基于B/S结构的网上考试系统

介绍了基于B／S结构的网上考试系统应用于气象部门的理论研究，并分析了系统总体结构，提供了一种应用SQL数据库以及ASP编程实现的网络考试系统，详细阐述了科目管理、随机生成试卷等模块的设计与实现，以及相关数据库表的结构。     

夏季青藏高原东部降水变化与副热带高压带活动的研究

用青藏高原上常规的台站资料和NCEP/NCAR的再分析资料,分析和研究了1993/1994年夏季5—8月青藏高原东部降水变化与西太平洋副热带高压南北移动的关系。结果表明:1993年夏季的副热带高压异常偏南,5—8月副高脊线北移过程中,还伴有准双周南北移动过程;而1994年夏季的副热带高压异常偏北,5—8月副高脊线北移过程中,则主要伴有30—60d的低频变化的南北移动过程。同时,在分析青藏高原上的天气变化特征时,发现这两年高原东部的降水变化特征也有明显的不同,夏季高原上降水的活跃和中断与副高脊线南北移动变化有类似的特征。因此,夏季西太平洋副热带高压南北移动可能与高原东部降水的中断/活跃有一定的关系。     

可数背景状态下QBD过程的平稳分布尾渐近态

考虑在可数背景状态下，时间离散的拟生灭过程（QBD过程）平稳分布的尾概率的渐近态。通过对QBD过程某些条件的限定，应用马尔可夫更新定理，得出在一定合理的条件下，当水平趋于无穷时的尾概率的几何衰变。通过初等方法，将该结论应用于时间离散的加入最短队模型。     

基于Terra/MODIS的沙尘暴业务化遥感监测研究

探讨了以MODIS为数据源进行沙尘暴监测的业务化技术流程及方法。以2003年4月9~11日连续发生在我国西北部特大沙尘暴为例，进行了沙尘信息提取及等级划分的示例研究，并与已经业务化运行的气象卫星（NOAA-16、风云1C气象卫星）的结果进行了相关比较。结果表明，该研究为卫星遥感监测沙尘提供了新的数据源和监测途径。     

基于RS对云南边境地区土地覆盖现状及变化研究

 土地利用/覆盖变化研究是全球变化研究的热点之一。应用遥感、GIS技术及数理统计学的方法，利用1976年MSS和2004年TM二个时期的遥感影像数据，对云南边境地区的土地覆盖动态变化进行监测研究，并对变化的时空特征进行了分析。结果表明，土地覆盖现状以森林和裸岩地为主，土地利用/覆盖变化的主要方向是林地向裸地和耕地转化。     

Intercalibration of international and domestic ~(40)Ar/~(39)Ar dating standards

40Ar/39Ar method is a high precision dating means, of which the age is obtained by contrasting the un- known sample with those of standards. Usually the age of standard is determined by K-Ar method in which the 38Ar spike should be added for measurement. However, the absolute concentration of 38Ar spike is measured through the calibrated standards in turn, al- though occasionally the concentration of 38Ar spike is determined by other dating methods, such as Rb-Sr, U-Pb methods, which is kn…     

Scaling and correlation of atmospheric acid deposition evolutions

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) and power spectrum density are applied to verify the presence of temporal scaling behavior and long-range persistence (LRP) of weekly hydrogen ion deposition (WHD), NO₃^- and SO₄^2- deposition series in National Atmospheric Deposition Program, USA, for the period 1978–2001. The results show a common scaling behavior for all sites analyzed. Two distinct scaling regions are identified by DFA1, one corresponding to 1 month to 1 year and the other to 1 year to 5 years. The WHD series obey power-law in two temporal regimes respectively with mean DFA1 scaling exponents α ₁≈0.68 and α ₂≈0.45, implying the presence of LRP in the acid deposition series and there is a tendency for a large deposition event to be followed by another large event, and vice versa. For DFA2–DFA4, however, the annual crossover, which divides the temporal scale into two regimes, disappears gradually with the order q of DFAq increasing, and the two scaling regimes turn to share the same scaling exponent close to α ₁. The result indicates that the scaling behavior exits in the two regimes with the same scaling exponent α ₁, and LRP prevails during the examined 1-month to 5-years scale. NO₃^- and SO₄^2- deposition evolve the same way as WHD does, implying the pollutants involving in acid deposition may share some prominent mechanism controlling their evolutions. We ascribe the long-range power-law scaling of acid deposition evolutions to the self-organized critical behavior of atmosphere under pollution stress and it should be considered in the trend prediction of acid deposition as an important factor.     

Intercalibration of international and domestic 40Ar/39Ar dating standards

Four international standards, Ga1550, MMhb-1, Lp-6, Bem 4M, and one domestic standard BT-1 have been intercalibrated. The repeated measurements on MMhb-1 with different mass demonstrate that MMhb-1 is inhomogeneous in age and its average age is 519.8 Ma. The results of Bern 4M and Lp-6 reflect that they have an invariable value of ⁴⁰Ar*/³⁹Ar_k (F) and the ages we obtained are consensus with their K-Ar age: Lp-6=127.7Ma; Bern 4M=18.2 Ma. Analyses of BT-1 age spectra, Ca/K and Cl/K spectra as well as inverse isochrons indicate that the sample is homogeneous and invariable and keeps close chemically, with its trapped argon isotope composition close to the atmosphere. The dating results show that age values are reproducible and steady, total fusion age, step-heating age, plateau age and isochron age are in accord with each other within the error range (2σ). Therefore, we recommend 28.7 Ma as the calibrated age of BT-1. We also discuss the variation in neutron flux gradients of Beijing 49-2 reactor. It was found that the neutron flux gradient varies considerably, and more monitors (standard samples) are needed to fix the trend of variation. The coefficient of the 49-2 reactor that transfers the ratio of production rate of ³⁷Ar_Ca/³⁹Ar_K into Ca/K ratio is 1.78. This is different from that reported earlier, 2.0, which may be caused by the reconstruction of the reactor.     

泰安市世行贷款二期项目区地下水监测研究

为合理开发利用地下水资源提供科学依据,确保地下水资源可持续利用,防止由于超采地下水而诱发环境危害,对泰安市世行贷款二期项目区地下水动态变化规律、水资源的分布特征进行了分析研究,提出了地下水合理开发利用的建议.