基于审查回归模型的公众气象服务支付意愿影响因素分析——以无锡、武汉和西安为例

采用审查回归模型,分别选取了中国东、中、西部的三个典型城市无锡、武汉和西安,计算了三城市受访者的支付意愿值,并对其影响因素进行了分析。结果表明：（1）支付意愿值与地区经济发展水平直接相关。无锡、武汉和西安受访者的支付意愿分别为21.68,17.15和10.07元/年;（2）年龄越长者,由于其天气知识更丰富、日常消费较节俭,对气象服务的支付意愿越低;（3）文化程度越高者,更能理解和支持气象服务事业,对气象服务的支付意愿越高;（4）月收入变量对气象服务的支付意愿有显著影响,但就不同城市的受访者而言,影响的方向并不一致。     

OC4漂浮式风电平台的水弹性响应及波浪载荷研究

漂浮式风电平台在波浪中的摇晃运动会导致塔架根部产生很大的弯矩,极大地威胁平台结构安全。同时流体的附连水质量效应对平台塔架结构的动响应有着较为显著的影响,因此充分考虑这种流固耦合效应有利于更加准确地评估平台塔架的结构动响应。采用三维频域线性水弹性方法计算塔架在流体作用下的结构共振频率特征以及各阶模态振动的主坐标响应特性,然后通过弹性模态叠加法获得塔架的弯矩载荷。并结合概率学手段,预报了短期极限海况下塔架弯曲载荷响应,为新一代漂浮式风电平台结构安全性评估和方案设计提供了技术支撑。     

Bayesian data fusion in a spatial prediction context: a general formulation

In spite of the exponential growth in the amount of data that one may expect to provide greater modeling and predictions opportunities, the number and diversity of sources over which this information is fragmented is growing at an even faster rate. As a consequence, there is real need for methods that aim at reconciling them inside an epistemically sound theoretical framework. In a statistical spatial prediction framework, classical methods are based on a multivariate approach of the problem, at the price of strong modeling hypotheses. Though new avenues have been recently opened by focusing on the integration of uncertain data sources, to the best of our knowledges there have been no systematic attemps to explicitly account for information redundancy through a data fusion procedure. Starting from the simple concept of measurement errors, this paper proposes an approach for integrating multiple information processing as a part of the prediction process itself through a Bayesian approach. A general formulation is first proposed for deriving the prediction distribution of a continuous variable of interest at unsampled locations using on more or less uncertain (soft) information at neighboring locations. The case of multiple information is then considered, with a Bayesian solution to the problem of fusing multiple information that are provided as separate conditional probability distributions. Well-known methods and results are derived as limit cases. The convenient hypothesis of conditional independence is discussed by the light of information theory and maximum entropy principle, and a methodology is suggested for the optimal selection of the most informative subset of information, if needed. Based on a synthetic case study, an application of the methodology is presented and discussed.     

Optimal instrumentation of structures on flexible base for system identification

A criterion previously developed by Heredia-Zavoni and Esteva for selecting optimal sensor locations is used to analyse the optimal instrumentation of structures on soft soils. The stochastic response of a linear structural system on a flexible base is formulated for use of the criterion. The case of MDOF shear systems on flexible base, with uncertain lateral stiffness and subjected to random earthquake ground motions, is studied. The optimal location of accelerometers, the reduction of prior uncertainty on the lateral stiffness, the effects of the base flexibility, the relative influence of translation and rocking of the base, and the influence of recording noise are assessed and discussed. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

从平台GIS到跨平台互操作GIS的发展

介绍了跨平台互操作GIS的基本概念、主要关键技术和目前的发展状况以及该技术在我国的进展。     

基于J2EE的分布式WebGIS研究

在对比分析传统的WebGIS各种实现模式优缺点的基础上，探讨了利用企业级J2EE技术实现分布式WebGIS的解决方案，使WebGIS更好地满足企业级应用的需要。     

探索地理信息智能化处理技术

GIS自产生至今30多年来，世界各国都竞相开展GIS技术研究和应用开发，使其得到了迅速的发展，已形成较为完整的理论体系和大批实用系统，并已在社会各专业领域得到广泛应用并产生了巨大效益，目前，开始朝着产业化、集成化、智能化和社会化的方向发展。随着3S技术的集成应用，人们对GIS的运行效率及其深入的应用提出了更高的要求，地理信息智能化处理已成为地图学和GIS建设必须解决的问题，也是GIS发展的必然方向。在地理信息处理中采用人工智能技术，发展智能GIS或者专家GIS，是解决复杂地学问题的重要途径，也是目前GIS最吸引人的一个应用方向。目前在地理信息处理的许多领域都在使用人工智能技术，比如地图模式识别、地理数据的自动分类、地学专家系统、智能GIS、空间数据挖掘等。本文通过对当前地理信息智能化处理技术发展现状的阐述，旨在探索人工智能在地理信息处理中的应用前景。     

基础地理信息应用服务研究

本文全面、系统地分析了基础地理信息在地理信息产业中的作用、基础地理信息的各种应用，并在此基础上提出了基础地理信息的服务策略。     

现代地籍技术(第五讲)地籍信息系统

分析了地籍信息系统的发展历程,总结了地籍信息系统的主体目标,介绍了系统的总体结构及其软硬件环境,讨论了地籍信息系统建设和管理的基本实体、时态性、标准化和信息服务,指出了地籍信息系统应解决的重点和难点问题.     

浅论WebGIS技术

论述GIS的发展及其优缺点,讨论WebGIS的特点以及技术实现方式。