D) UNITED Nations

Synopsis

In areas of accentuated relief, some of the basic assumptions made in the use of standard methods of assessing areal mean rainfall are often untenable. It is shown in this paper, that, not only does topography affect the actual rainfall distribution, but that the areal variability, measured as the correlation between any two points, is also dependent on the relief. Two methods are used to show this. Once method compares the areal variability of a flat area to one of accentuated relief, while the second method relates areal variability to topographic factors using a multiple regression technique.

The conclusions reached are then used for three purposed. The first is to develop a method of ascribing objectively areas or points to a particular raingauge, taking into account the nature of the terrain. The second is to establish a procedure for estimating the rainfall at ungauged points, by taking into account the rainfall at a selected nearby rainguage and the topographic situation of the points, and the third purpose is to provide means of establishing a correction factor to be applied to a raingauge reading in order that the reading may more accurately represent the area ascribed to it.     

Response of zooid size in Cupuladria exfragminis (Bryozoa) to simulated upwelling temperatures

We investigate the effect of the temperature–size rule upon zooids of the tropical American bryozoan Cupuladria exfragminis. Results show that mean zooid length, zooid width and zooid area vary significantly between clonal replicates of C. exfragminis kept under different controlled temperature conditions. Significantly larger zooids are produced during times of lowered water temperature that are comparable with the temperatures that occur during seasonal upwelling along the Pacific coast of Panama where the animal lives in abundance. Interpolation of data suggests that a drop of 1 °C causes a 5% increase in zooid size, and that almost all variation in zooid size in natural populations can be explained by temperature. Results are discussed in context of the potential use of zooid size variation in cupuladriid bryozoans to measure the strength of seasonal upwelling in ancient seas by analysing zooid size changes in fossil colonies. The technique of cloning cupuladriid colonies by fragmentation is also discussed with reference to its benefits in experimental studies where genotypes need to be controlled or replicated.     

台湾海峡表层沉积物中重矿物特征及其物质来源

台湾海峡重矿物平均分布0.95%,其分布由西岸向东岸递减;由北部经台湾浅滩朝粤东方向缓慢递减。碎屑矿物46种,以角闪石、绿帘石、磁铁矿、钛铁矿、褐铁矿和片状矿物为主,它们占重矿物含量的67%。据主要重矿物含量将海峡分成8个矿物组合区。碎屑矿物来自海峡两岸基岩,通过河流搬运入海,有部分片状矿物为海峡以北的物质随浙闽沿岸流进入海峡而沉积。其海绿石是台湾西岸、澎湖岛第三系或第四系含海绿石岩层剥蚀后搬运入海沉积而成的。台湾浅滩的残留沉积物为晚更新世低海面时期的河口滨海相沉积物。由于处在开放的海洋环境,至今没有接受现代沉积。残留沉积物中的磁铁矿、钛铁矿、锆石等重矿物相对富集,含量高于近源海域,有可能赋存浅海砂矿。     

我国陆上大中型气田分布规律与有利勘探区带优选

“八五”、“九五”期间我国天然气探明储量幅度增长,大中型气田分布规律的深化研究密切关系到天然气储量的增长势头。克拉通盆地下层序古隆起控气理论和上层序非构造圈闭控气机理是克拉通大中型气田富集分布的基本规律,前陆盆地是我国富气盆地类型之一,其冲断带下盘大型造圈闭群、前缘斜坡岩性尖灭区带与浅层次生气藏、前缘隆起上的断块圈闭群等是该类盆地有利的天然气富集区带。依据充分的地质资料,结合我国天然气勘探实际,提     

