Structure and seasonal changes in atmospheric boundary layer on coast of the east Antarctic continent

The temperature, humidity, and vertical distribution of ozone in the Antarctic atmospheric boundary layer（ABL） and their seasonal changes are analyzed, by using the high-resolution profile data obtained during the International Polar Year 2008 to 2009 at Zhongshan Station, to further the understanding of the structure and processes of the ABL. The results show that the fre- quency of the convective boundary layer in the warm season accounts for 84% of its annual occurrence frequency. The frequency of the stable boundary layer in the cold season accounts for 71% of its annual occurrence frequency. A neutral boundary layer ap- pears rarely. The average altitude of the convective boundary layer determined by the parcel method is 600 m; this is 200 to 300 m higher than that over inland Antarctica. The average altitude of the top of the boundary layer determined by the potential tempera- ture gradient and humidity gradient is 1 200 m in the warm season and 1 500 m in the cold season. The vertical structures of ozone and specific humidity in the ABL exhibit obvious seasonal changes. The specific humidity is very high with greater vertical gradi- ent in the warm season and very low with a lesser gradient in the cold season under 2 000 m. The atmospheric ozone in the ABL is consumed by photochemical processes in the warm season, which results in a slight difference in altitude. The sub-highest ozone center is located in the boundary layer, indicating that the ozone transferred from the stratosphere to the troposphere reaches the low boundary layer during October and November in Antarctica.     

Boundary shift of potential suitable agricultural area in farming-grazing transitional zone in Northeastern China under background of climate change during 20th century

Climate change affected the agricultural expansion and the formation of farming-grazing transitional patterns during historical periods. This study analyzed the possible range of the boundary shift of the potential suitable agriculture area in the farming-grazing transitional zone in the northeastern China during the 20th century. Based on modem weather data, 1 km-resolution land cover data, historical climatic time series, and estimation by using similar historical climatic scenes, the following was concluded： 1） The climate conditions of suitable agriculture areas in the farming-grazing transitional zone in the northeastern China between 1971 and 2000 required an average annual temperature above 1℃ or ≥ 0℃ accumulated temperature above 2500℃-2700℃, and annual precipitation above 350 mm. 2） The northern boundary of the potential suitable agriculture area during the relatively warmer period of 1890-1910 was approximately located at the position of the 1961-2000 area. The northern boundary shifted back to the south by 75 km on average during the colder period of the earlier 20th century, whereas during the modem warm period of the 1990s, the area shifted north by 100 km on average. 3） The western and eastern boundaries of the suitable agricul~re area during the heaviest drought periods between 1920s and 1930s had shifted northeast by 250 km and 125 km, respectively, contrasting to the boundaries of 1951-2008. For the wettest period, that is, the 1890s to the 1910s, the shift of western and eastern boundaries was to the southwest by 125 km and 200 km, respectively, compared with that in the 1951-2008 period. This study serves as a reference for identifying a climatically sensitive area and planning future land use and agricultural production in the study area.     

中国海洋经济发展的时空差异及其动态变化研究

中国海洋经济近年来快速发展,但地区差异明显。以沿海11个省市区为研究对象,从时间与空间2个角度,运用变差系数及加权变差系数来表现1996~2010年沿海省市经济发展的差异程度,结果表明中国沿海省市海洋经济成倍增长,总体差异在波动中减小;采用区位熵、洛伦兹曲线及基尼系数对海洋产业结构及其空间布局演化进行分析,得出海洋产业结构向高级阶段演进,海洋产业集聚规模有所减弱,各产业趋于均衡发展;具有资源属性的海洋产业集聚程度最高,海洋第三产业集聚程度降低;利用主成分分析法对沿海省市的海洋经济发展进行综合评价将其分为3个梯队;使用R/S分析法对沿海地区差异情况进行预测,显示未来差距有增大的趋势。最后从提高海洋资源开发能力、提高海洋经济发展质量等角度提出了具体建议。     

