电磁成像正演仿真与传感器参数优化设计

应用有限元方法对电磁层析成像测量进行正演模拟,计算不同测量组合下各种典型流型的电势实部和虚部分布,考察电极个数、电极张角以及电极厚度对模拟测量响应的影响,并采用神经网络方法对传感器各结构参数进行优化设计.研究结果表明,介质分布对电势影响起主要作用,其中虚部分布特征更加明显;传感器各参数中电极数目对测量值影响较大,电极张角和电极厚度有一定影响.     

Bootstrap based artificial neural network (BANN) analysis for hierarchical prediction of monthly runoff in Upper Damodar Valley Catchment

Estimation of runoff is a prerequisite for many applications involving conservation and management of water resources. This study is undertaken in the Upper Damodar Valley Catchment (UDVC) having a drainage area of 17513.08 km² for prediction of monthly runoff. Thirty one microwatersheds and 15 sub-watersheds were selected from a total of 716 microwatersheds in the catchment area for this study. The feasibility of using different soil attributes (particle size distribution, organic matter content and apparent density), topographic attributes (primary, secondary and compound), geomorphologic attributes (basin, relief and network indices) and vegetation attribute as Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), on prediction of monthly runoff were explored in this study. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was applied to minimize the data redundancy of the input variables. Ten significant input variables namely; watershed length (km), elongation ratio, bifurcation ratio, area ratio, coarse sand (%), fine sand (%), elevation (m), slope (°), profile curvature (rad/m) and NDVI were selected. The selected input variables were added in hierarchy with monthly rainfall (mm) as inputs for prediction of monthly runoff (mm) using Bootstrap based artificial neural networks (BANN). The performance of the models was tested using Spearman’s correlation coefficient (r), coefficient of efficiency (COE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Best performance was observed for model with monthly rainfall, slope, coarse sand, bifurcation ratio and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) as inputs (r = 0.925 and COE = 0.839). Increase in number of input variables did not necessarily yield better performances of the BANN models. Selection of relevant inputs and their combinations were found to be key elements in determining the performance of BANN models. Annual runoff map was generated for all the microwatersheds utilizing the weights of the best performing BANN model. This study reveals that the specific combinations of soil, topography, geomorphology and vegetation inputs can be utilized for better prediction of monthly runoff.     

Spatial rainfall model using a pattern classifier for estimating missing daily rainfall data

Missing data in daily rainfall records are very common in water engineering practice. However, they must be replaced by proper estimates to be reliably used in hydrologic models. Presented herein is an effort to develop a new spatial daily rainfall model that is specifically intended to fill in gaps in a daily rainfall dataset. The proposed model is different from a convectional daily rainfall generation scheme in that it takes advantage of concurrent measurements at the nearby sites to increase the accuracy of estimation. The model is based on a two-step approach to handle the occurrence and the amount of daily rainfalls separately. This study tested four neural network classifiers for a rainfall occurrence processor, and two regression techniques for a rainfall amount processor. The test results revealed that a probabilistic neural network approach is preferred for determining the occurrence of daily rainfalls, and a stepwise regression with a log-transformation is recommended for estimating daily rainfall amounts.     

Landslide susceptibility mapping using geological data, a DEM from ASTER images and an Artificial Neural Network (ANN)

An efficient and accurate method of generating landslide susceptibility maps is very important to mitigate the loss of properties and lives caused by this type of geological hazard. This study focuses on the development of an accurate and efficient method of data integration, processing and generation of a landslide susceptibility map using an ANN and data from ASTER images. The method contains two major phases. The first phase is the data integration and analysis, and the second is the Artificial Neural Network training and mapping. The data integration and analysis phase involve GIS based statistical analysis relating landslide occurrence to geological and DEM (digital elevation model) derived geomorphological parameters. The parameters include slope, aspect, elevation, geology, density of geological boundaries and distance to the boundaries. This phase determines the geological and geomorphological factors that are significantly correlated with landslide occurrence. The second phase further relates the landslide susceptibility index to the important geological and geomorphological parameters identified in the first phase through ANN training. The trained ANN is then used to generate a landslide susceptibility map. Landslide data from the 2004 Niigata earthquake and a DEM derived from ASTER images were used. The area provided enough landslide data to check the efficiency and accuracy of the developed method. Based on the initial results of the experiment, the developed method is more than 90% accurate in determining the probability of landslide occurrence in a particular area.     

