Modelling the long-term geomorphic response to check dam failures in an alpine channel with CAESAR-Lisflood

Globally, between 1950 and 2011 nearly 80,000 debris flow fatalities occurred in densely populated regions in mountainous terrain. Mitigation of these hazards includes the construction of check dams, which limit coarse sediment transport and in the European Alps number in the 100,000s. Check dam functionality depends on periodic, costly maintenance, but maintenance is not always possible and check dams often fail. As such, there is a need to quantify the long-term (10–100 years) geomorphic response of rivers to check dam failures. Here, for the first time, a landscape evolution model (CAESAR-Lisflood) driven by a weather generator is used to replicate check dam failures due to the lack of maintenance, check dam age, and flood occurrence. The model is applied to the Guerbe River, Switzerland, a pre-Alpine catchment containing 73 check dams that undergo simulated failure. Also presented is a novel method to calibrate CAESAR-Lisflood's hydrological component on this ungauged catchment. Using 100-year scenarios of check dam failure, the model indicates that check dam failures can produce 8 m of channel erosion and a 322% increase in sediment yield. The model suggests that after check dam failure, channel erosion is the remobilization of deposits accumulated behind check dams, and, after a single check dam failure channel equilibrium occurs in five years, but after many check dam failures channel equilibrium may not occur until 15 years. Overall, these findings support the continued maintenance of check dams.     

Integrating multi-source remotely sensed datasets to examine the impact of tree height and pattern information on crimes in Milwaukee,Wisconsin

There have been a great number of debates about the impacts of trees on crimes: some researchers believed that trees are a crime facilitator because of the concealment provision for potential criminals, while others argued that they are a crime deterrent because of the increased surveillance possibility and the therapeutic effect on psychological fatigue. To better answer this question, this study incorporated detailed tree features by using multi-source remotely sensed data at a very high resolution into environmental criminology analysis across the entire City of Milwaukee. Trees were extracted from aerial photographs, and broken down into two categories based on their heights to consider the effects of tree height on view obstruction. By controlling for confounding socioeconomic variables, the relationship between crimes and a series of composition and configuration indicators of trees with different height were investigated by using global and local spatial regressions. Results from classic and spatial statistical techniques finds complicated relationship between crimes and trees, which can be summarized in two aspects. First, the mixed effects of trees can be observed among different crime types. Second, the trends of spatial nonstationarity of the composition and configuration of trees with different heights were observed across the entire study area. The study outcomes could provide reasonable implications for making appropriate policies for crime prevention through environmental design to strengthen neighborhoods and communities in a city.     

Wave Energy from the North Sea: Experiences from the Lysekil Research Site

This paper provides a status update on the development of the Swedish wave energy research area located close to Lysekil on the Swedish West coast. The Lysekil project is run by the Centre for Renewable Electric Energy Conversion at Uppsala University. The project was started in 2004 and currently has permission to run until the end of 2013. During this time period 10 grid-connected wave energy converters, 30 buoys for studies on environmental impact, and a surveillance tower for monitoring the interaction between waves and converters will be installed and studied. To date the research area holds one complete wave energy converter connected to a measuring station on shore via a sea cable, a Wave Rider? buoy for wave measurements, 25 buoys for studies on environmental impact, and a surveillance tower. The wave energy converter is based on a linear synchronous generator which is placed on the sea bed and driven by a heaving point absorber at the ocean surface. The converter is directly driven, i.e. it has no gearbox or other mechanical or hydraulic conversion system. This results in a simple and robust mechanical system, but also in a somewhat more complicated electrical system.     

Hotbeds of crime and the search for spatial accuracy

One of the most important aspects of spatial crime analysis is the identification of hotspots: areas of the highest crime concentration. This paper advances a methodology for hotspot detection based on a global moving window approach combined with the use of local statistics to define the hotspot limit. This technique generates hotspots that both follow the urban morphology of the crime distribution and ensures their spatial segregation. The hypothesis that police officers can construct an accurate perception of crime distribution from exposure to daily policing practices is used to demonstrate an application in the use of hotspot analysis. Significant regions generated from recorded crime data are compared with perceived local hotspots catalogued from surveys with police officers. Results from this study show two discrete types of hotspot, here termed hotpoints and hotbeds. The morphology of these crime hotpoints and hotbeds is discussed and possible causes documented. Received: 9 October 1998/Accepted: 22 September 1999     

新型氢化物发生技术——可移动还原床氢化物发生器：Ⅱ.可移动还原床氢 …

发展了一种新型的氢化物发生技术－可移动还原床氢化物发生器,可以实现微升级样品的分析而不需要对样品进行酸化和使用气－液分离器。给出了装置的结构,操作,试验并优化了固体还原剂与有机酸的质量配比,反应腔体体积,进样量等反应条件。该技术易于实现自动化,可作为液相色谱,毛细管电泳和其他色谱技术与光谱检测技术之间的接口。     

