Degradation of rock fracture asperities in unloading,reloading, and reversal

Among the constitutive models for rock fractures developed over the years, Barton's empirical model has been widely used. Although Barton's failure criterion predicts peak shear strength of rock fractures with acceptable precision, it has some limitations in estimating the peak shear displacement, post‐peak shear strength, dilation, and surface degradation. The first author modified Barton's original model in order to address these limitations. Barton proposed his model for degradation of fracture asperities in unloading, reloading, and shear displacement reversal based on just one cyclic direct shear test. In this study, a database of results of 18 cyclic direct shear tests available in the literature was collected and analyzed. Modifications were made to Barton's original model (in terms of fracture cyclic shearing) to make it consistent with the modified model proposed by the first author. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于梯度分析法的长江上游水库群供水-发电-环境互馈关系解析

长江上游水资源耦合系统优化调控涉及供水、发电和生态需水等相互竞争、不可公度的调控目标。其供水-发电-环境互馈协变机制难以数学解析和刻画，多维目标效益均衡优化调控难以实施。为此，以多目标优化、运筹学理论及方法为基础，提出了基于梯度分析法的供水-发电-环境两两互馈关系研究方法。通过多目标约束优化方法求解长江上游水库群联合优化调度在供水-发电-环境目标空间的最优解集，并进行插值构造了供水-发电-环境互馈关系多维空间曲面，以此为基础，采用一阶差分近似求解供水对环境和发电对环境偏导函数值，以量化环境对供水变化和发电变化响应的梯度，进而解析环境-供水和环境-发电间互馈协变关系。该方法为水库群优化调度多目标互馈关系研究提供了一种新的思路。     

Estimation of tsunami hazard from volcanic activity — Suggested methodology with Augustine volcano,Alaska as an example

A general approach for the estimation of tsunami height and hazard in the vicinity of active volcanoes has been developed. An empirical relationship has been developed to estimate the height of the tsunami generated for an eruption of a given size. This relationship can be used to estimate the tsunami hazard based on the frequency of eruptive activity of a particular volcano. This technique is then applied to the estimation of tsunami hazard from the eruption of the Augustine volcano in Alaska. Modification of this approach to account for a less than satisfactory data base and differing volcanic characteristics is also discussed with the case of the Augustine volcano as an example. This approach can be used elsewhere with only slight modifications and, for the first time, provides a technique to estimate tsunami hazard from volcanic activity, similar to a well-established approach for the estimation of tsunami hazard from earthquake activity.     

岩土材料弹塑性动本构模型研究概况

本文介绍了砂土本构模型研究的历史及现状,特别是对国内较少涉及的动弹塑性本构模型研究情况作了详细的介绍,并就作者的理解体会作了一些评价。     

金川超镁铁质岩体矿物化学特征及矿物地质温度计、压力计研究

根据金川超镁铁质岩体主要造岩矿物和副矿物的共生组合关系及各种矿物的化学成分特点；选用５种较成熟、使用较方便的矿物地质温度计、压力计（主要是辉石温压计和角闪石压力计），对岩体形成的温、压条件进行了估算，其结果为：成岩温度为１０００～１３００℃（上限可到１４００～１５００℃），成岩压力约为５×１０￣８～１１×１０￣８ｐａ。金川超镁铁质岩体的主要岩石类型为尖晶石二辉橄榄岩，这一岩石类型在复杂体系相关系图中的稳定区域大致处于５×ｌ０￣８～１５×１０￣８ｐａ的范围，这与矿物温压计估算的成岩温压条件是一致的。     

全球月平均高度距平场正斜压性的分析(Ⅱ)——与遥相关型的联系

利用欧洲中心全球客观分析的7层月平均位势高度距平资料,计算了几种大气环流遥相关型指数与各层位势高度距平的相关系数分布。发现:大气环流异常的正压、斜压性的地理差异与遥相关型的垂直结构关系密切。综合经验正交函数分析,结果亦然。     

PRELIMINARY STUDY OF BAROTROPIC STOCHASTIC DIFFERENCE MODEL APPLIED TO WEATHER PREDICTION

In order to consider both the deterministic and the stochastic property of atmospheric motion simul-taneously,in this paper,the weather prediction is proposed as the problem of the evolution of meteorologicalfield.The historical viewpoint of atmospheric motion is emphasized here.Based on time series analysis te-chnique,a stochastic-dynamical model with multiple initial fields is derived.Thus,weather forecasting is sum-meal up as a problem of solving a set of stochastic difference equations.For the barotropic atmosphere,thenumerical solutions of the equations are obtained by using the method of empirical orthogonal functions(EOF),and examples of medium-range weather prediction are given here.Meanwhile,selecting the order oftime series,i.e.,determining the number of initial fields properly,is also discussed.     

Cumulative frequency b value without upper bound magnitude and its regression determination

ＣｕｍｕｌａｔｉｖｅｆｒｅｑｕｅｎｃｙｂｖａｌｕｅｗｉｔｈｏｕｔｕｐｐｅｒｂｏｕｎｄｍａｇｎｉｔｕｄｅａｎｄｉｔｓｒｅｇｒｅｓｓｉｏｎｄｅｔｅｒｍｉｎａｔｉｏｎＪｉａｎ－ＷｅｎＳＨＥＮ（沈建文）（ＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅａｕｏｆＡｎｈｕｉＰ...     

地震过程中形变能的演化特征

本文利用非线性理论分析了震前形变能随时间的演化关系，导出了应力与应变的本构关系为非线性时的突变演化模型。最后利用青海门源６．４级地震前后的跨断层形变资料，计算了非线性形变的演化过程。取得如下认识：１．震前形变能的演化过程是不稳定过程；２．形变能的突变发生在非平衡区；３．门源地震前后的跨断层地形变资料的计算结果与理论分析基本一致。     

THE RESPONSE OF SUMMER DRYNESS/WETNESS PROBABILITY IN NORTH CHINA TO GLOBAL WARMING

Using the data of summer(June—August)precipitation during the period of 1951—1990 in 14 stations over NorthChina,the wetness probability(WP)series based on gamma distribution has been built.Main temporal and spatial char-acteristics for the series of WP in the stations are extracted by using empirical orthogonal functions(EOFs).The spatialpatterns show that the dryness/wetness variations in the stations in the area are consistent with each other and its maincharacteristics can be represented by the WP series in Beijing.Having analysed the WP series of 120 years(1870—1989)in Beijing,the results show that the dry tendency has a re-sponse to the global warming.The variation of the dryness/wetness in the stations is associated with the temperaturevariation in the Northern Hemisphere.Their relation is negative.The degree of the reliance is associated with the centuryvariation of the temperature.