Stream profile analysis,tectonic geomorphology and neotectonic activity of the Damxung‐Yangbajain rift in the south Tibetan Plateau

The Damxung‐Yangbajain rift is one of the most active north–south trending rifts in the south Tibetan Plateau, and it has been playing an important role in accommodating the east–west extension of the Tibetan Plateau. Both stream profiles on the Nyainqentanglha Range adjacent to the northwest part of the Damxung‐Yangbajain rift and tectonic geomorphology in the north of the rift are analyzed to assess the spatial pattern and intensity of rock uplift which is related to neotectonic activity. A total of 85 stream profiles across the Nyainqentanglha Range are analyzed, and 111 knickpoints are interpreted. Most of these stream profiles are characterized by prominent convexities with two or more knickpoints, many of which are formed due to the strong rock uplift evidenced by abnormal concavity and extremely high steepness indices during the Quaternary. Neotectonic activity in this region is well replicated in the stream profile indices and offset landforms. Tectono‐geomorphic analysis shows that the concavity and steepness indices correlate with the fault movements at many places. The Damxung‐Yangbajain rift is characterized by left‐lateral strike‐slip in the north of Damxung and by normal movement in middle and southern parts. The middle and southern parts have been undergoing higher uplift than has the northern area. It is most likely that the strong uplift is related to the heat flow under the crust. Earthquakes occurring in the Damxung‐Yangbajain rift, including a M8 in 1411 and M6.6 in 2008, are thought to be related to heat flow activity. All of the stream profile indices and tectonic geomorphology show that the Damxung‐Yangbajain rift is not in a stable state. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

1951—2020年广州地区极端气温指数年月尺度变化研究

根据广州国家基本气象站1951—2020年的逐日气温资料,采用线性趋势法、距平及累积距平法和Mann-Kendall检验法,对WMO推荐的16种极端气温指数中的13种以及2种结合本地实际的新的极端气温指数共计15种指数进行计算,从月尺度和年尺度分析广州地区各极端气温指数随时间变化的趋势和突变年份,并对以往研究中较少探究的基期的选择对相对极端气温指数的结果影响进行了对比分析。(1)从年尺度看,广州地区近70 a的夏日日数SU25、酷热日数SU35、热夜日数TR20、非常热夜日数TR26、最高气温TXx、最低气温TNn、最低气温最大值TNx、相对暖夜日数TN90p、暖昼日数TX90p、显著偏暖持续指数WSDI均呈现明显的上升趋势,相对冷夜日数TN10p、冷昼日数TX10p和偏冷持续指数CSDI呈现下降趋势,气温日较差DTR和最高气温最小值TXn变化趋势不明显;(2)新的极端气温指数SU35和TR26的上升速率明显大于SU25和TR20的上升速率,能更好地反映近70 a昼夜体感炎热日数呈现极显著的上升趋势,更加符合评估气候变化对当地生产生活的影响;(3)从月尺度来看近70 a广州地区的暖系列...     

地理因子在北疆极端气温趋势变化中的作用

论文利用1961-2017年北疆地区37个观测站的逐日气温资料以及高程数据,选取了3类(冷指数、暖指数和极值指数)15项极端气温指数,采用相关分析和灰色关联度统计分析方法,研究了地理因子在北疆极端气温趋势变化中的作用.结果 表明:①北疆地区气候变暖显著,极端气温冷指数呈非常显著的下降趋势,暖指数及极值指数呈显著或非常显...     

中国北方森林植被主要表土花粉类型对植被的指示性

中国北方森林植被68个表土花粉样品中,主要花粉类型联合指数(A)、超代表性指数(O)、低代表性指数(U)、R值、植被不存在时花粉百分比最大值(Xa)和平均值(Ma)、植被存在时花粉百分比最大值(Xp)和平均值(Mp)的计算表明:胡桃、青檀、禾本科、菊科、莎草科、皂荚等A值较高,O值及U值均较低,对植被指示明显,为适中代表性类型;云杉、冷杉、栎、鼠李、沙枣、落叶松、榆、杨、黄栌、花椒、木犀科、绣线菊、毛茛科、榛等,尽管A值和O值大于0.5,但Xa远低于Mp,R值小于1,对植被指示意义较明显,属低代表性类型;桦、松、蒿、藜科等,A值适中,O值和R值较高,U值较低,但Xa,Xp和Ma值较高,属超代表性类型,对植被有一定的指示意义;其他花粉类型对植被指示性不明显或需进一步研究。花粉百分比与植物盖度关系研究表明,多数在森林中建群或为优势成分的乔木花粉与母体植物呈显著线性相关关系,森林植被中的伴生乔木、灌木和多数草本花粉与植物盖度无明显的线性相关关系。     

GEOMORPHIC THRESHOLDS FOR CHANNEL EVOLUTION IN THE LOWER YELLOW RIVER

Channel evolution refers to boundary changes of rivers affected by fluvial actions. This paper provides an analysis of the development and formation of stream patterns in the lower Yellow River and presents intensive studies of several critical problems relating to channel evolution, including thresholds of channel gradient and longitudinal profile adjustment, channel surface morphology, response of channel pattern to boundary conditions, critical discrimination of cross sections and the discrimination of channel pattern changes using hydrologic parameters.     