基于数据挖掘探讨中药治疗肝豆状核变性的用药规律

目的：基于数据挖掘探讨中药治疗肝豆状核变性的用药规律。方法：计算机检索1990年1月至2020年1月中国知网（CNKI）、万方数据（WANFANG DATA）、维普中文科技期刊数据库（VIP）中中药治疗肝豆状核变性的相关文献,利用Microsoft Excel 2010 进行频次分析,通过 SPSS Modeler 18.0、SPSS Statistics 23.0 对处方药物进行关联规则、复杂网络、系统聚类分析。结果：最终纳入文献161篇,筛选出处方151首,中药70味。中药频次排前5位的依次是泽泻、姜黄、大黄、黄连、丹参;功效排前5位的依次是利水渗湿、活血化瘀、清热、补虚、泻下药。二项关联多为利水渗湿、活血化瘀、清热、泻下药的组合,三项关联多为活血化瘀、清热、利水渗湿药的组合。聚类分析得到新方聚类的中药组合3类。结论：中医药治疗肝豆状核变性以清热化湿、活血化瘀为主,常用利水渗湿、活血化瘀、清热药,可配伍补虚及泻下药等。     

一种海洋混合层深度的智能识别方法研究

文章提出了一种识别混合层深度的人工智能方法。该方法在温度(密度)与压强(或深度)间建立线性模型, 并且将其系数和方差做成一组表征廓线特征的统计量。初始时为模型设定一个主观的先验分布, 在一个自海表向下移动的窗口内通过贝叶斯链式法则和最小描述长度原理学习新数据, 得到系数均值的最大后验概率估计。用F-检验识别系数发生突变的位置, 以此确定混合层的存在性及其深度。通过2017年2月太平洋海域的地转海洋学实时观测阵(Array for Real-time Geostrophic Oceanography, ARGO)数据进行测试, 并且以质量因子(Quality Index, QI)值作为判断识别混合层深度结果准确性的依据, 发现该方法相比于梯度法、阈值法、混合法、相对变化法、最大角度法和最优线性插值法在识别结果上具备更大的QI值。表明该方法能够准确识别混合层深度。     

影响XX带水凝析气田气油比变化因素分析

气油比是已投入开发凝析气藏的一项重要开发指标。气油比的变化可反应气井、气藏生产状态,凝析气藏压力变化以及带水气藏边底水的推进程度。油藏工程研究人员还可据气油比变化对气井、气藏将来的生产形势做初步分析。因此,分析带水凝析气藏气油比变化规律以及对其影响因素进行深入剖析,对于凝析气藏生产具有重要的指导意义。     

A voluntary reduction in the commercial catch of rock lobster (Jasus edwardsii) in a New Zealand fishery

We describe the development and application of a management procedure (decision rule) that resulted in a voluntary reduction in the commercial catch of spiny rock lobster (Jasus edwardsii) in the lower east coast of North Island of New Zealand. The management procedure was developed from an accepted assessment of the CRA 4 (Wellington‐Hawke's Bay) fishery, which used an integrated length‐based assessment model fitted to commercial fishery catch‐per‐unit‐effort (CPUE) biomass indices, commercial length‐frequency data, and tag‐recapture data. The assessment model had been Bayesian, and used the joint posterior distribution of parameters to predict the effect of 384 alternative harvest control rules on the future size of the CRA 4 stock. The harvest control rules all used CPUE as their input, and generated annual changes in catch, which were then simulated by the population dynamics of the operating model. Uncertainty was added to evaluations through observation error, added to the simulated CPUE observations, and stochastic serial auto‐correlation variation in recruitment. We describe how this management procedure was used to effect a voluntary reduction in catch to address the problem of a rapidly declining population.     

一种针对规则冲突的规则集语义比较算法

应用DFD(Diverse Firewall Design)方法进行防火墙规则集设计时,需使用规则集语义比较算法,判断多个规则集是否语义一致。规则冲突是导致规则集语义不一致的主要原因。因此,需要研究针对规则冲突的规则集语义比较算法。而现有算法时空复杂度较高,性能低下。文中提出了1种基于关键数据包选取映射的规则集语义比较算法(KPCM)。KPCM算法针对规则冲突选取关键数据包,并通过比较这些数据包在不同规则集中的处理动作,判断这些规则集是否语义一致。理论分析和测试表明,KPCM算法时空性能均优于现有算法。     

深海潜器耐压圆柱壳结构计算和校核方法研究

文中比较了中美两国潜器规范中各特征量的计算方法和校核准则,分析了异同点,并给出数值算例。针对潜器特性,对目前我国潜器规范中可能需要修改的地方进行了初步分析。