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71.
中尺度数值模式(MM5V3)在沈阳区域气象中心的试用 总被引:13,自引:6,他引:13
简单介绍了沈阳区域气象中心在微机上调试和试用中尺度数值模式MM5V3的情况,MM5V3在前、后处理上使用Fortran90编程,与MM5V2有一定差别,利用T106L19资料和常规探空报形成经、纬网格的初值,预处理场和侧边界,代入模式前处理系统中,模式运行完毕后,预报产品直接进入MICAPS、Vis5d、Grads系统,进行图形显示,在2000年汛期试用中发现,MM5V3对东北地区的强降水过程有一定的预报能力,预报评分表明,MM5V3的降水预报结果和MM5V2互有优劣,总体来看,MM5V3的预报质量略高于MM5V2。 相似文献
72.
The paper gives the distributions of the daily mean temperature of black body of satellite infrared
images from June 7 to 10, 1998 during HUAMEX and examines 14 meso-α-scale convective systems and a
number of meso-b-scale convective systems using the satellite infrared images at 1-h intervals. The mesoscale
convective systems on June 7 and 9, which resulted in severe rainstorm over the middle of Taiwan and the
estuary region of the Pearl River (Zhujiang R.), are emphatically analyzed. The serial development of mesoscale
convective systems is revealed by the distributions of the black body temperature of satellite infrared images. The
environmental conditions in which many mesoscale convective systems continuously occurred are diagnosed.
The visualizing tool, LiveView, displays the link between the upper and lower horizontal wind fields and the
vertical circulations and 3-dimensional trajectories of moist air motions, based on the data of objective analyses. 相似文献
73.
The circulation of the Southern Ocean is studied in the eddy-resolving model POP (Parallel Ocean Program) by an analysis
of zonally integrated balances. The TEM formalism (Transformed Eulerian Mean) is extended to include topography and continental
boundaries, thus deviations from a zonally integrated state involve transient and standing eddies. The meridional circulation
is presented in terms of the Eulerian, eddy-induced, and residual streamfunctions. It is shown that the splitting of the meridional
circulation into Ekman and geostrophic transports and the component induced by subgrid and Reynolds stresses is identical
to a particular form of the zonally integrated balance of zonal momentum. In this balance, the eddy-induced streamfunctions
represent the interfacial form stresses by transient and standing eddies and the residual streamfunction represents the acceleration
of the zonal current by density fluxes in a zonally integrated frame. The latter acceleration term is directly related to
the surface flux of density and interior fluxes due to the resolved and unresolved eddies. The eddy-induced circulation is
extremely vigorous in POP. In the upper ocean a shallow circulation, reversed in comparison to the Deacon cell and mainly
due to standing eddies, appears to the north of Drake Passage latitudes, and in the Drake Passage belt of latitudes a deep-reaching
cell is induced by transient eddies. In the resulting residual circulation the Deacon cell is largely cancelled and the residual
advection of the zonal mean potential density is balanced by diapycnal eddy and subgrid fluxes which are strong in the upper
few hundred meters but small in the ocean interior. The balance of zonal momentum is consistent with other eddy-resolving
models; a new aspect is the clear identification of density effects in the zonally integrated balance. We show that the wind
stress and the stress induced by the residual circulation drive the eastward current, whereas both eddy species result in
a braking. Finally, we extend the Johnson–Bryden model of zonal transport to incorporate all relevant terms from the zonal
momentum balance. It is shown that wind stress and induction by the residual circulation carry an eastward transport while
bottom form stress and the stress induced by standing eddies yield westward components of transport.
Received: 26 June 2001 / Accepted: 2 November 2001 相似文献
74.
CHARACTERISTICS OF MESOSCALE FLOOD-MAKING TORRENTIAL RAIN SYSTEM SIMULATED BY HIGH RESOLUTION LIMITED AREA MODEL—NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF A HEAVY RAIN PROCESS DURING MEIYU SEASON IN 1991* 下载免费PDF全文
An experimental work on the transplant of high resolution limited area model(HIRLAM) isfirstly introduced into China.For the implementation,first of all is to adjust a new geographicalcoordination and to remove the instability caused by the Tibetan Plateau,the roof of the world.Then,we have applied this model to simulate a flood-making torrential rain process which occurredin the Changjiang-Huaihe River Valley in July 1991.That revealed the formation,development andmovement of a mesoseale heavy rain system which had made a disastrous flood event in the middleand lower reaches of Changjiang River Valley.The result encourages us to use the HIRLAM for the researches on the Meiyu belt,the salientfeature of precipitation of East Asia,and the numerical prediction of heavy rains in China. 相似文献
75.
本文利用一个三维中尺度模式,分别采用两种不同的湿过程处理方案FPA和NCA模拟同一个洋面冷锋个例,以考察模拟结果对湿过程参数化方案的敏感性。两种方案的区别在于前一种使用了次网格湿对流参数化而后者没有。通过比较分别使用FPA和NCA方案所进行的模拟FPS和NCS,发现冷锋结构在两者间出现较大差异。从850 hPa等压面|Δθe|等值线图所显示的结构看,NCS中冷锋呈现为一长一短两条锋带,而FPS中冷锋仅呈现为一条锋带。在相应的冷锋横向垂直剖面中,NCS中存在两个相邻的锋面垂直环流,而FPS中只有一个。另外,NCS中对流不稳定的冷锋区出现垂直运动过分发展的现象,而FPS中不存在这个问题。通过与卫星云图比较,我们注意到,NCS中尽管出现了垂直运动过分发展的现象,但相对于FPS而言,其模拟的冷锋结构与实际较为接近,成功地模拟出云图上显示的双冷锋结构。NCS中垂直运动过分发展的一个重要原因是模式中采用的静力平衡近似。FPS中次网格对流参数化方案的使用,通过减少甚至消除对流不稳定度,一方面使垂直运动的过分发展倾向受到约束,另一方面也可能使在对流不稳定层结下的锋区环境中本应出现的中尺度结构失去了形成的机会。 相似文献
76.