基于超热因子的中国热浪事件气候特征分析

采用世界气象组织气候委员会推荐基于超热因子(excess heat factor,EHF)的热浪指标并加以拓展,对中国1958—2013年的热浪事件气候变化进行分析。结果表明:华中、华东和西北地区的平均热浪次数要略多于中国其他地区;华东和华中地区的热浪最长持续天数和热浪总天数最多;热浪EHF最大值、年均EHF值和EHF中位数值有北高南低的分布特征;华东、华中地区的轻度、中度热浪天数较多,重度热浪天数较少,中国北部和西部则相反;中国热浪EHF年总量有增加的趋势、准3年的年际变化周期和明显的年代际突变;中国大部分地区的高温热浪有增加趋势,但在华中、华北、东北的部分地区变化不显著。以云南德钦站为例说明中国西部高原地区不仅存在高温热浪事件,而且在进入21世纪后日益严重。     

基于不确定性分析的遥感分类空间分层及评估方法

空间分层是准确度量遥感分类不确定性程度及其空间分布的基础与关键。本文提出了一种基于不确定性分析的遥感分类空间分层及评估方法,首先基于随机森林算法获取像元后验概率,确定分类不确定性度量指标;其次,采用模糊C均值进行空间分层;最后,对分层结果合理性进行定性与定量评估,并与同尺度数据产品精度评价结果及后验概率不确定性分层方法进行对比分析。以北京市顺义区Landsat 8 OLI遥感影像数据为例,研究结果表明：(1)基于最大概率、模糊混淆指数和概率熵指标将顺义区分为不确定性大、中、小3层,相应的遥感数据层分类精度分别为62.28%、74.96%、79.31%;(2)分类不确定性空间分层结果与度量指标大小的空间分布基本一致,错分地类图层与不确定性大层的地类空间分布基本一致;(3)遥感数据和数据产品的各层地类空间特征、层分类精度大小趋势一致,与总体分类精度相比,不确定性大层的层分类精度降低,不确定性小层的层分类精度提高;(4)与后验概率不确定性分层方法相比,本研究不确定性大层的层分类精度降低1.08%,不确定性中层提高3.58%,不确定性小层提高0.16%,q值由0.19提高到0.24,空间分异性...     

DTM94大气模型及其应用

简述了ＤＴＭ９４ 大气模型, 并以其旧版本ＤＴＭ７８ 为对照进行了初步考察和分析, 其中给出了两种模型的大气密度随地磁指数ｋｐ 和太阳辐射流量（Ｓｏｌａｒ Ｒａｄｉｏ Ｆｌｕｘ） 变化的情况, 并对２０ｄ （ 天） 弧长Ａｊｉｓａｉ 卫星的全球ＳＬＲ观测资料进行处理, 结果表明ＤＴＮ９４ 对近地卫星Ａｊｉｓａｉ 的精密定轨是十分有利的。     

Total Solar Irradiance Measurement and Modelling during Cycle 23

During solar cycle 23, which is now close to its end, variations of the total solar irradiance were measured by six different instruments, providing four independent time series of the irradiance variation over the complete solar cycle. A new composite time series constructed using five of these six instruments provides unprecedented instrument stability for the study of the open question of solar irradiance variations between minima. An independent analysis of the different composite time series is performed through an empirical proxy model fit. The new composite is fitted with 0.96 correlation (R ²=93%) and RMS error of 0.15 W m⁻², thus reaching the limit of the individual instrument stabilities. Both the measurements and the model indicate that for the current cycle the minimum irradiance level has not yet been reached. Therefore we use the model to extrapolate measurements up to 2008 when the minimum irradiance level is expected. If we assume that there will be no changes in the solar irradiance from 2006 to 2008 that are not captured by the regression model, it can be predicted that there will be no variation of the solar minimum irradiance level during cycle 23 with an uncertainty of ±0.14 W m⁻².     

北半球10 hPa极地涡旋环流指数定义及分析

利用NCEP/NCAR再分析值10 hPa月平均高度场资料定义和计算了1948-2007年北半球10 hPa极地涡旋的强度指数(P)、 面积指数(S)和中心位置指数(λc, φc)。用它们分析了北半球10 hPa极地涡旋的季节变化和年际异常规律, 研究了它们与全球增暖、 臭氧（O3）异常和极地涛动（AO）的关系。结果表明： (1）北半球10 hPa层高纬6~8月为反气旋（A）控制; 9月~3月为气旋（C）控制。春季环流转型（C→A）缓慢; 秋季转型（A→C）迅速。(2）P、 S异常的年际变化具有同步性, 故异常分析仅取P进行。隆冬（1月）P的异常主要表现为年际尺度（10年以下周期）振荡, 不存在明显的年代际变化; 盛夏（7月）极地反气旋强度年代际变化显著。(3）隆冬极地气旋中心位置的异常明显大于盛夏反气旋。(4）极区中平流层平均气温的演变1、 7月迥异, 但它们与P的演变同步; 与全球增暖趋势无显著相关, 但7月P与O3异常有显著正相关。(5）隆冬（1月）10 hPa气旋强度指数P与极地涛动指数AO存在显著正相关, 故可用10 hPa ′表示AO。