全球山地冰冻圈变化、影响与适应

冰冻圈是高山地区不可或缺的重要组成部分,居住着全球约10%的人口。近几十年来,冰冻圈变化对山区和周围地区的自然和人类系统产生了广泛而深远的影响,对海洋也发挥着重要作用。IPCC最新发布的《气候变化中的海洋和冰冻圈特别报告》（SROCC）指出,过去几十年全球高山区气温显著升高,使山地冰冻圈发生了大范围显著退缩。观测到的山地（特别是低海拔山区）积雪期缩短、雪深和积雪覆盖范围减小;冰川物质持续亏损,其中全球最大的冰川负物质平衡出现在南安第斯山、高加索山和欧洲中部,亚洲高山区冰川负物质平衡最小;多年冻土温度升高、厚度减薄,地下冰储量减少;河、湖冰持续时间缩短。随着气候持续变暖,山地冰冻圈在21世纪仍将呈继续退缩状态。到21世纪末,低海拔山区积雪深度和积雪期将减少,冰川物质损失继续增加,多年冻土持续退化。冰冻圈变化已经或将改变山地灾害发生频率和强度,并对水资源、生态系统和经济社会系统产生重要影响。应对山地冰冻圈变化应从管理和优化利用冰冻圈资源、加强冰冻圈变化灾害风险的有效治理、增强国际合作及公约制定等适应策略着手开展,增强适应能力,从而有益于推动山地生态系统和经济社会系统可持续发展。     

Satellite Earth observation data to identify anthropogenic pressures in selected protected areas

Protected areas are experiencing increased levels of human pressure. To enable appropriate conservation action, it is critical to map and monitor changes in the type and extent of land cover/use and habitat classes, which can be related to human pressures over time. Satellite Earth observation (EO) data and techniques offer the opportunity to detect such changes. Yet association with field information and expert interpretation by ecologists is required to interpret, qualify and link these changes to human pressure. There is thus an urgent need to harmonize the technical background of experts in the field of EO data analysis with the terminology of ecologists, protected area management authorities and policy makers in order to provide meaningful, context-specific value-added EO products. This paper builds on the DPSIR framework, providing a terminology to relate the concepts of state, pressures, and drivers with the application of EO analysis. The type of pressure can be inferred through the detection of changes in state (i.e. changes in land cover and/or habitat type and/or condition). Four broad categories of changes in state are identified, i.e. land cover/habitat conversion, land cover/habitat modification, habitat fragmentation and changes in landscape connectivity, and changes in plant community structure. These categories of change in state can be mapped through EO analyses, with the goal of using expert judgement to relate changes in state to causal direct anthropogenic pressures. Drawing on expert knowledge, a set of protected areas located in diverse socio-ecological contexts and subject to a variety of pressures are analysed to (a) link the four categories of changes in state of land cover/habitats to the drivers (anthropogenic pressure), as relevant to specific target land cover and habitat classes; (b) identify (for pressure mapping) the most appropriate spatial and temporal EO data sources as well as interpretations from ecologists and field data useful in connection with EO data analysis. We provide detailed examples for two protected areas, demonstrating the use of EO data for detection of land cover/habitat change, coupled with expert interpretation to relate such change to specific anthropogenic pressures. We conclude with a discussion of the limitations and feasibility of using EO data and techniques to identify anthropogenic pressures, suggesting additional research efforts required in this direction.     

湛江港南三岛近岸海区异养细菌数量变动与潮汐周期关系研究

研究了南三岛近岸海区异养细菌数量变动与潮汐周期的关系。结果表明：在２４ｈ内异养细菌的数量随着潮位的上升而减少或随着潮位的下降而增加，高平潮时数量最低，低平潮时数量最高。比较一个月内各个高平潮异养细菌的数量，发现异养菌数量在小潮期向大潮期转变的过程中达到顶峰，并在大潮期急剧下降至最低值，接着从大潮期至小潮期，异养细菌数量缓慢回升，直至小潮期后才快速地上升。在水平分布中，异养细菌的数量在潮间带最大，其次是离低潮线１００ｍ的海区，离低潮线３００ｍ的海区最小。在垂直分布中．异养细菌数量以表层水最高，中层水次之，底层水最低。     

20年来珠江口伶仃洋滩槽变化及演变分析

珠江源远流长,流域广大 ,它是西江、北江和东江的总称。全长２２１４ｋｍ的西江 ,发源于云南省曲靖市马雄山,经珠海市磨刀门流入南海 ,是中国第三大河 ,也是珠江的主要排洪干道。珠江口伶仃洋主要接受来自西江、北江和东江的河水,主要是其四大口门虎门、蕉门、洪奇门、横门来水 ,它们总共占了珠江总径流量的５３．４%。但仅就西、北江而言 ,则有６２．１%的洪峰径流经由这四大口门流入伶仃洋 ,分别占珠江总径流量的１８．５ % ,１７．３% ,６．４ % ,１１．２%［［１１］］。。另另外外 ,,在在八八大大分分流流水水道道中中 ,,泄泄出出径径…     

