Oil dispersal modelling: reanalysis of the Rena oil spill using open-source modelling tools

ABSTRACT

Oil spill forecast modelling is typically used immediately after a spill to predict oil dispersal and promote mobilisation of more effective response operations. The aim of this work was to map oil dispersal after the grounding of the MV Rena on Astrolabe Reef and to verify the results against observations. Model predictions were broadly consistent with observed distribution of oil contamination. However, some hot spots of oil accumulation, likely due to surf-zone and rip current circulation, were not well represented. Additionally, the model was run with 81 differing wind conditions to show that the events occurring during the grounding represented the typical likely behaviour of an oil spill on Astrolabe Reef. Oil dispersal was highly dependent on prevailing wind patterns; more accurate prediction would require better observations of local wind patterns. However, comparison of predictions with observations indicated that the GNOME model was an effective low-cost approach.     

Features and evaluation of sea/saltwater intrusion in southern Laizhou Bay

Understanding the degree of sea/saltwater intrusion in coastal regions is of great significance to treating the intrusion and improving the environment. Based on the character analysis of the sea/saltwater intrusion, five factors were selected in the fuzzy-synthetical evaluation approach to form the index system, so as to evaluate the degree of sea/saltwater intrusion in southern Laizhou Bay. The results show that the sea/saltwater intrusion is stronger in the middle and northern areas and weaker on the sides and in southern area; currently, the intrusion is relatively serious, and the intrusion area has covered about 68.2% of the areas under study, among which the heavily intruded area is over 50%. Based on the factors analysis of the occurrence and development of sea/saltwater intrusion, the thesis proposes treatment measures.     

泉州湾围海工程对海洋环境的影响

采用现场调查资料与历史资料对比的方法,从海岸和海底地貌、水环境质量、海洋生物种类和群落结构等几方面分析了近几十年来福建泉州湾围海工程的环境效应.结果表明,围海工程促进了海滩的淤浅,减小了内湾的纳潮量和环境容量,使得泉州湾内湾水质恶化;其最终后果为围海工程附近海区生物种类多样性普遍降低,优势种和群落结构发生改变.     

乐清湾水交换特征研究

采用EFDC模式模拟研究了乐清湾水交换的三维过程和时空变化特征,并通过计算水示踪剂质量浓度分析水体置换过程。结果表明,乐清湾水交换主要是由鹿西岛两侧流入的外海水体与湾内水体的交换,以及乐清湾口门西侧附近的湾内水体与瓯江北口径流冲淡水之间的交换。从口门到湾顶,水交换能力差别较大。以最窄的连屿至打水山断面为界,以南水体1个月基本可以完全交换,而以北水体2个月后仍然无法交换至湾口水平。连屿至打水山断面以北地形复杂,岛屿较多,污染物主要通过岛屿间的潮汐汊道输运,断面的瓶颈效应也使得断面以北的水体交换能力稍弱。在口门附近90%以上的水体被外海置换所需时间不到5 d,而此时湾顶水质未有太大改变;15 d左右,80%湾内水体被外海水置换;90%湾内水体被置换仅需40 d;70 d时的水体置换率达97%。     

三门湾海域环境质量现状评价与分析

根据2009年2月对三门湾海域的环境质量调查结果,结合海洋环境功能区划对该海域环境质量现状进行了评价与分析;并综合分析了水质中富营养化程度,沉积物中重金属的富集程度及潜在生态危害效应。结果表明:该海域水质除无机氮和Hg外其他环境因子基本符合功能区相应的海水水质标准,水质状况尚好。61.5%站位的富营养化指数大于1,表明该海区富营养化程度较高;该海域沉积物除少数站位的Cu、Cr外,其他环境因子的含量均达标,底质环境状况良好。各站位潜在生态危害系数均远小于150,说明三门湾海域沉积物中重金属的潜在生态危害属于轻微危害范围。     