陕西省碳足迹时空变化研究

为了解近年来陕西省碳足迹的状况,采用《2006年IPCC国家温室气体清单指南》和中国《省级温室气体编制指南》推荐的方法测算了陕西省及其各市的碳足迹。结论如下：1995~2009年,陕西省碳足迹从4 129.38×10⁴t上升到22 460.23×10⁴t,增加了443.91%。从空间上全省碳足迹可分为3类：陕南始终为负值;陕北和渭南市较高;关中除渭南市以外的地区较低。14 a间全省人均碳足迹由1.18 t增加到5.95 t;各市人均碳足迹,陕北较高,关中较低,陕南为负值。全省碳足迹密度从2.00 t/hm²增高到10.90 t/hm²。陕西省的人均和单位面积的碳足迹远高于应对全球气候变化的目标,但空间上差异很大。以2009年为例,全省人均碳足迹是应对全球气候变化目标的2.98倍,而陕北则超过10倍,高于美国;关中为1.29~4.57倍。全省2009年碳足迹密度是应对全球气候变化目标的4.89倍;渭南、咸阳、西安3市高达9.63~16.95倍;榆林、铜川、延安和宝鸡4市为3.54~7.10倍;陕南植被的固碳作用消除了当地的碳排放外,还有剩余碳汇,但尚不能抵消陕北及关中的较高的碳足迹,因此总体看,对气候变化有负面影响,陕西的碳减排任务仍较重。     

Human influence, plant landscape evolution and climate inferences from the archaeobotanical records of the Wadi Teshuinat area (Libyan Sahara)

Central Sahara rock shelters offer an early and middle Holocene environmental reconstruction. This paper summarises palynological research carried out within a multidisciplinary archaeological research project on the Wadi Teshuinat area (Tadrart Acacus Mts., in south-western Fezzan, Libya). The sites were occupied by hunter-gatherer and pastoralist cultures. On-site pollen data, treated as a single ‘regional site’, showed that different pollen stratigraphies and flora characterised the past phases. Plant macro-remains also helped to understand local plant exploitation and landscape evolution. Pollen spectra showed the following climate oscillations: wet and cool (approx. 8800–8250 cal. BC), dry and warm (approx. 7920–7520 cal. BC), wet (approx. 7550–7200 cal. BC), dry (approx. 6340–6210 cal. BC—geoarchaeological evidence), wet and warm (approx. 6250–4300 cal. BC, including a wetter and warmer phase at approx. 5500–4600 cal. BC); dry and warm (approx. 4250–2900 cal. BC); drier and warm (approx. 2900–1600 cal. BC, up to the present). Since the early Holocene, both climatic and anthropic factors have played an important and strictly interconnected role in transforming the environment. Thus, while subsistence strategies were adjusting to climatic and environmental changes, the plant landscape was also being slowly and continuously shaped by humans.     

Geomorphic evidence of major sea-level fluctuations during marine isotope substage-5e, Cape Cuvier, Western Australia

A detailed geomorphologic and morphostratigraphic investigation of raised marine terraces at Cape Cuvier, Western Australia, reveals two morphologically distinct units. A lower, well-developed accretional reef terrace between 3 and 5.5 m above MLWS (mean low-water springs; hereafter denoted as “+”) represents an extended interval of stable sea level. An upper erosional terrace and incipient coralgal rim between + 8.5 to 10.5 m represents a brief sea-level stillstand at this higher elevation. These features suggest the lower and upper terraces developed during discrete sea-level events. In an attempt to better define the timing of emplacement of each marine unit, 20 coral samples collected along vertical and lateral reef growth axis from both terraces were analysed with U-series dating. Unfortunately, all coral samples exhibited elevated δ²³⁴U_initial values, suggesting that pervasive uptake of ²³⁴U-enriched uranium and ²³⁰Th thorium had occurred. Despite the shortcomings of absolute dating, a succession of events can be resolved though morphostratigraphic relationships. Comparison of the facies relationships, coral growth, and morphostratigraphic features between the lower and upper terraces indicates that an early to mid MIS 5e stillstand at + 3 to 5 m was followed by a late rise to + 8.5 to 10.5 m. This agrees with an emerging global view of MIS 5e sea-level history derived from stable carbonate platforms, rejecting the hypothesis that these higher sea-level benchmarks are an artefact of localized tectonic processes.     

