加权总体最小二乘在三维基准转换中的应用

对比研究加权总体最小二乘(weighted total least-squares,WTLS)方法和混合最小二乘(LS-TLS)方法、最小二乘(least-squares,LS)方法在三维空间小角度直角坐标转换中的适用性。在两套坐标系下坐标测量值均存在误差时,用WTLS方法不但可以对观测向量y和系数矩阵A同时修改、将坐标先验精度引入平差计算,而且引入的权阵PA对系数阵A起到固定常数元素而只修改必要数据元素的作用,以得到更合适的参数解。     

Oxidized Nitrogen in the Remote Pacific: The Role of Electrical Discharges over the Oceans

Simulations of oxidized nitrogen performed withglobal transport tracer models systematicallyunderestimate the concentrations of total nitrate atremote marine locations in the Mid-Pacific. Higheremission rates in the models of nitrogen oxides( ) from continental sources or alarger influx from the stratosphere do not seem tobe able to account for the shortfall. We are led toconclude that there has to be a substantial sourcelocated in oceanic areas. We speculate that -emission from electrical discharges overthe oceans could be the source we are looking for.Airborne observations of atmospheric concentrationsof oxidized nitrogen and ozone in the remoteatmosphere and observations of nitrate wetdeposition in remote sites are used as additionalconstraints to check the plausibility of thishypothesis. We find that a larger emission of due to lightning activity over the oceansindeed results in a much improved simulation oftotal nitrate in the remote Pacific, particularly inthe Equatorial and Tropical South Pacific and thatsuch a scenario is generally consistent withavailable observations of nitrate wet deposition andatmospheric concentrations of oxidized nitrogen andozone. An alternative hypothesis is that there is ahitherto unknown in situ source of over thePacific Ocean.     

The total operating characteristic to measure diagnostic ability for multiple thresholds

The relative operating characteristic (ROC) is a popular statistical method to measure the association between observed and diagnosed presence of a characteristic. The diagnosis of presence or absence depends on whether the value of an index variable is above a threshold. ROC considers multiple possible thresholds. Each threshold generates a two-by-two contingency table, which contains four central entries: hits, misses, false alarms, and correct rejections. ROC reveals for each threshold only two ratios, hits/(hits + misses) and false alarms/(false alarms + correct rejections). This article introduces the total operating characteristic (TOC), which shows the total information in the contingency table for each threshold. TOC maintains desirable properties of ROC, while TOC reveals strictly more information than ROC in a manner that makes TOC more useful than ROC. We illustrate the concepts with an application to land change science.     

混合LS-TLS的GM（1,1）模型在基坑水平位移监测中的应用

通过分析传统GM（1,1）模型的局限性,提出了混合整体最小二乘法（混合LS-TLS）的GM（1,1）模型,并将其应用于宁夏某深基坑水平位移的监测中。同时,将此模型与最小二乘法（LS）的GM（1,1）模型及整体最小二乘法（TLS）的GM（1,1）模型进行了对比,分析了3种模型所求水平位移的预测值。结果表明,混合LS-TLS的GM（1,1）模型更符合工程实际,预测精度更高,在深基坑水平位移监测中具有一定的实用性。     

利用位置与云计算建立电离层TEC主动式播发平台

提出了利用地理位置信息与云计算模式的电离层总电子含量主动式播发方式,并建设了相应的应用平台。该平台采用了“虚实”组合服务器,将科学计算部分与用户交互分离,充分发挥物理服务器的计算效能,大大提升了平台服务的性能,可根据用户数量进行弹性的服务器配置从而节省平台运行的成本,同时具备多个虚拟服务器备份从而实现平台持续安全运行,并能够有效控制针对特定时空下电离层总电子含量的精度,根据需求进行相应的部署即可服务于区域或者全球用户。     

大兴安岭摩天岭雨养泥炭沼泽多环芳烃分布特征与来源分析

运用气相色谱—质谱(GC-MS)技术对大兴安岭摩天岭(47°22′23″N,120°38′45″E)雨养泥炭沼泽泥炭柱中的多环芳烃(PAHs)污染物进行了分析。结果表明,研究区雨养泥炭沼泽表层PAHs总含量的质量比为1 874.4 ng/g,与国内外雨养泥炭沼泽表层相比,其污染水平相对较高。由于研究区气候冷湿,雨养泥炭沼泽中的有机质腐殖化程度较低,有机碳含量较高,这和其PAHs含量的相关性较小。研究区样品中检测出的PAHs主要以2~3环的多环芳烃为主;由PAHs分子标志物指标分析结果可知,研究区雨养泥炭沼泽PAHs污染物的主要来源是当地森林火灾与大气远距离沉降;沉降的PAHs污染物是原油开采、石油生产和化石燃料燃烧的共同贡献。在距地表15~34 cm处,柱状剖面层的PAHs含量显著增加,这是由于1987年和1998年大兴安岭发生森林火灾树木燃烧所致。     

全站仪中间自由设站法三角高程测量浅析

阐述了全站仪中间自由设站法三角高程测量的原理及精度分析,经理论分析,该方法在一定条件下可达到三等水准测量的精度要求,特别适合山区高速公路、铁路等线性工程的高程控制测量.     

一种基于三角分区的广域电离层改正新方法

根据中国地形分布难以建立格网模型的特点,为了解决我国区域电离层精确改正的问题,提出了广域电离层改正三角分区的方法。选择中国地震电离层监测实验网中纬度地区的5个监测站,建立覆盖我国中纬度整个网络服务区域的三角分区电离层模型,并利用8个基准站的数据对该方法的修正精度进行评估,结果表明,对于三角分区内部区域,该方法可以修正到90%左右;对于三角分区外部几百公里以内的区域该方法也能达到80%以上的修正精度,同时利用原始GNSS数据对美国、加拿大等4个IGS跟踪站进行补充实验也验证了该方法的可行性,在保证模型精度的同时较格网法更加简单、有效,对广域电离层延迟误差的修正具有重要的参考价值。     

Extremely low temperatures in the stratosphore and very low total ozone amount above northern and central Europe during winter 1989

On 1 February 1989, -83.5°C was recorded in 27.8 hPa over Hohenpeißenberg, the lowest temperature in the 22-year series. This was measured together with a very low total ozone amount of 266 DU. This may be compared with nearly twice this amount on 27 February 1989. The situation was very unusual: following an extremely cold winter in the Arctic stratosphere, the stratospheric cold pole was located over southern Scandinavia on 1 February in a very southerly position. The analyzed temperatures of -92 °C in 30 hPa were also unusual. Even though the low ozone amounts over Hohenpeißenberg were probably dynamically caused, an additional very small ozone decrease due to heterogeneous reactions in altitudes from 23–28 km, where the temperatures lie below -80 °C, cannot be ruled out. Extinction measurements by the orbitting SAGE II instrument indeed show polar stratospheric clouds over Europe near 50° N during the period 31 January–2 February. Also, polar stratospheric clouds were previously observed over Kiruna at similarly low temperatures and signs of a corresponding small ozone decrease were noted there.