海洋沉积物重金属生态风险评价方法比较及实例验证——以莱州湾为例

利用2016年8月份莱州湾沉积物中Hg、Cd、Pb、Cu、As、Cr、Zn监测数据,分别利用单因子污染指数法、潜在生态风险指数法、地积累指数法、沉积物质量基准法、尼梅罗综合指数法、污染负荷指数法等6种沉积物重金属风险评价方法进行评价,以比较沉积物重金属生态风险评估方法的适用性与局限性。结果表明,莱州湾表层沉积物中,重金属Hg、Cd、Pb、Cu、As、Cr和Zn含量分别为0.077 4 mg/kg、0.169 mg/kg、12.1 mg/kg、11.9 mg/kg、11.6 mg/kg、31.1 mg/kg、45.3 mg/kg。不同方法在莱州湾沉积物风险评价结果上存在差异。单因素评价方法中,单因子污染指数法、潜在生态危害指数法、尼梅罗综合指数法的评价结果适中,地累积指数法评价结果偏轻,沉积物质量基准法评价结果偏重。Hg、As、Cd元素的污染评价结果均较大,为主要的污染元素;综合因素评价方法中,污染负荷指数法评价结果风险偏轻,潜在生态危害指数法评价结果适中,内梅罗综合指数法评价结果则倾向偏重。沉积物重金属含量与底栖生物的丰度、生物量的pearson相关系数表明,Hg与底栖生物的生物量呈现显著负相关。6种方法都有自身优缺点和适用范围,但潜在生态危害指数法更适合莱州湾沉积物重金属风险评价。     

乐清湾的动力沉积过程

主要采用二维潮波、泥沙输运途径的数值模拟，定量地展示了泥沙在乐清湾内的输运途径和沉降过程。模拟结果表明，乐清湾大致以10m等深线为界，其东部的涨潮流主要来自玉环岛与横趾山之间的深槽；水流在一周日内的轨迹为一宽约1km的狭带；此流态有利于泥沙向南的净输运，从面明利于此海域深水航道的维持。10m等深线以西水流轨迹为一较宽的带状结构，有利于泥沙向西、西北的净输运。华歧潮滩附近水流运动轨迹得于泥沙向北、向西的净输运，从而有利于华歧潮滩的发育。本文还定性讨论了楚门潮滩特征的成因,主要是漩门口堵截前丰富的湾外泥沙以及驻波型潮波与漏斗状地形。     

Late quaternary seismic stratigraphy and active faults of the Gulf of İzmit (NE Marmara Sea)

The Upper Quaternary seismic stratigraphy and active faults of the Gulf of İzmit were investigated by means of high-resolution shallow seismic profiling data in the source region of 1999 İzmit earthquake. High-resolution seismic reflection data correlated with borehole data indicate that the stratigraphy of İzmit Bay consists of three distinct depositional sequences formed in response to middle Pleistocene-Holocene sea-level changes. Reflector R, separating the pre-Holocene sequences (1 and 2) from the Holocene sequence (3), represents an erosional unconformity produced by the subaerial fluvial erosion of the continental shelves at the time of the last glacial maximum. Occasional, anomalous reflections (acoustic turbidity) observed within the Holocene sequence are interpreted as gas accumulations. The maximum thickness of the Holocene sediments is found to be about 25 m. The isopach map of Holocene sediment implies that the thickness of the Holocene decreases from the east towards the central and western basins of İzmit Bay. Two distinct fault systems are interpreted in İzmit Bay. The main fault system extending roughly in an E-W direction along the Gulf of İzmit is an active right lateral strike slip fault with a normal component. The secondary faults are normal faults striking in different directions and these are identified as being both active and inactive. In addition, prominent compressive features are identified in the seismic cross-sections of some profiles acquired to the east of Hersek Peninsula where the focal mechanisms of the aftershocks of the 1999 İzmit earthquake also reveal predominantly reverse faulting mechanisms, as identified by a local dense seismic network.     

莱州湾东部滨海水域第四纪沉积及古地理特征

本文通过对６个钻孔和４６１ｋｍ浅层地震剖机测量获得的测年、微古、孢粉、藻类、古地磁以及岩持征和地震反射界面等资料的综合分析，将本区第四系划分为中更新统、上更新统和全新统，对各时期的沉积进行了较详细的阐述，并对不同时期的沉积相特征和古地理环境的变化进行了初步地揭示。     

三门湾秋季浮游植物现存量和初级生产力

对1987年9月浙江三门湾海区浮游植物细胞丰度、叶绿素a浓度和初级生产力的分布特征及其与环境的关系进行了研究。结果表明,调查海区的浮游植物细胞丰度、叶绿素a浓度和初级生产力均具有明显的空间区域性分布特征。叶绿素a浓度高值区位于三门湾顶部和健跳港口,从湾顶部往湾口海区方向,叶绿素a浓度逐渐下降。初级生产力的分布趋势与叶绿素a浓度的分布趋势一致。表层水浮游植物平均细胞丰度为(3.36±1.39)×103个/dm3,表、底层平均叶绿素a浓度分别为(1.47±0.42)μg/dm3和(1.12±0.19)μg/dm3,平均初级生产力为(36.0±29.5)mg/(m2·d)。