Beta Gyres in Global Analysis Fields

A three-component decomposition is applied to global analysis data to show the existence of a beta gyre, which causes Tropical Cyclone (TC) to drift from a large-scale environmental steering current. Analyses from the Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) of the Korea Meteorological Adminis-tration (KMA), the Global Forecast System (GFS) of NCEP, and the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) are used in this study. The structure of the beta gyre obtained in our anal...     

数值预报同化系统中观测资料误差分析

在观测资料同化系统中,观测误差均方差与背景场误差均方差共同决定着观测信息与背景场信息的相对重要性以及这些信息在空间及不同变量间的扩展方式,故在资料同化系统中起到决定性作用.因此,观测误差均方差的合理估计是非常重要的.采用贝塞尔函数拟合方法,从探空观测资料与背景场的偏差(IV)协方差中分离出探空资料的观测误差均方差与模式的背景场误差均方差;再从其他观测资料偏差协方差中扣除背景场误差均方差来估计其它观测误差均方差.观测误差均方差分析使用2006年8月1-31日观测资料,国家气象中心T213L31全球中期分析预报系统的6小时预报作为背景场.结果显示估计的观测误差均方差是比较合理的.     

灰色理论在地球物理勘探开发中的应用综述

简要介绍了灰色理论的基本原理及灰关联分析、灰色聚类、灰色预测、灰色建模四种基本方法.通过回顾灰色理论的发展历程及研究现状,以及灰色理论在地震解释、地质评价、测井解释三方面应用研究的最新进展,指出灰色理论的发展趋势和方向.随着油田勘探开发进程的不断深入,灰色理论将受到越来越广泛的重视,在油气的勘探开发中所发挥的作用将越来越明显.     

基于位移的高桩码头抗震设计动力放大系数计算公式

为更加合理地计算基于位移的高桩码头抗震设计动力放大系数,采用40组地震动记录研究了双向水平地震作用下的码头动力放大系数。研究表明,码头的偏心距和分段长度以及地震波的入射角度对动力放大系数影响较大,地震动强度和近断层效应的影响可近似予以忽略。基于对动力放大系数计算结果的统计分析,提出了相应的计算公式,并确定了动力放大系数的变异系数和概率分布。     

2D numerical investigation of segmental tunnel lining under seismic loading

Segmental tunnel linings are now often used for seismic areas. However, the influence of segment joints on the segmental lining behavior under seismic loading has not been thoroughly considered in the literature. This paper presents a numerical study, which has been performed under seismic circumstance, to investigate the factors that affect segmental tunnel lining behavior. Analyses have been carried out using a two-dimensional finite difference element model. The proposed model allows studying the effect of the rotational joint stiffness, radial stiffness and the axial stiffness of the longitudinal joints. The numerical results show that a segmental lining can perform better than a continuous lining during earthquake. It has been seen that the influence of the joint distribution, the joint rotational stiffness, the joint axial stiffness, Young׳s modulus of the ground surrounding the tunnel, the lateral earth pressure factor and the maximum shear strain should not be neglected. Some important differences of the segmental tunnel lining behavior under static and seismic conditions have been highlighted.     

中国内陆河流域植被对气候变化的敏感性差异(英文)

Terrestrial ecosystem and climate system are closely related to each other. Faced with the unavoidable global climate change, it is important to investigate terrestrial ecosystem responding to climate change. In inland river basin of arid and semi-arid regions in China, sensitivity difference of vegetation responding to climate change from 1998 to 2007 was analyzed in this paper. (1) Differences in the global spatio-temporal distribution of vegetation and climate are obvious. The vegetation change shows a slight degradation in this whole region. Degradation is more obvious in densely vegetated areas. Temperature shows a gen-eral downward trend with a linear trend coefficient of -1.1467. Conversely, precipitation shows an increasing trend with a linear trend coefficient of 0.3896. (2) About the central tendency response, there are similar features in spatial distribution of both NDVI responding to precipitation (NDVI-P) and NDVI responding to AI (NDVI-AI), which are contrary to that of NDVI responding to air temperature (NDVI-T). Typical sensitivity region of NDVI-P and NDVI-AI mainly covers the northern temperate arid steppe and the northern temperate desert steppe. NDVI-T typical sensitivity region mainly covers the northern temperate desert steppe. (3) Regarding the fluctuation amplitude response, NDVI-T is dominated by the lower sensi-tivity, typical regions of the warm temperate shrubby, selui-shrubby, bare extreme dry desert, and northern temperate meadow steppe in the east and temperate semi-shrubby, dwarf ar-boreous desert in the north are high response. (4) Fluctuation amplitude responses between NDVI-P and NDVI-AI present a similar spatial distribution. The typical sensitivity region mainly covers the northern temperate desert steppe. There are various linear change trend re-sponses of NDVI-T, NDVI-P and NDVI-AI. As to the NDVI-T and NDVI-AI, which are influ-enced by the boundary effect of semi-arid and semi-humid climate zones, there is less cor-relation of their linear change tendency along the border. There is stronger correlation in other regions, especially in the NDVI-T in the northern temperate desert steppe and NDVI-AI in the warm temperate shrubby, selui-shrubby, bare, extreme and dry desert.     

