Application of an optimum design technique for determining the coefficient of consolidation by using piezocone test data

For normally consolidated clay, several researchers have developed a number of theoretical time factors to determine the coefficient of consolidation from piezocone test results. However, depending on assumptions and analytical techniques, it could vary considerably, even for a specific degree of consolidation. In this paper a method is proposed to determine a consistent coefficient of consolidation by applying the concept of an optimum design technique over all ranges of the degree of consolidation. Initial excess pore pressure distribution is assumed to be capable of being obtained by the successive spherical cavity expansion theory. The dissipation of pore pressure is simulated by means of a two-dimensional linear-uncoupled axi-symmetric consolidation analysis. The minimization of differences between measured and predicted excess pore pressure was carried out by the BFGS unconstrained optimum design algorithm with a one-dimensional golden section search technique. By analyzing numerical examples and in-situ test results, it was found that the adopted optimum design technique gives consistent and convergent results.     

A variance-ratio test for supporting a variable mean in kriging

This article discusses the issue of whether to use a variable mean and describes a test that can be used to evaluate whether it is justified to add terms to the drift (deterministic part) of a geostatistical model. The basic model could be the intrinsic one, where the deterministic part is a constant, and the alternate model could be any model that includes a constant term in the expression for the drift. Also, differences between constant- and variable-mean models are discussed.     

Testing an earthquake prediction algorithm

A test to evaluate earthquake prediction algorithms is being applied to a Russian algorithm known asM8 TheM8 algorithm makes intermediate term predictions for earthquakes to occur in a large circle, based on integral counts of transient seismicity in the circle. In a retroactive prediction for the period January 1, 1985 to July 1, 1991 the algorithm as configured for the forward test would have predicted eight of ten strong earthquakes in the test area. A null hypothesis, based on random assignment of predictions, predicts eight earthquakes in 2.87% of the trials. The forward test began July 1, 1991 and will run through December 31, 1997. As of July 1, 1995, the algorithm had forward predicted five out of nine earthquakes in the test area, which success ratio would have been achieved in 53% of random trials with the null hypothesis.     

依兰-萝北地区地震危险区地震活动跟踪研究

本文选取地震活动图像演化和地震学参数变化两项指标，采用有时间段的时空扫描进行演化研究，逐步将这种演化研究推进到短期阶段进行跟踪研究。认为依兰-萝北地区近期发生5级左右地震可能性较小，黑龙江断裂两侧可能会有4级左右地震发生。     

中国高放废物地质处置:现状和展望

本文阐述了中国的高放废物处置政策,回顾了中国高放废物地质处置在选址和场址评价、缓冲回填材料等方面的进展,提出了中国高放废物地质处置的初步规划,指出我国计划在2015年确定地下实验室场址.还展望了国际合作前景.     

洪水保险的理论分析与研究

简述了目前一些国家的洪水保险的现状,综合应用了经济学、保险学、系统工程等理论和知识,对洪水保险问题进行了深入分析和研究,揭示了洪水保险的内在性质和规律,建立了洪水保险的效用模型。结合我国的国情,对我国实施洪水保险提出了建议。     

广西新型矿物材料发展方向初探

新材料是发展高新技术产业的基础。根据广西的矿产资源优势和在矿物材料方面的研究基础和技术力量，提出了加强工艺矿物学研究，大力发展广西新型矿物材料的研究开发方向，特别提出了超细改性矿物粉体材料、环保矿物材料、节能保温矿物材料、高技术陶瓷材料和合成矿物晶体材料等材料体系中的重点开发方向。     

地热井常见主要问题分析与研究

针对目前地热井施工技术现状及地热井使用中常见的问题，进行了较为详细的分析和研究，并就今后发展方向和建议进行了初步探讨。     

Progress in sandy desertification research of China

Desertification is one of the most serious environmental and socio-economic problems facing the world today. Because the rapid expansion of desertification has resulted in serious environmental deterioration, economic loss, locally unsteadiness political situation and social upheaval, it has become a hot-spot issue of worldwide concern. During the late 1960s and early 1970s, as the catastrophic drought in the west Africa greatly accelerated the development of desertification, the desertificati…     

武汉地铁及长江隧道沿线地下管线现状分析

本文论述了利用城市地下管线信息系统对武汉地铁和长江隧道沿线进行地下管线现状调查的过程和方法，结果表明利用该系统所完成的分析和成果资料满足了武汉及长江隧道沿线工程可行性研究的需要。