广东跨省流入人口缩减的演化格局及影响因素研究

跨省流入缩减是广东人口迁移进程中的新现象。基于五普、六普和2015年1%人口抽样数据,本文分别刻画了广东2000—2015年省域和县市尺度跨省流入缩减演化格局特征,讨论了县市单元和典型案例城市省际流入缩减演化分异的成因机理。结论如下：① 2010—2015年,广东跨省流入人口缩减已初见雏形,四川、湖北、河南和湖南等15省份来粤人口出现下降。② 5年来县市尺度跨省流入缩减态势显著,省际流入缩减的县市比重高达84.09%,省际流入缩减演化格局中以流入扩张转流入缩减类型占据主导,其中省际流入较为活跃的珠三角和外围地市辖区开始出现流入缩减。③ 相比于省际流入持续扩张区,第三产业就业、人均财政支出、固定资产投资、外资占GDP比重及人口密度是省际流入扩张区发生流入缩减的负向抑制因素,而第二产业就业规模则是其正向促进因素。技术创新和公共服务是广州和深圳省际流入缩减 分异的主要原因,东莞省际流入缩减与珠海省际流入扩张分别受外需疲软和宜人居住环境的影响。     

1987 - 2018年祁连山冰川变化遥感监测及影响因子分析

祁连山冰川融水是维系我国西北地区生态平衡的重要因素。为评估祁连山冰川在全球气候变暖背景下的状态, 利用Landsat-TM、 ETM+、 OLI等遥感影像, 基于波段比值阈值法提取1987 - 2018年共计7期冰川边界进行时序变化分析。结果显示： 近31年来祁连山冰川面积从2 080.39 km²退缩到1 442.09 km², 年均退缩率达0.99%, 相比1956 - 1990年间的退缩率（0.58%）大幅增加; 近31年来冰川物质平衡线高度稳步上升; 冰川主要分布在海拔4 700 ~ 5 100 m之间, 冰川退缩随海拔降低而增加; 约93%的冰川的面积小于2.0 km², 小于0.1 km²的冰川的总数和总面积呈增加态势; 0.5 ~ 1.0 km²的冰川退缩最快, 年均退缩率达1.53%, 而大于10.0 km²的冰川退缩最慢, 年均退缩率为0.59%; 祁连山冰川退缩主要由夏季均温升高引起, 且最近十年间冰川呈现出加速退缩的态势。     

黄河下游游荡段河床萎缩的影响因素分析

黄河下游河床萎缩典型地表现为平滩水位下河床断面面积的趋势性减小,本文根据黄河下游实测断面和水沙资料采用相关分析方法研究了游荡段河床萎缩的主要影响因素。1960~1997年游荡段河床平滩水位下断面面积经历了1960~1964年和1974~1985年的扩张时期及1965~1973年和1986~1997年的萎缩时期,这种变化是多种因素共同作用的结果。在来水来沙中,年径流量是主要因素,洪峰流量和年平均含沙量是较次要的因素;本文所讨论的其它4个因素中,花园口以上引水量影响最大,降雨量影响次之,兰州以上水库的调节作用对河床断面面积的变化也有较明显的影响;三门峡水库三种不同的使用方式对下游河床有不同的影响,采取"蓄清排浊"方式后对下游河床的影响较小。     

东北三省城镇收缩的特征及机制与响应

基于城镇收缩视角认识东北三省人口流失与经济衰退问题,对深化中国老工业基地转型理论具有重要意义.本文以东北三省县级市(县)为研究对象,利用ArcGIS与空间计量方法,分析增长与收缩城镇的特征与空间关系,研究收缩城镇的职能差异和空间分布格局,探讨区域城镇收缩的形成机制与应对措施.结果 显示:2000年以来,东北三省出现了明...     

THE FLUCTUATIONS OF ITALIAN GLACIERS DURING THE LAST CENTURY: A CONTRIBUTION TO KNOWLEDGE ABOUT ALPINE GLACIER CHANGES

This paper describes the recent evolution of Italian glaciers through an analysis of all available terminus fluctuation data that the authors have entered in a glaciers database (named GLAD) containing 883 records collected on glaciers from 1908 to 2002. Furthermore, a representative subset of data (249 glaciers located in Lombardy) was analysed regarding surface area changes. For the analysis of terminus fluctuations, the glaciers were sorted by size classes according to length. The data showed that during the 20th century Italian Alpine glaciers underwent a generalized retreat, with one distinct and well documented readvance episode that occurred between the 1970s and mid‐1980s, and a poorly documented one around the early 1920s. The rates of terminus advance and retreat have changed without significant delays for the larger glaciers with respect to the smaller ones. However, the smaller the glacier, the more limited the advance (if any) during the 1970s and early 1980s. The behaviour of glaciers shorter than 1 km appears to have changed in the last decade, and between 1993 and 2002 they retreated at a very high rate. The analysis of the subset of data led to a quanti‐fication of surface reduction of c. 10% from 1992 to 1999 for glaciers in Lombardy. Small glaciers proved to contribute strongly to total area loss: in 1999, 232 glaciers (c. 90% of the total) were smaller than 1 km², covering 27.2 km² (less than 30% of the total area), but accounted for 58% of the total loss in area (they had lost 7.4 km²).     