乾安县40年气候变化的分析

利用东北地区月平均气温、降水量、蒸发量等资料,计算了宁夏季气温和降水的相关系数,表明东北地区西部复季气温与降水量呈显著负相关.从年代际变化的分析中得知,20世纪90 年代暖干趋势明显,其中以乾安最为突出.分析乾安及其邻近测站蒸发量的年代际变化,表明乾安的夏季蒸发量上升趋势明显,并远大于其他测站,对环境的不良影响加重,而存下垫面条件较好一些的区域,夏季蒸发量呈下降趋势.乾安县未来复季气温仍为上升趋势,降水量存总体平均值之下呈旱.涝交替变化.     

设定场源参数的区域重力微变化特征与模型实验

流动重力测量作为地震前兆监测手段之一, 所得到的区域重力场微变化信号反映地壳内部密度变化、 地壳变形、 流体运移等信息。 采用定量化和模型化方法研究与地震孕育相关的重力场变化信号时空特征, 对于构建地震预报定量化指标体系具有重要意义。 通过设定场源参数构建了数值模型, 正演得到了多组不同场源条件下的重力场变化模型; 通过模型对比, 分析了重力变化与重力梯度变化对不同类型场源参数的关系。 研究结果表明: 重力垂直梯度变化对异常体边界比较敏感, 特对浅部异常更为敏感, 适用于圈定异常体范围。 以此为基础提出了观测系统的优化测量方案, 以及对观测精度的需求。 研究结果对于构建地震预报指标参数, 优化流动重力观测系统具有一定参考意义。     

准格尔旗植被覆盖度变化的时间序列遥感监测

准格尔旗2000年开始实施退耕还林、沙漠治理政策已逾10年,了解准格尔旗植被恢复现状及存在的问题,对于制定更加合理的环境治理政策、实现环境和经济的可持续发展具有重要意义^[1]。本研究基于准格尔旗地区1990、2000和2011年3个时间序列的Landsat TM/ETM+遥感影像,通过选取3个时期植被与裸地的NDVI值,代入像元二分法模型中,反演得到3个时期的植被覆盖度,并且通过研究准格尔旗3期植被覆盖度的时空变化特征、近21年的准格尔旗植被覆盖度转移矩阵、植被恢复/退化状况及驱动力,定量分析了该地区近21年植被覆盖度的时序变化和空间分布特征。研究结果表明：准格尔旗近21年植被覆盖度显著增加,平均覆盖度由1990年的15.53%上升到2000年的17.82%,以及2011年的29.30%;准格尔旗的大部分区域植被呈恢复状态,局部区域呈现退化现象;准格尔旗的植被覆盖度变化特征受降雨因素影响不显著,准格尔旗近21年植被覆盖度的显著提高主要得益于2000年之后的一系列植被恢复工程。     

中国南方大陆海岸线时空变迁

海岸线变迁对于海岸带生态环境变化乃至全球变化研究具有重要意义。通过对5个时相TM影像的人机交互解译,获取1990年,1995年,2000年,2005年和2010年中国南方大陆海岸线信息,分析了各时段岸线变迁特征及变迁原因。结果表明:(1)中国南方大陆海岸线的长度和分形维度保持相对稳定,但岸线长度存在总体缩短和局部增长的演化趋势。(2)岸线海向推进的岸段占据主要部分,陆向缩退岸线仅发生在少部分岸段。(3)长江口—杭州湾南岸和珠江三角洲两个典型岸段的分析表明中国南方大陆岸线的时空变化速率与强度在不断加强。(4)在1990—2010年期间,引起中国南方大陆海岸线时空变迁的人为因素的作用比自然因素显著,并导致人工岸线比重不断增大,自然岸线比重不断下降。