全文获取类型
收费全文 | 1035篇 |
免费 | 267篇 |
国内免费 | 29篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 12篇 |
大气科学 | 15篇 |
地球物理 | 872篇 |
地质学 | 218篇 |
海洋学 | 81篇 |
天文学 | 6篇 |
综合类 | 11篇 |
自然地理 | 116篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 13篇 |
2023年 | 5篇 |
2022年 | 7篇 |
2021年 | 63篇 |
2020年 | 83篇 |
2019年 | 35篇 |
2018年 | 53篇 |
2017年 | 51篇 |
2016年 | 48篇 |
2015年 | 49篇 |
2014年 | 62篇 |
2013年 | 117篇 |
2012年 | 38篇 |
2011年 | 41篇 |
2010年 | 42篇 |
2009年 | 32篇 |
2008年 | 74篇 |
2007年 | 54篇 |
2006年 | 63篇 |
2005年 | 32篇 |
2004年 | 37篇 |
2003年 | 39篇 |
2002年 | 40篇 |
2001年 | 22篇 |
2000年 | 38篇 |
1999年 | 25篇 |
1998年 | 25篇 |
1997年 | 26篇 |
1996年 | 28篇 |
1995年 | 8篇 |
1994年 | 11篇 |
1993年 | 12篇 |
1992年 | 12篇 |
1991年 | 4篇 |
1990年 | 9篇 |
1989年 | 6篇 |
1988年 | 3篇 |
1987年 | 8篇 |
1986年 | 1篇 |
1985年 | 4篇 |
1984年 | 2篇 |
1982年 | 1篇 |
1980年 | 1篇 |
1979年 | 1篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
1976年 | 2篇 |
1973年 | 1篇 |
1971年 | 2篇 |
排序方式: 共有1331条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
821.
David Love Stefan Uhlenbrook Gerald Corzo-Perez Steve Twomlow Pieter van der Zaag 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(5):687-703
Abstract Two types of monthly water balance models at basin scale are used: PE models use precipitation and potential evapotranspiration (PET) as their observed input data, whereas P models need only precipitation. Calibration proceeds by comparing model runoff and observed runoff. Calibration is entirely automatic with the exclusion of subjective elements. All models differ only by their actual evapotranspiration equations. PE models from previous papers are generalized essentially by replacing the constant evapotranspiration parameter by a periodic one, thus increasing the number of parameters by two (a “parameter” is an unknown constant to be estimated, and which is a characteristic of the river basin to be described). P models use a periodic “driving force”, which is intended to represent periodicity of hydrological phenomena, normally originating in the (unavailable) PET time series. These eight PE models and three P models are then applied to 55 river basins in 10 countries with widely diverging climates and soil conditions. A marked improvement of model performance in about one third of the basins is due to the introduction of the above mentioned periodic functions. Even when PET data are available it is sometimes useful to consider P models. P models scarcely perform less well than PE models. An engineer, wanting to try out as few models as possible on a given river basin, can restrict his attention to the optimization of two or three models. The paper is an extension of a long effort towards monthly water balance models, and is believed to give a solution in most circumstances. 相似文献
822.
《水文科学杂志》2013,58(6):1163-1176
AbstractAn area of rainforest in Trinidad (10°N, 61°W) is remarkably rich in biodiversity, and receives the highest amount of rainfall in the island due to its orography and the dominant northeast trade winds. However, a year-round transfer of water from its pristine rivers is likely in the future, with ecological consequences. The results of a pilot study are presented, based on a simple, and graphical, segment-scale multi-objective methodology for the estimation of the optimal instream flow of the 13 rivers in this area. This methodology is based on a dimensionless ecohydrological factor, Δ, which enables the required hydraulic mean depth at a river cross-section to be expressed in terms of the average species length at maturity for a target group of amphibians, birds, fish, mammals and reptiles. Moreover, the methodology considers the socio-economic cost of ecological degradation brought about by streamflow abstraction, as well as the economic benefit of the same. An example illustrates the estimation of optimal instream flow for a value of Δ and, thereby, the corresponding optimal river intake operating rule, based on the hydraulic characteristics of a 0.1 km segment of one of the rivers, for the 20-year average dry (January—May) and wet (June–December) seasons. The limitations of the pilot study, and areas for further research, are also highlighted with a hope that it will ultimately evolve into a decision-making tool for water resources management. 相似文献
823.
