基于优化经验模态分解和聚类分析的滑坡位移智能预测研究

针对三峡库区"阶跃式"滑坡的变形特征,提出了一种新的滑坡位移预测方法。以白水河滑坡ZG118和XD-01监测点位移数据为例,采用基于软筛分停止准则的经验模态分解(SSSC-EMD)将累计位移-时间曲线和影响因子时间序列自适应地分解为多个固有模态函数(IMF),并采用K均值(K-Means)聚类法对其进行聚类累加,得到有物理含义的位移分量(趋势性位移、周期性位移以及随机性位移)和影响因子分量(高频影响因子和低频影响因子)。使用最小二乘法对趋势性位移进行拟合预测;采用果蝇优化-最小二乘支持向量机(FOA-LSSVM)模型对周期性位移和随机性位移进行预测。将各位移分量预测值进行叠加处理,实现滑坡累计位移的预测。研究结果表明,所提出的(SSSC-EMD)-K-Means-(FOA-LSSVM)模型能够预测"阶跃式"滑坡的位移变化规律,且预测精度高于传统的支持向量机回归(SVR)、最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)模型;并通过改变训练集长度,进行单因素分析,发现其与预测精度之间呈正相关关系。     

GNSS控制网方案优化与数据处理分析

GNSS布设平面控制网已在工程项目中得到广泛应用.获得满意的平差结果的前提条件为:①高质量的基线数据;②约束GNSS控制网的已知点精度足够高,使得GNSS控制网的整体精度不受已知点约束而有明显改变;③优化的平差方案;④科学严密的平差模型.通过对某项目GNSS控制网的布设进行优化设计,并利用不同软件对观测数据进行处理分析...     

结构-功能耦合下的城市水系连通方案两阶段优化

传统水系连通方案编制主要以水系结构为主导,忽略了连通后对水系功能的影响,本文在进行城市水系布局时,将水系连通形状和连通功能两部分纳为一体来制定水系连通方案。基于中心性评价方法,提出河段重要性计算方法来定量刻画河段重要性;借助隶属度函数建立连通功能及其表征参数的函数关系,据此量化水系连通功能效果;以河网连通功能达标率和水系连通性满足度为优选目标,建立结构-功能耦合下的水系连通方案两阶段优化模型,优选最佳闸门联合调度方案。以清潩河许昌段为实例,优化原河网及不同水系连通情景的连通性。研究表明：经过优化后,原河网清潩河水系连通性总体较好,但护城河附近和饮马河的连通性较差;连通护城河和清泥河、连通饮马河和小洪河能极大地提升护城河附近和饮马河的水系连通性。     

Shape optimization of two-dimensional cavitators in supercavitating flows, using NSGA II algorithm

The reduction of energy consumption of high speed submersible bodies is an important challenge in hydrodynamic researches. In this paper, shape optimization of two-dimensional cavitators in supercavitating flows is studied. A two dimensional supercavitation potential flow passes a symmetric two dimensional cavitator, which is placed perpendicular to the flow in a channel of infinite length and immediately a cavity is formed behind the cavitator. This is because of the generation of a gas or vapor cavity between the body and the surrounding liquid due to the change in a high speed flow direction passing the cavitator. Drag force acting on this supercavitating body dictates the thrust requirements for the propulsion system, to maintain a required cavity at the operating speed. Therefore, any reduction in the drag force, by modifying the shape of the cavitator, will lead to decrease this force. This study concentrates on the optimization of two dimensional cavitators in order to decrease drag coefficient for a specified after body length and velocity in a potential flow. To achieve this goal a multi-objective optimization problem is defined to optimize cavitator shapes in supercavitating flow. The so-called NSGA II (Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm) algorithm is used as an optimization method. Design parameters and constraints are obtained according to supercavitating flow characteristics and cavitator modeling and objective functions are generated using Linear Regression Method. The obtained results are compared with other classic optimization methods, like the weighted sum method, for validation.     

