja Lojen Willibald Stichler 《Hydrogeology Journal》2006,14(7):1171-1191
Karst aquifer components that contribute to the discharge of a water supply well in the Classical Karst (Kras) region (Italy/Slovenia) were quantitatively estimated during storm events. Results show that water released from storage within the epikarst may comprise as much as two-thirds of conduit flow in a karst aquifer following rainfall. Principal components analysis (PCA) and end-member mixing analysis (EMMA) were performed using major ion chemistry and the stable isotopes of water (δ18O, δ2H) and of dissolved inorganic carbon (δ13CDIC) to estimate mixing proportions among three sources: (1) allogenic river recharge, (2) autogenic recharge, and (3) an anthropogenic component stored within the epikarst. The sinking river most influences the chemical composition of the water-supply well under low-flow conditions; however, this proportion changes rapidly during recharge events. Autogenic recharge water, released from shallow storage in the epikarst, displaces the river water and is observed at the well within hours after the onset of precipitation. The autogenic recharge end member is the second largest component of the well chemistry, and its contribution increases with higher flow. An anthropogenic component derived from epikarstic storage also impacts the well under conditions of elevated hydraulic head, accounting for the majority of the chemical response at the well during the wettest conditions. 相似文献
9.
地下水监测研究工作现状分析及对策 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
地下水监测研究工作是一项基础性工作,它为水资源管理提供重要依据.本文通过对凤翔县地下水监测研究工作现状进行分析,并针对存在的问题提出了具体对策. 相似文献
10.
当代气候研究计划 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
李崇银 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2002,25(5):1-4
就气候系统问题,国际上与气候及其变化有关的重要科学计划、尤其是气候变化及可预报性研究(CLIVAR)计划,作了简要介绍,同时还就气候预测问题作了讨论。 相似文献