《水文科学杂志》2013,58(6):1151-1164
Abstract Terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET) plays an important role in determining water and heat balances in the water cycle between the land surface and the atmosphere. In the present research a dynamic approach is developed to simulate actual ET distribution for large-scale spatial and temporal scales based on an integration of meteorological and hydrological methods. The method developed has been used to examine the impacts of climate change, complex land cover features, and soil moisture on actual ET. The distribution characteristics of actual ET demonstrate that ET in eastern China is greater than that in western China, and that ET is greater in low-latitude regions of China than in high-latitude regions. Actual monthly and annual ET values in most regions show an increasing tendency from the year 1991 to 2000, especially in arid and semi-arid regions. The results of the present study also confirm that soil moisture is one of the critical factors that affect regional ET in China. It is demonstrated that the integrated hydrological-meteorological approach is effective for simulating actual ET on large spatial and temporal scales. 相似文献
824.
Demetris Koutsoyiannis 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(6):1177-1197
AbstractSince “panta rhei” was pronounced by Heraclitus, hydrology and the objects it studies, such as rivers and lakes, have offered grounds to observe and understand change and flux. Change occurs on all time scales, from minute to geological, but our limited senses and life span, as well as the short time window of instrumental observations, restrict our perception to the most apparent daily to yearly variations. As a result, our typical modelling practices assume that natural changes are just a short-term “noise” superimposed on the daily and annual cycles in a scene that is static and invariant in the long run. According to this perception, only an exceptional and extraordinary forcing can produce a long-term change. The hydrologist H.E. Hurst, studying the long flow records of the Nile and other geophysical time series, was the first to observe a natural behaviour, named after him, related to multi-scale change, as well as its implications in engineering designs. Essentially, this behaviour manifests that long-term changes are much more frequent and intense than commonly perceived and, simultaneously, that the future states are much more uncertain and unpredictable on long time horizons than implied by standard approaches. Surprisingly, however, the implications of multi-scale change have not been assimilated in geophysical sciences. A change of perspective is thus needed, in which change and uncertainty are essential parts.Editor Z.W. KundzewiczCitation Koutsoyiannis, D., 2013. Hydrology and change. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58 (6), 1177–1197. 相似文献
825.
AbstractA digital elevation model (DEM) derived from a stereo pair of WorldView-2 (WV-2) images was assessed against ground-truth GPS point datasets. Two assessment methods were used: (a) vertical accuracy assessment and (b) hydrological assessment of surface runoff variables. Three agricultural plots with different topographic slopes were selected to perform a vertical accuracy assessment, followed by a comparative assessment of a set of hydrological variables. The results show an overall vertical accuracy of 0.45 m, confirming the potential of WV-2 stereo images to extract elevation information at high spatial resolution. Concerning plot-scale micro-topographic features, the WV-2 DEM performed better on the plot with rolling slopes (5–10%), extracting variables such as the total length and drainage area of flow paths with relative errors lower than 20%. However, some limitations were detected in the extraction of variables such as terrain slope, drainage points of flow paths and terrain depressions in areas of flatter slopes (<5%).
Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz; Associate editor D. Gerten 相似文献
826.
AbstractDifferent sets of parameters and conceptualizations of a basin can give equally good results in terms of predefined objective functions. Therefore, a need exists to tackle equifinality and quantify the uncertainty bands of a model. In this paper we use the concepts of equifinality, identifiability and uncertainty to propose a simple method aimed at constraining the equifinal parameters and reducing the uncertainty bands of model outputs, and obtaining physically possible and reasonable models. Additionally, the uncertainty of equifinal solutions is quantified to estimate the amount by which output uncertainty can be reduced by knowing how to discard most of the equifinal solutions of a model. As a study case, a conceptual model of the Chillán basin in Chile is carried out. From the study it is concluded that using identifiability analysis makes it possible to constrain equifinal solutions with reduced uncertainty and realistic models, resulting in a framework that can be recommended to practitioners, especially due to the simplicity of the method. 相似文献
827.