Application of vertically integrated sampling approach to study of new production via 234Th-238U disequilibria

I~IOWBecause of the imPOrtance of new production in the studies of the structure and function ofmarine eCOSystem and carhan cycleS, one should pay great attention tO the study of new production in biological oceanography, biogeOChendstry, and especially in the study of global change(Plait et al., 1992; Jiao and Wang, 1993; Wang, 1992). With the deepening of the study ofnew production, it has been found that the spatial and temporal distributions of new preductionvary largely in different…     

第四纪地层钻具起下钻受阻和岔孔事故处理

在厚第四纪地层中进行勘探施工,最常见且最难以处理的孔内事故钻具下钻受阻,导致经常出现岔孔等孔内事故,对钻探施工影响很大。本文运用现代钻探理论,结合现场事故处理经验等资料,分析论证了在钻进和停钻时地层、泥浆和钻具等因素对钻孔孔径的影响,并对此问题的处理了探讨。     

河北平原冬小麦播种面积收缩对农业水资源消耗的影响(英文)

This study firstly analyzed the shrinkage of winter wheat and the changes of cropping systems in the Hebei Plain from 1998 to 2010 based on the agricultural statistic data of 11 cities and meteorological data, including daily temperature, precipitation, water vapor, wind speed and minimum relative humidity data from 22 meteorological stations, and then calculated the water deficit and irrigation water resources required by different cropping systems, as well as the irrigation water resources conserved as a result of cropping system changes, using crop coefficient method and every ten-day effective precipitation estimation method. The results are as follows. 1) The sown areas of winter wheat in the 11 cities in the Hebei Plain all shrunk during the study period. The shrinkage rate was 16.07% and the total shrinkage area amounted to 49.62×104ha. The shrinkage was most serious in the Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan metropolitan agglomerate, with a shrinkage rate of 47.23%. 2) The precipitation fill rate of winter wheat was only 20%–30%, while those of spring maize and summer maize both exceeded 50%. The irrigation water resources demanded by the winter wheat-summer maize double cropping system ranged from 400 mm to 530 mm, while those demanded by the spring maize single cropping system ranged only from 160 mm to 210 mm. 3) The water resources conserved as a result of the winter wheat sown area shrinkage during the study period were about 15.96×108m3/a, accounting for 27.85% of those provided for Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei by the first phase of the Mid-Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project.     

基于子带内小波系数相关性的遥感图像滤波

滤波是遥感图像处理和应用过程中必不可少的一个环节.传统的小波域滤波方法对所有的细节小波系数逐一进行独立的收缩处理,而没有顾及小波系数之间的相关性,因而不具备较强的鲁棒性和适应性.文中提出一种基于小波系数聚集性分布的滤波策略.该方法认为小波系数的分布具有集中性,对当前的系数在邻域内计算其能量,而后将其纳入系数的收缩策略,...     

半干旱及大温差环境下水泥稳定碎石变形试验

为研究水稳基层变形影响因素,对水泥剂量、品种、级配设计等方面展开系统试验研究。本文对骨架密实型水泥稳定碎石、悬浮密实型水泥稳定碎石和骨架空隙型水泥稳定碎石进行干缩试验及温缩试验,运用Origin对试验数据进行回归拟合,总结半刚性基层材料的变形规律,从而提高沥青路面的耐久性。结果表明：对比结构类型不同的水泥碎石材料可知,骨架空隙型干缩系数0~7 d增大了2倍,后续干缩系数增幅趋于缓和,在水泥用量相同时,骨架空隙型干燥收缩程度最低,即骨架空隙型结构水泥可有效降低水稳基层开裂;水泥稳定砂砾中,随着水泥用量的增加;各个温度段的温缩变形逐渐增大,并且在高温区50~60℃段温缩变形最大,随着温度降低变形量变小,0~10℃段温缩变形最小;同种水泥剂量、水泥标号中,骨架空隙型平均温缩系数最小,悬浮密实型最大,骨架密实型居中。相同级配、相同水泥剂量的水泥稳定砂砾中,42.5水泥试件平均温缩系数大于32.5水泥试件平均温缩系数。