鲁西北地区土地资源条件与土地利用变化趋势的研究

本文从分析鲁西北地区土地资源的基本特点入手,讨论了该地区土地需求、土地利用结构和土地利用方式的变化趋势,以及水土资源条件对未来土地利用变化的影响。本文还探讨了土地利用变化对环境和农业持续发展可能产生的影响,并提出了一些实现土地资源高效持续利用的措施。     

课程改革与地理教师的角色创新

面对课程改革中教育理念、教学方式、教学情境、教学效果评价体系的种种变化，地理教师必须重构面向21世纪中国教育未来的创新性角色，实现“教书匠”向“研究型学者”的转换，成为学生自主性学习的引导者、参与者及合作者，成为学生创新能力的培养者，真正适应新世纪人才培养的要求。     

两次近距离大震前成都台视电阻率重现性、相似性和各向异性变化

本文评价了四川汶川MS8.0、芦山MS7.0地震前后成都台地电观测环境,研究了该台视电阻率变化.结果为:(1)两次大震发生在该台以西的龙门山断裂带、震源机制和震源深度接近,是近距离大震,相应地,在两次地震前该台两个正交测道中的每一测道视电阻率变化均显示了中期异常及其变化过程的重现性和异常幅度的相似性;(2)在每次地震前,两个测道表现了异常变化形态、幅度和起始时间的差异性.其重现性、相似性证明这些异常与两次大震晚期孕育有关;差异性主要展示了与震源机制有直接联系的视电阻率各向异性变化,揭示了震前该台地下介质经历了强烈的电性各向异性变化的过程.     

浙江近海曼氏无针乌贼(Sepiella maindroni) 繁殖生物学特性变化研究

采用常规生物学方法和统计回归分析方法,对浙江近海曼氏无针乌贼的繁殖生物学特性进行了研究,比较了不同时期浙江近海曼氏无针乌贼卵巢成熟系数(GSI)、生物学体型及个体生殖力与生物学指标关系。结果表明,浙江近海曼氏无针乌贼GSI在4月份达到最高(9.51%±7.23%),相比20世纪60年代初、80年代初,自然海域曼氏无针乌贼的性腺发育提前,且生殖期延长。20世纪80年代初曼氏无针乌贼的生物学体型、怀卵量及个体生殖力均大于60年代初和自然海域曼氏无针乌贼,同时曼氏无针乌贼在人工养殖条件下生物学体型、怀卵量及个体生殖力增大。浙江近海曼氏无针乌贼的个体生殖力均随着胴长(ML)、体质量(W)、卵巢质量(WO)、GSI这些指标的增大而增大,除体质量相对生殖力(FW)与ML为密切正相关外,个体生殖力与这些指标的关系均达到了极显著水平(P<0.01)。多元线性逐步回归分析表明,WO是影响浙江近海曼氏无针乌贼个体生殖力的最重要指标。     

Environmental effects of water resource development and use in the Tarim River basin of northwestern China

The unbridled development and use of water resources in the Tarim River basin over the last 50 years have led to a serious degradation of soil (>12×10³ km² of land desertified between the 1960s and 1990s) and water quality (rise in maximum salinity was from 1.3 g l^–1 in 1960, to 4.0 g l^–1 in 1981–1984, and to 7.8 g l^–1 in 1998). Approximately 300 km of the lower reaches of the river course dried up between the 1950s and 1970s, seriously altering the downstream hydrological processes (a 4–6 m drop in groundwater levels from the 1960s to the 1980s, and 0.2 m yr^–1 thereafter) and ecosystems (67% and 50% decrease (1958–1978) in Populus euphratica forest acreage and biomass, respectively). Between the 1950s and 1990s, 3820 km² of P. euphratica forest and 200 km² of shrub- and grassland were lost in the lower reaches of the Tarim River. In this study, based on estimates of soil organic carbon in desertified lands, it has been found that in the last 30 years (1970–2000), approximately 112 Tg of organic carbon (28% originating in the 0–1.0 m soil profile) has been released into the atmosphere as a result of soil degradation in the Tarim River basin. Intensive anthropogenic disturbance has been one of the foremost factors leading to the deterioration of water resources in this region. The key to solving these problems is to enhance the scientific and technical level of monitoring, management, and restoration of water resources and associated water and soil components of local ecosystems.     

泛珠三角经济区政区建置沿革的空间关系演变透视

阐述泛珠三角自然地理共性和各省区的历史建置沿革，探讨了我国历史上根据山川形便和犬牙交错原则在这一地区划分政区的各种表现和变迁，指出历史上大多数时期按前者设置政区，以利用河流运输和水利；后者则出于加强中央集权，防止地方势力凭险割据，并进一步指出由此产生的政治、经济等区域效应，说明政区建置沿革是泛珠三角能够成为一个相对完整的地理单元的一个重要根据，也是历史发展的一个合乎逻辑的结果．