支持向量机在海洋随机资料分析中的应用

在随机海洋资料的分析中,需要从大量的实际数据中提取出有用的信息来建立或检验各种海洋理论模型,因此我们要正确运用适当的手段来分析处理各种实际数据。文中简要介绍了数据挖掘中一项新的技术支持向量机,着重介绍了最优化问题的求解算法,以及如何应用于海洋资料的分析处理。     

基于GPS和水准数据的微粒群算法联合反演祁连山北缘断裂三维滑动速率

将微粒群算法与位错理论模型相结合,采用中国地壳运动观测网络提供的青藏高原地区2001~2004年GPS测量数据和2000~2006年水准测量数据,通过常规定权和附有相对权比的方法对祁连山北缘断裂的三维滑动速率进行联合反演,并与蚁群算法反演结果进行对比。结果表明,微粒群算法收敛速度快、稳定性高,结合经典位错理论模型,是一种可以有效求解断层三维滑动速率反演问题的优化算法,在大地测量反演领域极具应用潜力。     

话语权结构对国土空间规划方案的影响机理与优化策略

从话语权结构入手,分析规划制度因素对国土空间规划方案的影响机理,提出适应国土空间规划体系的优化话语权结构的策略建议。研究发现：① 由于利益主体短期内不会发生变化,真正影响国土空间规划的是不同利益主体的话语权结构。随着中国规划体制的改革,要形成有序的国土空间规划体系,最核心的是要在细分领域确定不同层级政府的话语权结构。② 不同层级规划的冲突主要表现在规模和空间两个方面,相对于国土空间上位规划的“三区三线”理想方案,六盘水市城市规划的建设类用地面积偏大27.9%,保护类用地面积偏小9.3%。冲突的原因是缺乏上级规划对下级规划的管控机制以及下级规划对上级规划的衔接机制。③ 通过分解传导以及集合传导机制,构建了细分领域的不同层级政府话语权结构体系,实现了不同层级国土空间规划的分级传导和分级管控。     

Detecting arbitrarily shaped clusters in origin-destination flows using ant colony optimization

An origin-destination (OD) flow can be defined as the movement of objects between two locations. These movements must be determined for a range of purposes, and strong interactions can be visually represented via clustering of OD flows. Identification of such clusters may be useful in urban planning, traffic planning and logistics management research. However, few methods can identify arbitrarily shaped flow clusters. Here, we present a spatial scan statistical approach based on ant colony optimization (ACO) for detecting arbitrarily shaped clusters of OD flows (AntScan_flow). In this study, an OD flow cluster is defined as a regional pair with significant log likelihood ratio (LLR), and the ACO is employed to detect the clusters with maximum LLRs in the search space. Simulation experiments based on AntScan_flow and SaTScan_flow show that AntScan_flow yields better performance based on accuracy but requires a large computational demand. Finally, a case study of the morning commuting flows of Beijing residents was conducted. The AntScan_flow results show that the regions associated with moderate- and long-distance commuting OD flow clusters are highly consistent with subway lines and highways in the city. Additionally, the regions of short-distance commuting OD flow clusters are more likely to exhibit ‘residential-area to work-area’ patterns.     

仿生机器鱼尾鳍推进效率的多参数优化研究

仿生机器鱼作为一种高效、高机动的水下机器人,得到了科研人员的广泛关注,对BCF方式机器鱼尾鳍推进效率的研究是其中的重点方向。目前对尾鳍推进效率的优化研究,大多局限于尾鳍单一参数的优化,这与自然鱼类的游动状态相差甚远,因而不能真正达到推进效率最大化的目的。本文提出了尾鳍多参数优化方案,通过对尾鳍转动频率、摆动幅值、击水角度和摆动周期等参数的联合优化,得到一组特定游速下的参数值,结果表明本研究对象在游速0.6L m/s时(L为体长),数值计算推进效率为65.7%,仿真推进效率为64.3%的,均大于目前单一参数的优化结果,充分体现了尾鳍多参数配合的优越性。本文的研究,对提高仿生机器鱼的推进效率具有积极作用。     

检索词优化与空间自适应的深网POI获取方法研究

针对检索词库构建困难、数据请求量受限制等相关问题,该文提出一种基于独立覆盖率排序和空间自适应剖分的深网POI信息搜索方法,通过候选检索词初步构建、贪婪式探测搜索、检索词优化降维、空间自适应剖分爬行等主要流程,利用逐步逼近POI搜索的最大覆盖最优解,实现对深网POI信息的全量获取,大幅度提高深网POI数据的召回率与采集效率,该方法对于丰富地理信息资源、提升空间信息服务与内容管理能力具有重要意义。