Wang Pengyun 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1999,13(4):474-493
The track,landfall,dynamic and thermodynamic and cloud-rain physical mesoscale structures and their evolution of typhoon HERB 1996 in 36 h from 0000 UTC 31 July to 1200 UTC 1 August 1996 were simulated by using the non-hydrostatic mesoscale model MM5.This period covered the process of typhoon HERB landfall at Taiwan and Fujian Provinces.Results show that the model successfully simulated the landfall process of typhoon HERB,revealed the most important characteristics of the mesoscale dynamic and thermodynamic and cloud-rain physical structure during its landfall.The simulated typhoon track was close to the observation.The center of cyclonic circulation simulated at 0000 UTC on 1 August 1996 (24 h integration) was located in shore near Fuqing,Fujian Province at which the typhoon was reported to landfall two hours later.It shows that strong upward motion formed by low level convergence existed in the eye-wall and subsidence at the eye.The wind field shows clear asymmetrical structure near the typhoon center.The cloud and rainband was screw-typed distributed around typhoon center,and consisted of meso-β scale rain cores.During the period of typhoon HERB staying near and passing over Taiwan,the lower cloud was developed in the eye region so that the previous clear typhoon eye on the satellite pictures became fuzzy.Observation shows that the typhoon center was "warm",but the model simulations with higher space resolution show that in the mid-troposphere the region of eye-wall with stronger upward motion and more cloud-and rain-water was warmer than the eye.During the period of typhoon passing over Taiwan and its following landfall at Fujian,the track of model typhoon deviated about 30 km northward (i.e.,rightward) because of the orographic effects of Taiwan Island,but the strength of the typhoon was not affected remarkably.The amount of rainfall on Taiwan in the 36 h simulations was enhanced more than six times by the orographic lifting of Taiwan Mountain. 相似文献
77.
利用常规观测资料、卫星云图、雷达、风廓线组网资料对2017年8月8日-9日天津地区局部大暴雨天气进行分析,得到以下结论:A、B两个中尺度雨团先后影响天津,A雨团持续了4个小时,雨强相对较大;B雨团持续了3个小时,雨强相对较小;对应有两个MCS,强降水发生在TBB低值中心偏向温度梯度最大的区域;降水回波的移动路径和强度特征存在差异,A雨团回波为自西北向东南方向移动的带状的高质心降水回波;B雨团回波自西南向东北方向移动,为低质心降水回波带状回波,高质心降水回波雨强高于低质心降水回波。新型探测资料有助于分析中尺度影响系统,判断对流系统的移动方向。用风廓线组网资料对比两个阶段降水的中尺度系统,A雨团为上冷下暖的高低空配置,B雨团降水出现在整层西南气流中,引导风的不同,导致回波的移动方向、天气剧烈程度的不同;变压梯度、温度梯度等环境因素对判断局地对流暴雨发生的环境条件有一定指示性。 相似文献
78.
A soil–vegetation–atmosphere transfer model (SVAT), interactions between the soil–biosphere–atmosphere (ISBA) of Météo France, is modified and applied to the Athabasca River Basin (ARB) to model its water and energy fluxes. Two meteorological datasets are used: the archived forecasts from the Meteorological Survey of Canada’s Global Environmental Multiscale Model (GEM) and the European Centre for Mid-range Weather Forecasts global re-analysis (ERA-40), representing spatial scales typical of a weather forecasting model and a global circulation model (GCM), respectively. The original treatment of soil moisture and rainfall in ISBA (OISBA) is modified to statistically account for sub-grid heterogeneity of soil moisture and rainfall to produce new, highly non-linear formulations for surface and sub-surface runoff (MISBA). These new formulations can be readily applied to most existing SVATs. Stand alone mode simulations using the GEM data demonstrate that MISBA significantly improves streamflow predictions despite requiring two fewer parameters than OISBA. Simulations using the ERA-40 data show that it is possible to reproduce the annual variation in monthly, mean annual, and annual minimum flows at GCM scales without using downscaling techniques. Finally, simulations using a simple downscaling scheme show that the better performance of higher resolution datasets can be primarily attributed to improved representation of local variation of land cover, topography, and climate. 相似文献
79.
东风波诱生低涡发生发展的螺旋度演变特征分析 总被引:1,自引:4,他引:1
利用NCEP 1°×1°再分析资料对2001年8月3~4日浙南闽北的东风波暴雨过程,根据螺旋度(Helicity)分析了过程中的暴雨演变以及雁荡山脉诱生中尺度低涡发生发展的原因。同时,利用中尺度有限区域模式MM5V2对该东风波诱生中尺度低涡进行模拟。结果表明:螺旋度大值中心强度和位置的演变较好地反映了暴雨落区和中尺度低涡的诱生、移动,螺旋度的时空演变对暴雨发生有一定的预示意义,螺旋度计算较中尺度模式得出诱生低涡初生位置、路径预报准确率高,二者集成可以提高诱生低涡的预报准确率。 相似文献
80.