较大尺度下潮流物模试验理论可行性的数值研究

以渤海及其局部海域为例,通过数值模拟量化地转缺失对水动力过程的影响,评价不同空间尺度下实施潮流物理模型试验的理论可行性。结果表明,对整个渤海、辽东湾这么大尺度的海域实施物模试验理论上是不可行的;对90km尺度的渤海湾,地转缺失使模拟结果存在较大偏差;对莱州湾61km尺度的海域可进行物模试验。研究确定60km为实施潮流物模试验一般的理论允许尺度。     

Bayesian probabilistic damage detection of a reinforced‐concrete bridge column

A Bayesian probabilistic approach for damage detection has been proposed for the continuous monitoring of civil structures (Sohn H, Law KH. Bayesian probabilistic approach for structure damage detection. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics 1997; 26 :1259–1281). This paper describes the application of the Bayesian approach to predict the location of plastic hinge deformation using the experimental data obtained from the vibration tests of a reinforced‐concrete bridge column. The column was statically pushed incrementally with lateral displacements until a plastic hinge is fully formed at the bottom portion of the column. Vibration tests were performed at different damage stages. The proposed damage detection method was able to locate the damaged region using a simplified analytical model and the modal parameters estimated from the vibration tests, although (1) only the first bending and first torsional modes were estimated from the experimental test data, (2) the locations where the accelerations were measured did not coincide with the degrees of freedom of the analytical model, and (3) there existed discrepancies between the undamaged test structure and the analytical model. The Bayesian framework was able to systematically update the damage probabilities when new test data became available. Better diagnosis was obtained by employing multiple data sets than just by using each test data set separately. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Study on a new shear wall system with shaking table test and finite element analysis

A new seismic energy dissipation shear wall structure is proposed in this paper. The new shear wall is one with purposely built‐in vertical slits within the wall panel, and rubber belts as seismic energy dissipation devices are installed in the vertical slits. In order to verify this concept, shaking table tests of a 10‐storey shear wall model with rubber belts filled in the vertical slits were carried out, and comparison of seismic behaviour was made between the new shear wall system and a shear wall with reinforced concrete connecting beams as energy dissipation. Furthermore, the seismic behaviour of this new shear wall is analysed by a finite element time history analysis method. The test and analysis show that the new shear wall system has a very good ability to dissipate seismic energy and is easy to use in engineering practice. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Evaluation of wind effects on a supertall building based on full‐scale measurements

This paper describes the results obtained from the full‐scale measurements of wind effects on a 70‐storey building in Hong Kong. The building which has a height of approximately 370 m is the second tallest structure in Hong Kong. The field data such as wind speed, wind direction and wind‐induced acceleration responses have been measured since 1995 including the close passage of two typhoons; typhoon Sally and typhoon Kent. Detailed analysis of the field data is conducted. The full‐scale measurements are compared with the wind tunnel results obtained in the Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel Laboratory at Western Ontario University. The amplitude‐dependent characteristics of damping and natural frequency that were obtained by using the random decrement technique are investigated. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

ESEP3.0专家系统在新疆年度地震形势预测中的应用检验

使用2000—2003年度新疆地震局震情研究报告中的资料建立异常证据文件,应用ESEP3．0专家系统进行了推理预测,将其中的1年以内的预测意见与这4年新疆“震情研究报告”的预测意见及实际发生的地震情况进行了对比,并按中国地震局制定的“地震预报评分办法”进行了评分,最后认为：ESEP3．0专家系统目前可以用于新疆的年度地震趋势和地震危险区预测。     

基于EC细网格产品在乌鲁木齐机场低能见度预测中的释用

利用2015—2018年乌鲁木齐机场航空例行天气报告(METAR报)、ECMWF(European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting)细网格数值预报产品对影响能见度的主要因子进行分析,提取与低能见度相关性高的物理量作为预报因子,采用SVM方法,分别基于Poly、RBF核函数建立乌鲁木齐机场未来21 h能见度预报模型。结果表明:(1)基于预报因子区间分类的SVM模型物理意义明确,试验结果较好;以RBF为函数建立的SVM模型(SVM-RBF)预报能力更好,其训练样本预测的TS评分0.84,准确率89.20%。(2)SVM-RBF模型的检验样本中,预报准确样本的预报误差整体偏小;在漏报样本中则有能见度越低、预报误差越大的特点,模型的振荡性明显。(3)结合NCEP/NCAR再分析资料研究SVM-RBF模型对天气过程的预报表现,发现模型对于特定天气形势下引发的低能见度天气,预报误差较小且预报提前量较大。     

极端条件下心墙泥浆料的渗透反滤试验研究

高土石心墙坝的渗透稳定性在很大程度上依赖于反滤层对心墙料的反滤保护作用。心墙在大坝蓄水和长期运行的条件下,要经历复杂的填筑加载、浸水饱和与水荷载的作用,在差异沉降、复杂结构应力作用、水力劈裂和渗透水流作用下,心墙一旦出现裂缝,其渗透稳定性及反滤层的保护作用就将面临严峻的考验。针对这一问题,设计了专门非常规的抛填土料反滤试验和泥浆渗透反滤试验,模拟心墙裂缝条件下其颗粒被冲刷起动后,被反滤料阻挡和淤积过程。试验结果表明,心墙料和反滤料满足反滤准则条件下,心墙颗粒被拦截和淤积在反滤层上游表面,反滤料能有效防止心墙颗粒的流失,反滤层在极端条件下对心墙料仍能起到有效的反滤保护作用。     

开挖前降水引发基坑变形机制模型试验研究

现有基坑相关研究主要关注土方开挖过程引起的变形,认为围护结构变形起点是土方第1次开挖。然而,一些工程实测表明,基坑开挖前降水阶段即可引起围护结构及周边地层发生厘米级的变形。显然,未考虑开挖前变形的基坑监测数据将低估基坑施工的环境效应。为了研究基坑开挖前降水引发基坑变形的机制,开展了室内模型试验,对基坑开挖前降水过程进行了缩尺精细化模拟。通过微型降水井的设置与调控,模型试验真实再现了实际基坑降水过程中井流效应对围护结构受力变形的影响。试验过程中发现,随着降水的进行,坑外降水漏斗不断扩展,围护结构悬臂式侧移及坑外拱肩式地面沉降也随之产生。另外,降水导致墙前水压力明显减小,并诱发墙前侧向总压力重分布（以减小为主）,围护结构为此发生指向坑内的悬臂式运动以寻求新的受力平衡,并通过墙后土体损失诱发坑外地层变形。     

废弃泥浆底部真空−上部堆载预压模型试验研究

针对工程泥浆回填废弃矿坑处置的安全问题,开展底部真空和上部堆载预压处理废弃工程泥浆的模型试验,探讨该技术在废弃矿坑回填处置工程应用的可行性。试验结果表明,底部真空和上部堆载预压使得泥浆含水率显著降低及泥土的强度明显提高,处理一个月后,含水率从初始450%降低至95%～105%,体积减量达到73.4%;不排水强度由初始为0的状态提高至9.8～13.4 kPa。在初始的静置阶段,泥浆颗粒沉积存在重力分异现象,粗颗粒在底部沉积有助于缓解真空预压过程中淤堵问题。底部真空作用下,泥浆中孔隙水渗流方向并非完全一维向下,在径向存在水力梯度。处理后泥土压缩性与软土相近,渗透性优于软土。基于试验结果和大应变固结理论,考虑泥浆的自重固结以及压缩性与渗透性的非线性变化,利用有限差分法分析了单次回填厚度对泥浆层固结时间和减量效果的影响,提出了现场实施的工艺参数建议。