定性和定量长期预报模型的综合分析

根据相同的 50 0 h Pa和海温场预报因子 ,利用神经网络灵活可变的拓朴结构 ,分别构造了定性和定量的降水长期预报模型。并在同等条件下 ,建立了逐步回归预报方程。通过对比分析表明 ,这种定性和定量相结合的神经网络综合预报分析方法 ,是增强预报结果可靠性和稳定性的一种有效途径。该预报建模方法具有比较合理的分析依据 ,值得进一步探索、应用。     

Application of neural networks in natural periods identification and simulation of prefabricated buildings response

The paper deals with an application of neural networks for detection of natural periods of vibrations of prefabricated, medium height buildings. The neural network technique is also used to simulate the dynamic response at selected floor of one of the analysed buildings subject to seismic loading induced by explosives in a nearby quarry. Both the training and testing patterns were formulated on the basis of measurements performed on actual structures. The results of neural network identification of natural periods of the considered buildings obtained with different soil, geometrical and stiffness parameters are compared with the results of experiments. The application of back-propagation neural networks enables us to identify the natural periods of the buildings with accuracy quite satisfactory for engineering practice. The experimental and generated data of vibration displacements are compared and much clearer comparison is given on the phase plane: displacements versus velocities. It was stated that a good generalization takes place both with respect to displacements and velocities.     

应用SVM方法进行沉积微相识别

作者针对目前沉积微相中的特征提取问题,提出了应用ＳＶＭ（支持向量机）方法进行沉积微相识别的方案。该方法不是象传统方法那样首先试图将原输入空间降维（即特征选择变换）,而是设法将输入空间升维,以求在高维空间中问题变得线性可分（或接近线性可分）。因为升维后只是改变了内积运算,并没有使算法复杂性随着维数的增加而增加,因此这种方法才是可行的。所以。利用该方法更能胜任实际情况。实际处理表明该方法在小样本情况下     

Interpolation of wave heights

Remote sensing of waves often necessitates presentation of data in the form of wave height values grouped over large time intervals. This restricts their use to long-term applications only. This paper describes how such data can be made suitable for short-term usage in the field. Weekly mean significant wave heights were derived from their monthly mean observations with the help of different alternative techniques. These include model-free neural network schemes as well as model-based statistical and numerical methods. Superiority of neural networks was noted when the estimations were compared with corresponding observations. The network was trained using three different training algorithms, viz., error back propagation, conjugate gradient and cascade correlation. The technique of cascade correlation took minimum training time and showed better coefficient of correlation between observations and network output.     

福建及其周边地区地震活动人工神经网络模型的构建

本文通过对福建及其周边地区地震活动人工神经网络模型的构建,研究了人工神经网络方法在基于该区域地震活动性指标的地震分析预报中的应用。选用含一个中章层的前向神经网络模型,并采用与之相适应的ＢＰ算法,以该地区１９７１～１９９７年的地震活动性资料为基础,用神经网络进行实际计算、分析和检验。结果表明：神经网络模型对福建及其周边地区地震震级的预测检验效果较好的,可以在一定精度范围内使震级预测的内符率达１００％     

火山岩储层建模初探

火山岩储层建模研究是一个世界性难题。近年来 ,国内外在含油气盆地的火山岩中发现了大量的油气藏。为了探索火山岩储层物性的空间分布特征 ,作者选取了松辽盆地徐家围子地区火山岩发育的营城组为研究目的层 ,以火山岩相分析为基础 ,以基于相分析的神经网络技术为手段 ,通过多种参数的选取和计算 ,尝试性地建立了该区火山岩储层地质模型。该模型表明 :层状火山机构比块状火山机构的物性好 ;多相火山机构比单相火山机构物性好 ;裂缝发育的火山机构比裂缝不发育的火山机构物性好。基底涌流相、火山空落相、火山沉积相是有利的储集相带。