由地震活动参数分析龙门山-岷山断裂带的现今活动习性与强震危险性

根据最近28年的区域台网地震资料,利用b值空间分布及断裂带分段的多地震活动参数值的组合方法,结合历史强震背景,分析了沿川北龙门山-岷山断裂带不同断裂段的现今活动习性,并初步判别出了潜在的强震危险段落。研究结果表明:龙门山断裂带中-南段存在6个具有不同现今活动习性的段落,其中,绵竹-茂县段处于相对高应力背景下的频繁中-小震活动状态,被认为是龙门山断裂带上未来最可能发生强震的地段;江油-平武段处于相对高应力背景下的稀疏中-小震活动状态,未来有可能发生中强地震。而岷山断裂带中的岷江断裂段和虎牙断裂段,以及叠溪隐伏逆断层地区均具有相对偏低的应力水平,可能与其不久前分别发生过大地震和强震有关,未来不太长的时期内复发大地震的可能性较小。     

场地地震安全性评价中确定设计地震动参数若干问题研究

本文研究确定设计地震动参数中涉及的若干问题,其中包括基岩水平加速度反应谱衰减关系的选择、震源深度对基岩水平加速度峰值及基岩反应谱曲线的影响、强度包络线函数及输入随机相位的选择、土体非线性特性参数和土层剪切波速值的选择、设计地震动反应谱的标定等问题。本文基于一个典型场地计算剖面,采用一维等效线性化模型并通过逐项变换某些研究参数的方法,研究了各种因素对设计地震动参数可能产生的影响及存在的误差和相应的规律。     

场地地震安全性评价中确定设计地震动参数方面若干问题的研究

研究了确定设计地震动参数中涉及的若干问题,其中包括基岩水平加速度反应谱衰减关系的选择、震源深度对基岩水平加速度峰值及基岩反应谱曲线的影响、强度包络线函数及输入随机相位的选择、土体非线性特性参数和土层剪切波速值的选择、设计地震动反应谱的标定等问题。在有关方面的研究中基于一个典型场地计算剖面,采用一维等效线性化模型并通过逐项变换某些研究参数的方法,研究了有关方面对设计地震动参数可能产生的影响及存在的误差和相应的规律,有关研究结果对合理确定设计地震动参数具有一定的实用价值。     

S-wave spectral analysis of the 1995 Kozani-Grevena (NW Greece) aftershock sequence

S-wave spectral analysis is applied to 174 strong motion accelerationrecords to obtain the source parameters of 27 aftershocks(3.1 M_L 4.3) of the May 13, 1995, M_w 6.6,Kozani-Grevena (NW Greece) earthquake. The data are derived from atemporary network, of three-component digital accelerographs, deployedwithin the strongly affected area some days after the mainshock occurrence.Site effects were evident in the strong motion records at 3 out of the 4stations used, and a correction was applied to account for theoverestimation of seismic moment due to amplification of thelow-frequency part of the spectrum. The data from this analysis arecomplimented with previously obtained source parameters for earthquakesin Greece, in order to study the applicability of the empirical scalingrelations used so far, towards smaller magnitudes. In general, a goodcorrelation was observed in most cases, validating the use of empiricalrelations that are applicable to the Aegean area. Empirical relations aredetermined between seismic moment and seismic slip, as well as, betweenseismic moment and stress drop, applicable to small magnitude earthquakes(M_L < 4.3). Stress drop values were found to be relatively small,ranging from 2 to 41 bars, indicative of inter-plate environments. Thevalues of f_c and of f_max were found in good agreement withrelations based on observations from larger worldwide earthquakes.     

热带气旋穿越副热带高压的数值试验

用简单的准地转正压涡度方程模式,通过比较与多组不同计算参数相对应的台风路径的相似程度,确定出合理的计算参数：即求解Ｐｏｉｓｓｏｎ方程的迭代精度可取为１．０×１０－４;时间积分步长可取为２０分钟。     

渐近式地震速报和地震信息服务的工作程序设想

本文讨论了渐近式地震速报和地震信息服务的工作程序的设想。随着通讯技术和数字地震观测技术的发展,地震速报工作已经开始逼近地震参数快速测定的地震学极限,即地震波传播速度的有限性和震相分析的复杂性带来的极限,从而使同时提高速度和精度存在档大的困难,中国方面,防震减灾工作以地震快速反应的要求却不一定是速度与精度的同时提高,而 分阶段的、依距地震发生的时间而不同的,这就使得渐近式的地震速报程序成为可能。从更     

部分输入未知条件下的结构系统识别研究

本文研究输入信息不完备条件下结构的参数识别问题,在对传统识别算法的特点进行分析的基础上提出了一种新的识别方法－全量补偿法。文中给出了算法理论证明和具体的数值算例。     

A source extent analysis of the Lancang earthquake ( M s=7.6) of 1988

Source extent parameters of the 1988 Lancang earthquake (M _s=7.6) were estimated by computing the second-central moment of displacement pulses of far field long period SH waves. We inverted the source duration T, the fault length L and the directivity parameter D by the least squares, and obtained that T=11.77 s, D=15.05 km·s, and L=70.94 km. We also find that this event is a symmetrically bilateral rupture and fault segments in two opposite rupture directions have the same value of 35 km in length. Combining analysis of aftershock distribution, the results would imply that there is an area in the joint part of the rupture area of two main shocks, which is not broken yet during the main shocks. Due to the dislocation accompanied during the main shocks, the strain would be rearranged. The joint part has enough strength to accumulate enough strain energy to excite a larger aftershock.     

大连开发区场地地震设计参数

根据工作区潜在震源区划分、潜在震源区地震活动性参数和地震动衰减关系, 进行场地地震危险性分析, 得到不同概率水平下场区相应地震烈度和基岩水平加速度峰值及其反应谱。根据场地工程地震条件划分不同地质单元及相应的场地类别, 进行不同概率水平的地震反应分析计算, 确定地震动设计参数。     

White dwarf masses in magnetic cataclysmic variables: multi-temperature fits to Ginga data

One method of obtaining the mass of the white dwarf in magnetic cataclysmic variables (mCVs) is through their hard X-ray spectra. However, previous mass estimates using this method give lower limits because the temperature of the plasma in the post-shock region (where the hard X-rays are emitted) is lower than the temperature of the shock itself. In AM Her systems, the additional cooling of the post-shock plasma by cyclotron emission will further lower the derived mass. Here we present estimates of the masses of the white dwarf in 13 mCVs derived using Ginga data and a model in which X-rays are emitted from a multi-temperature emission region with the appropriate temperature and density profile. We include in the model reflection from the surface of the white dwarf and a partially ionized absorber. We are able to achieve good fits to the data. We compare the derived masses with previous estimates and the masses for larger samples of isolated white dwarfs and those in CVs.