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93.
运用人工神经网络作汛期降水预报 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
本文提出汛期降水预报的人工神经网络方法,并选择一组标样进行了具体分析,预报成功率达100%,结果表明,该方法性能良好,可望成为汛期降水预报的有效手段。 相似文献
94.
Leiming Ma 《地球科学进展》1986,35(6):551-560
Numerical weather prediction, which is the major basis of current weather forecast, has some shortcomings, such as the understanding of the law of atmospheric motion, the assimilation and application of observation data, the expression of model physics, etc., leading to the forecast error of weather. The rapid development of artificial intelligence technology in recent years provides a new possibility for the advancement and innovation of weather forecast. In this paper, the background of the development of artificial intelligence, the current situation of the application of artificial intelligence technology to weather forecast and the future development trend are mainly described to account for this possibility. After that, the idea for development of weather forecast technology based on the integration of artificial intelligence and numerical forecast is put forward. Particularly, this study stresses that, in order to advance the AI algorithm of weather forecast in the future, it is requested to focus on the nonlinear and chaotic characteristics of atmospheric motion leading to the uncertainty of forecast. Starting from the essence of mathematics and physics, we need to realize the hybrid modeling of mathematics and physics, not only to establish the framework of input-output mapping, but also to provide solutions to the bottleneck problems of weather forecast. 相似文献
95.
Fate and effect of copper and cadmium on the degradation of chitin were studied in sediment microcosms. Artificial sediment was spiked with metals, and metal partitioning between sediment components, overlying water and bacteria was described. Most of the added metals were bound to sediment particles. Remarkable metal enrichments were found on Fe-oxide, Mn-oxide, and chitin. In sediments containing the nominal concentration of 100 mg/kg Cu, the chitin-degrading bacteria Cytophaga johnsonae showed a significant decrease in N-acetylglucoseaminidase activity. Toxicity of copper was attributed to free ions in the overlying water. The bacteria were more sensitive to copper than to cadmium. Inhibitory effects of cadmium were primarily caused by sediment-associated cadmium. 相似文献
96.
实用地震学包括地震勘探、深部地震测深、工程地基与质量勘查以及浅部地质灾害预测等,在国民经济各方面起着重要作用,特别是在我国油气资源勘探与开发中起着并将继续起着不可替代的作用.在即将迈向21世纪的今天,我们探讨一下实用地震学未来发展的道路是很必要的.实用地震学在21世纪仍将在地学研究和国家建设中发挥它应有的作用,而且对它的要求也将越来越高,因而它在理论和应用方面都有诸多疑难问题要研究.本文就其发展现状、未来的理论研究和新技术的应用问题做些探讨. 相似文献
97.
地理科学的信息化与现代化 总被引:48,自引:8,他引:40
20世纪我国地理学的成就是空前辉煌的,奠定了现代化的科学基础,21世纪面对全球化、网络化和知识经济的机遇和挑战,需要把全球研究提到日程上来,对地观测技术系统的进步和时、空分辨率的提高,已使全球化同步动态监测成为现实,“地球信息科学”和“数字地球”战略研究提高了对城市化与资源、生态、环境问题的再认识;增强了地理战略决策和参予工程规划、设计的能力。地理学本来就是取法自然、又以人为本的综合性学科,从来就很注重探索时间规律与空间格局及其转换,通过全球化、网络化和智能化,21世纪的地理科学、必将焕然一新。 相似文献
98.
In this paper, a simple scenario and probabilistic approach is used to assess the potential groundwater risk due to proposed
overdraft remedial actions in cone of depression, Jining City, China. Focusing on the concentrations of Chloride ions (Cl−) and total hardness (TH), the impact of artificial recharge and reduced pumping on groundwater quality and quantity is analysed
by using the three-dimensional finite difference groundwater flow and transport model, Visual MODFLOW, to simulate groundwater
flow and transport within the study area based on scenarios, and utilizes SURFER software to map risk levels. Although 5,
10 or 15% reduced pumping with artificial recharge leads to more decrease in Cl− and TH concentrations than the 25%, less volume increase is achieved for the remediation of land subsidence and other environmental
problems in the cone of depression. The Cl− concentrations in recovered groundwater are within the desired concentration of 200 mg/l; however, TH in some cases are above
the maximum permissible limit of 500 mg/l, with an exceedence probability of about 0.67 for recharge and recharge with reduced
pumping at 25%. The presence of fractures and hydrogeological complexity greatly determines impacts of remediation, and the
22% reduced pumping with artificial recharge offers an optimum strategy for overdraft remediation in the Jining cone of depression. 相似文献
99.
神经网络作为一种新的方法体系,具有分布并行处理、非线性映射、自适应学习和鲁棒容错等特性,在模式识别、控制优化和智能信息处理等方面有着广泛的应用。利用MatLab的神经网络工具箱,建立了江苏矿山地质环境质量的评估模型,评估结果经过实际验证,具有较高的可信度和实用性。 相似文献
100.
Sokrat Amataj Todor Anovski Ralf Benischke Romeo Eftimi Laurence L. Gourcy Liliana Kola Ioannis Leontiadis Eftim Micevski Alqiviadis Stamos Jovan Zoto 《Environmental Geology》2007,51(5):749-753
Prespa Lake and Ohrid Lake constitute a hydraulic system shared between Albania, FYR of Macedonia and Greece. Karst rocks
separate both lakes. The elevation of Prespa Lake is about 150 m higher than that of Ohrid Lake. Considering these facts,
Cvijić formulated in 1906 the hypothesis that Prespa Lake recharges the St. Naum and Tushemisht springs at Ohrid lakeside.
Environmental isotopes demonstrated that Prespa Lake recharges about 37–42 and 52–54% of water emerging in St. Naum, and Tushemisht
springs, respectively. An artificial tracer experiment carried out in 2002 physically demonstrated the underground connection
between both lakes. This experiment confirmed the supposed underground connection and brought important information about
the groundwater velocity, transit time, and karst water conduits development. 相似文献