地面GPS探测大气的最新进展

综述了利用地面ＧＰＳ站探测大气的技术，包括基本原理，方法，应用，最新进展和结果的介绍以及存在于该技术的误差源的讨论。从地面ＧＰＳ站的观测和表面气象参数可得出天顶湿延迟的估计，再由它和可降水汽量之间的转换关系就可得出ＰＷＶ估计。这种方法求得的ＰＷＶ时间序列不仅能提高天气预报的准确度而且有助于气候变化的研究和数值天气预报模型的改进，这就是新兴学科ＧＰＳ气象学形成的基础。     

东海区鲳鱼资源利用现状分析

通过对东海区鲳鱼近年群体组成变化及银鲳生物学特性变化来分析目前鲳鱼资源利用状况,结果表明：一方面,虽然近年鲳鱼产量大幅增加,但其平均体重、优势叉长组成及年龄组成均出现明显下降,资源状况日益恶化;另一方面,1龄鱼已占渔获的93．68％,目前捕捞现行点开捕年龄tc=1和捕捞死亡系数F＝2．51,单位补充量繁殖力相对百分比P＜1．9％,单位补充量渔获量(Yw／R)为70g／尾,均显示已处于严重的生物学型捕捞过度．建议渔业管理部门大力削减作业渔船约50％,严格控制捕捞强度,逐步推迟开捕年龄至3龄以上,使鲳鱼资源真正能够永续利用。     

1961—2020年中国北方向日葵种植区干湿变化特征及其成因分析

中国北方向日葵种植区域主要位于干旱区和半干旱区,产量受干湿条件制约,气候变化背景下水热资源变率大,对产量形成带来一定影响。利用中国北方向日葵种植区域296个气象台站逐日观测数据,基于降水量和作物蒸散量计算的湿润指数、标准化降水蒸散指数（SPEI）,分析1961—2020年向日葵生长季干湿状况时空变化特征,并利用敏感性和贡献率法分析气候变化背景下主要气象因子对作物蒸散量的影响,探讨干湿状况变化成因。结果表明：中国北方向日葵生长季干旱频率总体表现为由西向东递减的空间分布特征,其中北疆、宁夏北部及内蒙古西部干旱频率较高。近60 a向日葵种植区生长季降水量和蒸散量均呈下降趋势,SPEI在1980年前后发生突变,较突变前（1961—1980年）相比,1981—2020年轻、中、重旱频率分别下降5.63%、4.41%、2.49%。不同区域干湿状况变化存在明显差异,其中内蒙古赤峰、辽宁南部和华北平原等地区气候呈暖干化趋势,内蒙古西部和新疆等地气候变湿。近60 a向日葵生长季温度和相对湿度变化增加了作物蒸散量,但日照时数和风速变化减少了作物蒸散量,55.39%的站点风速和日照时数对作物蒸散量的贡献率大...     

大西洋热盐环流与气候突变

未来是否会发生由大西洋热盐环流崩溃引起的气候突变是目前极富争议性的全球气候变化问题。首先回顾了过去发生的气候突变事件以及若干成因假说,介绍了McGill地球系统模拟组的有关研究成果,并探讨了过去气候突变事件中的南北半球遥相关,最后讨论了未来是否会发生大西洋热盐环流崩溃引起的气候突变。对过去发生的大西洋热盐环流突变的研究表明,它产生的气候背景与现代气候以及将来进一步变暖的气候截然不同,因此不能凭过去发生过的突变事件来推论将来会发生类似的气候突变。尽管有的气候模式预测全球变暖会导致大西洋热盐环流减弱甚至崩溃而引发气候突变,但是目前全球气候系统的观测有许多不足之处,并且现代气候模式也存在较大的不确定性,因此尚不能确信现在的全球变暖会导致这样的气候突变。     

Current and thermohaline characteristics of the Arabian Sea during January 1998

Based on a ship survey during January 1998, the characteristics of the flow, the thermohaline properties and the volume transport of the Arabian Sea are discussed. A strong westward flow exists between 10.5?N and 11?N, part of which turns to the south as the Somali current near the coast at about 10?N and the rest turns north. At the passage between the African continent and the So- cotra Island, the northern branch separates into two flows: the left one enters the passage and the right one flows eastward along the southern slope of the island. Off the island the flow separates once more, most of it meandering northeast and a small fraction flow- ing southeast. Volume transport calculation suggests that the tidal transport is one or two orders of magnitude smaller than the total transport in this region and it becomes more important near the coast. The average velocity of the flow in the upper layer (0-150 m) is about 20 cm s-1, with a maximum of 53 cm s-1 appearing east of the Socotra Island, and the subsurface layer (200-800 m) has an aver- age velocity of 8.6 cm s-1; the velocity becomes smaller at greater depths. The depth of the seasonal thermocline is about 100 m, above which there is a layer with well mixed temperature and dissolved oxygen. High-salinity and oxygen-rich water appears near the surface of the northern Arabian Sea; a salinity maximum and oxygen minimum at 100 m depth along 8?N testifies the subduction of surface water from the northern Arabian Sea. Waters from the Red Sea and the Persian Gulf also influence the salinity of the area.     

西非加蓬盆地深水盐下局部盐胶结储层精细预测技术

西非加蓬盆地是一个典型的大西洋被动大陆边缘盆地,其深水盐下为一个高风险与高潜力并存的勘探新领域.近年来,在加蓬深水区M气田的勘探中,遇到了盐胶结型储层预测的新难题.在钻井数量少、地震资料品质有限以及缺乏成熟技术体系参考的条件下,通过对盐胶结成因机制进行深入研究,结合岩石物理分析、地震属性分析、盐胶结型砂岩储层岩石物理模...     

资料

2007年1月500hPa环流指数、环流特征量资料;2007年1月亚洲地区逐日500hPa西风环流指数及副热带高压脊线（120°E、130°E、140°E）位置[编者按]     

Mountain Water Tower and Ecological Risk Estimation of the Mesta-Nestos Transboundary River Basin （Bulgaria-Greece）

The Mesta-Nestos river basin in Bulgaria and Greece is a case study for transboundary decision-making support in south-eastern Europe and a show-case for the development of methodologies and information-gathering for the integrated regional planning of water resources. Land-use conflicts in this water-scarce region cover a wide spectrum of activities like agricultural irrigation,drinking water production,diversions for industrial water,and risk of pollution from mining,to name a few examples. Measurements of the water quality were carried out in the upper basin. Results will be illustrated by the example of the environmental situation in the alpine region of the Pirin National Park as well as in the Razlog Basin with a stronger anthropogenic impact and pollution around a former uranium mine near the village of Ele?nica. The social and economic development of this transboundary region is a recently established priority for the future. It will mean an increase in water usage and more stress for the water resources if regional impacts of global climate change are verified. Problem-focused management of the catchment area as a whole on the basis of proved geo-data sets is needed for the future.