登陆台风等熵面位涡演变的数值模拟研究

选取1997年第11号台风温妮为研究个例,通过中尺度模式MM5模拟再现了该台风登陆后经历初期减弱、变性及变性后再次发展的演变过程.引入Ertel等熵面位涡收支方程,深入分析了登陆台风结构演变的过程中绝热与非绝热作用对对流层低层位涡局地变化的影响.研究表明:台风温妮深入内陆的过程中,对流层低层台风中心西北侧位涡增长,且大值中心不再与台风中心重合;由于摩擦和非绝热加热的存在,对流层低层位涡不守恒,其局地变化主要决定于位涡的水平平流(守恒项)、位涡的垂直平流、加热的垂直微分(非守恒项)的分布;台风温妮变性前后,对流层低层位涡的守恒性逐渐减弱,非守恒项尤其是加热的垂直微分对位涡的局地增长的正贡献不断增强直至占有主导地位.     

华南地面太阳辐射状况及其转折特征分析

利用华南地区1961—2003年的太阳总辐射、直接辐射和散射辐射资料分析了该地区地面太阳辐射状况,包括年际变化和季节变化,重点分析了该地区太阳总辐射在1980—1990年代期间的转折过程,并与全国平均状况进行对比。结果表明：1961—2003年,华南地区的总辐射和直接辐射整体呈下降趋势,散射辐射的变化不显著,与全国平均辐射状况的变化趋势一致。1983年之前,华南总辐射处于迅速下降阶段,之后发生转折开始回升,至2001年前后已经恢复到平均水平。华南地区总辐射和散射辐射的季节变化非常明显,夏季最高,春秋两季次之,冬季最低,一年中散射辐射的最高和最低值相比总辐射提前一个月出现。另外,结合云量和能见度资料初步分析了广州市地面太阳辐射的变化和转折过程,表明广州地面太阳总辐射的下降及转折过程主要与该地区的大气清洁程度相关。     

全球变暖背景下的中国西部地区气候变化研究进展

全球变暖是19世纪80年代以来,地球的年平均气温和地表温度呈上升趋势的现象.在全球变暖的大背景下,我国的气候也发生了显著的变化.探讨全球变暖背景下中国西部地区的气温、降水、气候转型以及青藏高原对中国气候的影响等,对我国应对气候变化问题有着重要的意义.本文从气温、降水、气候转型以及青藏高原对中国气候的影响等方面概述了近年来中国西部地区气候变化的最新研究进展,并探讨了未来的研究方向.     

基于GA-MCE算法的不规则邻域CA土地利用模拟

不规则邻域元胞自动机通过定义一定的邻域规则,将对中心元胞影响较大的邻域元胞进行识别与计算从而确定邻域形态与影响范围,与传统元胞自动机模型相同尺寸邻域形态相比,模拟更加真实有效。基于不规则邻域识别算法对元胞邻域范围进行划分,再通过遗传算法和多准则评价相结合获取转化规则参数,继而对大连市金石滩国家旅游度假区2004年和2010年土地利用变化进行模拟研究,通过比对分析以及Kappa系数检验法对模拟精度做一检验,研究模拟结果总体Kappa系数为81.62%,具有一定的可靠性,研究显示该模型在多地类碎小斑块之间的转化模拟具有一定的优势,对于模拟土地利用/覆盖变化模型具有一定的改进。     

1982-2012年北半球荒漠草原过渡带植被物候特征及其与气候因子的关系

基于GIMMS（global inventory modeling and mapping studies）NDVI 3g数据,在提取北半球荒漠草原过渡带每年植被物候期的基础上,研究了1982-2012年物候期的时间演化趋势及空间分异特征,并结合全球气候再分析资料,探讨了物候变化的气候驱动因素。结果表明：在1998年之前,荒漠草原过渡带植被物候期变化地区间差异较大,而在1998年之后,北半球荒漠草原过渡带生长季结束期整体提前,平均提前0.41 d/a;同时,除萨赫勒以外的各地区植被生长季长度普遍缩短,平均缩短0.88 d/a。植被物候期与气候因子的相关分析发现,荒漠草原过渡带植被物候变化受气候变化影响显著,且空间差异明显。在中高纬度地区,气温是限制植被活动的关键因子,温度升高可以促进生长季开始期的提前,而降水增加则会妨碍植被生长;在较低纬度地区,水分是影响植被活动的关键因素,高温造成的水分亏缺会导致植被生长季缩短。从植被物候期对各气候因子响应的时滞性来看,荒漠草原过渡带植被的物候期对气温变化的响应最迅速,对蒸散的响应存在一定的滞后性,而对降水的响应不存在时滞差异。     

Authigenic minerals from the Paola Ridge (southern Tyrrhenian Sea): Evidences of episodic methane seepage

