支持向量机在海洋随机资料分析中的应用

在随机海洋资料的分析中,需要从大量的实际数据中提取出有用的信息来建立或检验各种海洋理论模型,因此我们要正确运用适当的手段来分析处理各种实际数据。文中简要介绍了数据挖掘中一项新的技术支持向量机,着重介绍了最优化问题的求解算法,以及如何应用于海洋资料的分析处理。     

Robust LS-SVM regression for ore grade estimation in a seafloor hydrothermal sulphide deposit

Due to the geological complexities of ore body formation and limited borehole sampling, this paper proposes a robust weighted least square support vectormachine (LS-SVM) regression model to solve the ore grade estimation for a seafloor hydrothermal sulphide deposit in Solwara 1, which consists of a large proportion of incomplete samples without ore types and grade values. The standard LS-SVM classification model is applied to identify the ore type for each in complete sample. Then, a weighted K-nearest neighbor (WKNN) algorithm is proposed to interpolate the missing values. Prior to modeling, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to obtain an appropriate splitting for the training and test data sets so as to eliminate the large discrepancies caused by randomdivision. Coupled simulated annealing (CSA) and grid search using 10-fold cross validation techniques are adopted to determine the optimal tuning parameters in the LS-SVM models. The effectiveness of the proposed model by comparing with other well-known techniques such as inverse distance weight (IDW), ordinary kriging (OK), and back propagation (BP) neural network is demonstrated. The experimental results show that the robust weighted LS-SVM outperforms the othermethods, and has strong predictive and generalization ability.     

重力异常的视密度反演推断扬子与华北块体在南黄海地区的地质界线

通过对南黄海及周边船载测量重力数据、现代卫星测高重力数据、陆地测量重力数据以及地球重力模型等多来源重力数据进行整理和融合,对南黄海地区布格重力异常特征进行了分析。利用基于切割法和插值迭代法的大深度位场向下延拓技术的视密度反演法对南黄海布格重力进行处理和解释,结合山东和朝鲜半岛的地质信息,推断了扬子块体和中朝块体在南黄海海域的界限。中朝和扬子块体在海上的分界位置为千里岩北缘断裂,向NE延伸到125°E后,折向NNW向并在36°N附近再次转为NE向进入朝鲜半岛并经过洪城南侧继续以NE向延伸。扬子的北缘为苏鲁造山带,穿过黄海与京畿造山带相接,苏鲁超高压变质带对应洪城杂岩。     

Impact of Ocean Mean Dynamic Topography on Satellite Data Assimilation

The response of an eddy-permitting ocean model to changes imposed by the use of different mean dynamic topographies (MDT) is analyzed in a multivariate assimilation context, allowing the evaluation of this impact, not only on the surface circulation, but also on the interior ocean representation. The assimilation scheme is a reduced-order sequential Kalman filter (SEEK). In a first set of experiments, high resolution sea surface temperature, along-track sea surface height and sea surface salinity from climatology are assimilated into a 1/3° resolution North and Tropical Atlantic version of the HYCOM model. In a second experiment, in situ profile data are assimilated in addition to the surface measurements.

The first set of experiments illustrates that important differences in the representation of the horizontal model circulation pattern are related to differences in the MDT used. The objective of assimilation is to improve the representation of the 3D ocean state. However, the imperfect representation of the mean dynamic topography appears to be an important limiting factor with regard to the degree of realism obtained in the simulated flow.

Vertical temperature and salinity profiles are key observations to drive a general circulation ocean model toward a more realistic state. The second set of experiments shows that assimilating them in addition to sea surface measurements is a far from trivial exercise. A specific difficulty is due to inconsistencies between the dynamic topography diagnosed from in situ observations and that diagnosed from sea surface height. These two fields obtained from different data sources do not contain exactly the same information. In order to overcome this difficulty, a strategy is proposed and validated.     

利用卫星遥感资料估算海面太阳辐照度的初步结果

本文在分析了若干由卫星信息提取地表的太阳辐照度物理模式的基础上,将１９９５年５月２６日的ＮＯＡＡ卫星ＡＶＨＲＲ资料经适当变换后,选用Ｈａｙ和Ｈａｎｓｏｎ模式估算并分析了黄渤海３５°～４０°Ｎ、１２０°～１２５°Ｅ海区的海面太阳辐照度值。文中指出,卫星测量可成为海面太阳辐照度观测的有效手段。建议：１）尽快在国内开展这方面的研究;２）应进行海洋实况测量（最好是卫星过境时同步进行）;３）建立从卫星资料提取我国海区海面辐照度的适用算法。     

利用Argo 浮标资料研究西北太平洋三维声速分布特征

利用西北太平洋海区2002～2009年的Argo浮标剖面温度、盐度资料构建成0.5°×0.5°水平分辨率的三维声速网格化资料,并据此分析该海区声速的空间分布及季节变化特征。研究表明：该海区10 m层等声速线分布的季节变化较为明显,春、冬季的等声速线几乎与纬线平行,黑潮流经区域等声速线呈现一定的弯曲。100 m层等声速线分布的季节变化较小：北赤道流区,等声速线从外海向近岸延伸;吕宋岛东南部沿海,等声速线向南弯曲;吕宋岛、台湾岛东部等声速线呈现偏北方向的弯曲;琉球群岛附近,等声速线朝北偏东方向弯曲。此外,研究海区存在深海声道,声道轴最深的区域主要在吕宋海峡和日本东南部海区,其中吕宋海峡处的声道轴有显著的季节变化特征。可见,利用Argo浮标资料可以初步得到西北太平洋声速的空间分布及其季节变化特征,随着Argo剖面资料的增多,对该海区的声速场认识将会愈加清晰。     

珠江口外走航ADCP资料的系统误差订正与质量控制

在对珠江口外2006年冬季航次走航ADCP观测资料处理中发现用Joyce的方法不能有效地订正系统误差,其原因在于订正角与航速、船艏向相关。给出了一个订正角为船艏向余弦的拟合函数,得出良好的订正结果。分析了VmDas软件处理流速结果的精度,给出了系统误差识别的方法。发现观测资料中一些不能为VmDas软件识别的错误数据,分析了海况对观测资料的影响,提出了观测资料质量控制与误差订正的一套程序。     

两种显著性检验方法在海洋大数据序列主成分分析中的应用

介绍海洋大数据序列主成分分析的两种显著性检验方法,采用该两种方法可以辨别具有真实意义的主成分模与代表随机噪声信号的模态。此二法均能很好地应用于大数据序列主成分模的显著性检验。在进行海洋大数据序列时-空变化主成分分析中,为尽可能减少或避免数据中随机噪声的影响,建议对主成分模进行显著性检验。     

古冲沟冲积扇体地震反射资料研究

利用地震资料研究古冲沟冲积扇体的反射特征、内部结构、剖面特征和分布特征等问题,研究结果为识别和确认古冲沟冲积扇体油气藏提供依据     

估值类数据同化方法中背景场的确定——三维可分离的情况

以相关性为基础,详细研究了估值类数据同化方法中背景场的确定问题,并以渤海3月份到7月份的温度场为例,具体说明了如何确定背景场:当要素场在水平方向和垂直方向上可以进行分离变量时,背景场的确定可以通过单独确立水平相关性与垂直相关性完成。研究表明:(1)当没有温跃层时,温度在垂向上的相关是沿着整个深度的;(2)当有温跃层时,温度在垂向上的相关应该限定在上准等温层的下界;(3)在温度的垂向分布方面,其相关性与温跃层有着对应关系,对比相关性与温跃层可以看出,垂向相关性与温跃层位置的变化趋势一致。