AbstractIn this paper we consider the problem of modelling the stage–discharge relationship by curve fitting using the least squares method. Our basic idea is to present new models which are more flexible and have the ability to model phenomena with increasing or unchanging carrying capacity. The new models present a generalization of some sigmoid smooth models commonly used in practice. They are characterized by a curvilinear asymptote and may have several inflection points. The use of these models on six real datasets collected from the US Geological Survey’s website proves their performance and their ability to model hydrological phenomena.
Editor D. Koutsoyiannis; Associate editor S. Yue 相似文献
828.
Josip Rubinić 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(10):1908-1924
AbstractVrana Lake in Dalmatia is a karstic kryptodepression connected to the nearby sea through the karstic subsoil and a canal. Due to interactions with the sea, lake water salinity increases greatly during severe dry periods, seriously endangering the ecosystem. Trend analysis (1961–2010) reveals a decrease in precipitation and surface inflow, but an increase in air temperature, and in sea and lake water levels. Lake inflow and water losses are only partially monitored. Average annual inflow from the monitored part of the catchment is 1722 m3 s-1, but total inflow is significantly greater; the average difference between total inflow and cumulative water losses is 3072 m3 s-1. The paper uses modelling to evaluate total inflow into the lake system, taking into consideration projected climate changes/variations till 2100 from the RegCM3 and ALADIN climate models. The analysis indicates marked decrease in discharge values by the end of this century, by as much as 60%.
Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz 相似文献
829.
Matthew K. MacDonald Bruce J. Davison Muluneh A. Mekonnen Alain Pietroniro 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(16):2860-2871
ABSTRACTThe low density of meteorological stations in parts of Canada necessitates using numerical weather prediction (NWP)/assimilation output for hydrological modelling. In this study, comparisons are made of simulated land surface variables when using field observations versus NWP output as forcing for two well-instrumented sites: the mountainous and forested Marmot Creek Basin (MCRB) in the Canadian Rocky Mountains, and a prairie cropland/grassland site (Kenaston). The Canadian Land Surface Scheme 3.6 (CLASS) was used for modelling. The Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model with Canadian Precipitation Analysis (CaPA) was also used as forcing. There was good agreement between observed meteorology and GEM/CaPA, though some deficiencies in GEM/CaPA were identified: the effects of sub-grid topography on incoming radiation and wind speed were not accounted for at MCRB, and CaPA did not capture some convective rainfall events at Kenaston. CLASS simulations using both sets of forcing showed difficulties in simulating snow depth, soil moisture and evapotranspiration; certain difficulties were linked to GEM/CaPA deficiencies and/or CLASS. Both sets of forcing tended to overestimate the duration of snow cover at MCRB, but during different years. With GEM/CaPA as forcing, CLASS overestimated the duration of frozen soils. The GEM/CaPA precipitation difficulties at Kenaston degraded soil moisture simulations.
EDITOR A. Castellarin; ASSOCIATE EDITOR E. Volpi 相似文献
830.
Samuel Beskow Luis Carlos Timm Vitor Emanuel Quevedo Tavares Tamara Leitzke Caldeira Leandro Sanzi Aquino 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(14):2567-2578
ABSTRACTThe objective of this study was to evaluate, based on a data-scarce basin in southern Brazil, the potential of the Lavras Simulation of Hydrology (LASH) model for estimating daily streamflows, annual streamflow indicators and the flow–duration curve. It was also used to simulate the different runoff components and their consistency with the basin physiographical characteristics. The statistical measures indicated that LASH can be considered suitable according to widely used classifications and when compared with other studies involving hydrological models. LASH also showed satisfactory results for annual indicators, especially for maximum and average annual streamflows, as well as for the flow–duration curve. It was found that the model was consistent with the basin characteristics when simulating runoff components. The results obtained in this study allowed us to conclude that the LASH model has the potential to aid practitioners in water resources management of basins with scarce data and similar soil and land-use conditions.
Editor A. Castellarin; Associate editor Y. Gyasi-Agyei 相似文献