Paola Ridge, along the NW Calabrian margin (southern Tyrrhenian Sea), is one of the few reported deep sea sites of precipitation of authigenic carbonates in the Tyrrhenian Sea. Here, the changing composition of the seeping fluids and the dynamic nature of the seepage induced the precipitation of pyrite, siderite and other carbonate phases. The occurrence of this array of authigenic precipitates is thought to be related to fluctuation of the sulfate-methane transition zone (SMTZ).Concretions of authigenic minerals formed in the near sub-bottom sediments of the Paola Ridge were investigated for their geochemical and isotopic composition. These concretions were collected in an area characterized by the presence of two alleged mud volcanoes and three mud diapirs. The mud diapirs are dotted by pockmarks and dissected by normal faults, and are known for having been a site of fluid seepage for at least the past 40 kyrs. Present-day venting activity occurs alongside the two alleged mud volcanoes and is dominated by CO₂-rich discharging fluids. This discover led us to question the hypothesis of the mud volcanoes and investigate the origin of the fluids in each different domed structure of the study area.In this study, we used stable isotopes (carbon and oxygen) of carbonates coupled with rare earth element (REE) composition of different carbonate and non-carbonate phases for tracing fluid composition and early diagenesis of authigenic precipitates. The analyses on authigenic precipitates were coupled with chemical investigation of venting gas and sea-water.Authigenic calcite/aragonite concretions, from surficial sediments on diapiric structures, have depleted ¹³C isotopic composition and slightly positive δ¹⁸O values. By contrast, siderite concretions, generally found within the first 6 m of sediments on the alleged mud volcanoes, yielded positive δ¹³C and δ¹⁸O values. The siderite REE pattern shows consistent LREE (light REE) fractionation, MREE (medium REE) enrichment and positive Gd and La anomalies. As shown by the REE distribution, the ¹³C-depleted composition and their association with chemosymbiotic fauna, calcite/aragonite precipitated at time of moderate to high methane flux close to the seafloor, under the influence of bottom seawater. Authigenic siderite, on the other hand, formed in the subseafloor, during periods of lower gas discharges under prolonged anoxic conditions within sediments in equilibrium with ¹³C-rich dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) and ¹⁸O-rich water, likely related to methanogenesis and intermittent venting of deep-sourced CO₂.     

Costly stakeholder participation creates inertia in marine ecosystems

Ecosystems often shift abruptly and dramatically between different regimes in response to human or natural disturbances. When ecosystems tip from one regime to another, the suite of available ecosystem benefits changes, impacting the stakeholders who rely on these benefits. These changes often create some groups who stand to incur large losses if an ecosystem returns to a previous regime. When the participation cost in the decision-making process is extremely high, this can “lock in” ecosystem regimes, making it harder for policy and management to shift ecosystems out of what the majority of society views as the undesirable regime. Public stakeholder meetings often have high costs of participation, thus economic theory predicts they will be dominated by extreme views and often lead to decisions that do not represent the majority viewpoint. Such extreme viewpoints can create strong inertia even when there is broad consensus to manage an ecosystem towards a different regime. In the same manner that reinforcing ecological feedback loops make it harder to exit an ecosystem regime, there are decision-making feedback loops that contribute additional inertia.     

Laboratory determination of smear and transition zones due to prefabricated vertical drain installation

The smear zone, which develops during the placement of the prefabricated vertical drain (PVD) in the ground using a steel mandrel, is a significant factor that influences the performance of PVDs. The determination of the width and hydraulic conductivity of smear zone is an important consideration in designing ground improvement by preloading with PVDs. Thus, the extent and hydraulic conductivity of the PVD smear zone have received significant attention; however, there is still uncertainty and the topic remains discrepant among investigators. There is limited or no smear zone hydraulic conductivity data that is directly produced by laboratory or field tests. In this study, a laboratory smear zone model experiment that was developed as a performance test for determining the extent of the smear zone and measuring directly its hydraulic conductivity was used. Based on the findings obtained from two different materials (Craney Island dredgings and Hydrite R kaolinite soil), it is indicated that the disturbed zone is made up of two areas, namely smear zone and transition zone, and that the hydraulic conductivity in these areas is lower than the undisturbed soil. The ratio of the hydraulic conductivity of the smear and transition zones to that of the undisturbed soil was found to vary between 0.32 and 0.50 and between 0.57 and 0.82, respectively in different soils. The diameter of the smear zone was found to be 2.3–3.3 times higher than the equivalent diameter of the mandrel depending on the soil. The diameter of the transition zone extended 5.2–7.3 times the equivalent diameter of mandrel again depending on the soil. These directly measured values, in general, are supportive of the published values based on indirect means and the test device can be used to study the impact of mandrels of different size and shape and other factors by minor modification.     

高温高压条件下角闪岩脆-塑性转化实验研究

在高温高压条件下开展了天然角闪岩样品的变形实验研究,并且利用偏光显微镜和扫描电镜对实验样品进行微观结构观察,研究了在不同的温压和应变速率条件下角闪石的变形机制。实验结果表明,随着温度升高,样品的应力-应变曲线由强化逐渐转化为屈服,并且出现弱化,样品强度显著降低,随着围压增加,样品强度增大,随着应变速率降低,样品强度降低,压缩方向与样品面理斜交的实验样品强度显著降低。实验变形样品在500℃时,角闪石表现为晶内破裂和碎裂变形,其变形以脆性为主导;在600℃时,样品中发育由角闪石残斑和碎裂基质构成的碎裂组构,部分角闪石晶体出现了波状消光,角闪石以碎裂变形为主,局部具有塑性变形的特征;在700℃时,样品以晶体扭折变形为主,局部出现脱水和细粒微晶,并且含有微破裂,显示了样品以晶体扭折变形为主,含有微破裂,样品变形处于脆-塑性转换域;在800℃时,样品中基本没有发现明显的脆性变形,样品以动态重结晶作用为主,角闪石出现脱水。因此,在实验温压范围内,在500℃→600℃→700℃→800℃条件下,角闪石变形机制表现为脆性破裂→碎裂流动→晶体扭折→动态重结晶和脱水作用,显示了角闪石经历了脆性—脆-塑转化—塑性变形的变形机制。