新型氢化物发生技术--可移动还原床氢化物发生器Ⅲ. 作为毛细管区带电泳-电感耦合等离子体发射光谱的接口用于砷的形态分析

发展了一种新型的氢化物发生装置———可移动还原床氢化物发生器（ＭＲＢＨＧ）。应用该技术可将经毛细管区带电泳（ＣＺＥ）分离之后的各种砷的化合物转换为相应的氢化物,然后再被引入到电感耦合等离子体发射光谱（ＩＣＰ－ＡＥＳ）进行检测。对不同形态砷的不同化合物的ＣＺＥ分离条件进行了优化,包括缓冲溶液的ｐＨ值及浓度、进样量等。ＣＺＥ－ＭＲＢＨＧ－ＩＣＰ－ＡＥＳ应用于４种砷化合物的定量测定,峰面积的ＲＳＤ（ｎ＝５）在１．９％～１１．７％。４种砷的浓度检出限分别为：Ａｓ（Ⅲ）、甲胂酸和Ａｓ（Ⅴ）０．３２ｍｇ／Ｌ,二甲胂酸钠０．３５ｍｇ／Ｌ     

便携式水域测量系统的研制和应用

通过对船体、平衡翼、轻型发电机以及双动力系统等技术的改进,研发了一种遥控测量船,实现了测量船便携、安全、稳定、自动化测量等目的。通过对岸基控制系统的开发,不仅实现了遥控测量船的减速、加速和转向等功能,而且具有在遥控器可视屏上实时显示导航信息、显示遥控船上多路视频的功能,为远程操控测量船提供方便。     

气候模式中云的次网格结构对全球辐射影响的研究

利用一种用于大尺度天气、气候模式的随机云产生器(SCG)和独立气柱近似(ICA)辐射算法,研究了次网格云的水平结构以及垂直重叠结构对全球辐射场的影响.比较了水平非均匀云(IHCLD)和水平均匀云(HCLD)的辐射场差异以及云的最大.随机重叠(MRO)和一般重叠(GenO)的辐射场差异.结果显示,与HCLD相比,IHCLD一方面可增加地面净短波辐射通量,纬向平均最大值(约1W/m~2)和次大值(约0.6 W/m~2)分别位于高纬度低云密集地区和对流旺盛的热带地区;另一方面可增加大气顶的净长波辐射通量,纬向平均最大值(0.3 W/m~2)出现在热带地区.不同的重叠结构对短波和长波辐射收支也有很大的影响.MRO和GenO的短波辐射通量差异在热带辐合带最大.达到30-40W/m~2,在高纬度低云带的纬向平均也可达到5W/m~2左右;长波辐射通量差异具有相似的地区分布,但量值相对较小.不同重叠结构可以造成大气上下层的辐射加热率差异,影响大气热力层结.云的水平和垂直结构对有云区域辐射收支的影响将改变大气热力、动力状况以及水汽条件,从而影响模拟的气候系统的演变.文中采用单向云-辐射计算,排除了与气候系统其他过程复杂的相互作用,从而使其结果具有一定的普适性,可为不同大尺度模式进行次网格云辐射参数化提供参考.     

基于广义线性模型和NCEP资料的降水随机发生器

天气发生器可以用来插补历史缺测气象数据或生成未来天气情境, 近年来被普遍应用于对气象变量的降尺度研究, 为陆面的水文、 生态模拟提供外强迫输入。广义线性模型 (GLM) 是近年来用于建立大尺度气象变量与地面气象因子之间的一种有效方法, 基于GLM的天气发生器具有一定的应用前景。本文以NCEP再分析资料中的单格点气温、 500 hPa位势高度、 位温、 相对湿度、 海平面气压等5个变量作为影响降水变化的大尺度因子建立模拟逐日降水量的广义线性模型。模型中对降水概率的描述采用Logistic模型模拟, 而对降水量则分别试用Gamma分布、 指数分布、 正态分布和对数正态分布来模拟, 试图比较和揭示这些基于不同理论分布的模型的能力。模型中待定参数的估计及对研究区逐日降水量的模拟采用了完全相同的实测逐日降水数据和同期NCEP再分析资料。参数的最大似然估计用遗传算法来实现, 对山东省临沂地区10个主要气象观测站降水资料的研究表明, Gamma分布模型的拟合效果最好, 对数正态分布次之, 指数分布再次, 正态分布最差; 参数估计分月获取的拟合效果略好于不分月的。模型逐日降水模拟表明, 对降水发生概率的模拟会低估各月的多年平均值, 基于指数分布的GLM会低估各月总降水量期望 (为月内每日降水量期望之和) 的多年平均值, 而基于对数正态分布的GLM则会在降水量较大时产生高估现象。由对应的天气发生器模型生成的随机模拟降水序列表明, 基于对数正态分布的模型会高估月降水量较大时的多年平均, 而基于指数分布及Gamma分布的模型则模拟效果较好。总体上看, 这种基于NCEP再分析资料和GLM的天气发生器对降水变率具有很强的解释和模拟能力。     

WPF—1交流电弧发生器的改造

介绍利用数显时间继电器实现了WPF－2交流电弧发生器的自动化改造。，