贵州省瓮福磷肥厂磷石膏渣场大坝稳定性分析

在生产实践中,人们已经越来越清楚地认识到,尾矿库对矿山正常生产具有举足轻重的作用。瓮福磷石膏渣场是我国第一家引进美国技术进行治理与运行的项目,在安全、环保等方面具有示范作用。本文采用瑞典条分法对引进技术后渣场现状大坝的稳定性进行了分析并得出相应结论。     

A Hybrid Neural Network Model for ENSO Prediction in Combination with Principal Oscillation Pattern Analyses

El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)can be currently predicted reasonably well six months and longer,but large biases and uncertainties remain in its real-time prediction.Various approaches have been taken to improve understanding of ENSO processes,and different models for ENSO predictions have been developed,including linear statistical models based on principal oscillation pattern(POP)analyses,convolutional neural networks(CNNs),and so on.Here,we develop a novel hybrid model,named as POP-Net,by combining the POP analysis procedure with CNN-long short-term memory(LSTM)algorithm to predict the Ni?o-3.4 sea surface temperature(SST)index.ENSO predictions are compared with each other from the corresponding three models:POP model,CNN-LSTM model,and POP-Net,respectively.The POP-based pre-processing acts to enhance ENSO-related signals of interest while filtering unrelated noise.Consequently,an improved prediction is achieved in the POP-Net relative to others.The POP-Net shows a high-correlation skill for 17-month lead time prediction(correlation coefficients exceeding 0.5)during the 1994-2020 validation period.The POP-Net also alleviates the spring predictability barrier(SPB).It is concluded that value-added artificial neural networks for improved ENSO predictions are possible by including the process-oriented analyses to enhance signal representations.     

Isotopic (C–O–S) geochemistry and Re–Os geochronology of the Haobugao Zn–Fe deposit in Inner Mongolia,NE China

The Haobugao Zn–Fe deposit is a typical skarn deposit located in the southern part of the Great Xing’an Range that hosts polymetallic mineralization over a large region. The main ore minerals at the deposit include sphalerite, magnetite, galena, chalcopyrite and pyrite, and the main gangue minerals include andradite, grossular garnet, hedenbergite, diopside, ilvaite, calcite and quartz. There are broadly two mineralizing periods represented by the relatively older skarn and younger quartz–sulfide veins. In detail, there are five metallogenic stages consisting of an early skarn, late skarn, oxide, early quartz–sulfide, and late quartz–sulfide–calcite stages. Electron microprobe analyses show that the garnet at the deposit varies in composition from And_97.95Gro_0.41Pyr_1.64 to And_30.69Gro_66.69Pyr_2.63, and pyroxene is compositionally in the diopside–hedenbergite range (i.e. Di_90.63Hd_8.00Jo_1.37–Hd_88.98Di_4.53Jo_6.49). Petrographic observations and electron microprobe analyses indicate that the sphalerite has three generations ([Zn_0.93Fe_0.08]S–[Zn_0.75Fe_0.24]S). The Zn associated with the first generation sphalerite replaced Cu and Fe of early xenomorphic granular chalcopyrite (i.e. [Cu_1.01Fe_1.03]S₂–[Cu_0.99Fe_0.99]S₂), and part of the first generation sphalerite is coeval with late chalcopyrite (i.e. [Cu_0.96Fe_0.99Zn_0.03]S₂–[Cu_1.00Fe_1.03Zn_0.01]S₂). Magnetite has a noticeable negative Ce anomaly (δCe = ∼0.17 to 0.54), which might be a result of the oxidized ore-fluid. Thirty δ³⁴S_V-PDB analyses of sulfides from the ore range from −2.3 to −0.1‰ in value, which are indicative of a magmatic source. The δ¹³C‰ and δ¹⁸O‰ values for calcite from the ore formed at quartz–sulfide–calcite stage vary from −9.9 to −5.5‰ and from −4.2 to 1.1‰, respectively, contrasting with δ¹³C‰ (2.9–4.8‰) and δ¹⁸O‰ (9.8–13.9‰) values for calcite from marble. It is suggested that the ore-forming fluid associated with late stage of mineralization was predominantly magmatic in origin with some input of local meteoric water.Molybdenite from the Haobugao deposit defines an isochron age of 142 ± 1 Ma, which is interpreted as the mineralization age being synchronous, within error, with the zircon U–Pb ages of 140 ± 1, 141 ± 2, and 141 ± 1 Ma for granite at the deposit. These data and characteristics of lithology and mineralization further show that the Zn–Fe mineralization is temporally and spatially related to the emplacement of granite in an extensional tectonic setting during the Mesozoic.     

上地幔不相容元素的显交代作用

通过矿物微区成分和图象分析，研究了在金伯利岩中发现的多种氧化物矿物的成分、结构特点及其相互关系．指出富含硅酸盐不相容元素的地幔流体交代、熔融先期形成的矿物以及充填作用，形成了近年来我国和南非金伯利岩中发现的多种新矿物相，包括沂蒙矿系列、蒙山矿系列、Ｋ－Ｃｒ柱红石、阿玛科矿、Ｚｒ－Ｔｉ氧化物（锆钛矿）、ＲＥＥ－Ｔｉ氧化物（铈钛矿）等．这些新矿物高度富集了Ｋ，Ｂａ，Ｃａ，Ｓｒ，Ｔｉ，Ｚｒ，ＲＥＥ等不相容元素．研究表明不相容元素的显交代作用可分早、中、晚３个阶段，各阶段不相容元素的富集程度、温压条件及流体的动力学特征等既有明显的差异性，又有一定的继承性