吉林省经济增长与城市建设用地扩张脱钩关系研究（英文）

为深入探究吉林省经济增长与城市建设用地扩张的相互关系,本研究运用脱钩分析模型对吉林省经济增长与城市建设用地扩张的脱钩关系进行测度分析,并归纳其空间分异特点及成因。结果表明:1)2001–2015年,吉林省经济增长与城市建设用地扩张以弱脱钩状态为主,脱钩关系整体较为合理,经济增长对城市建设用地资源的依赖性逐渐减弱; 2)在空间上,各地市(州)脱钩关系地域差异性显著,主要划分为脱钩理想型城市(辽源市和白山市)、脱钩基本理想型城市(长春市、通化市、松原市、白城市和延边州)和脱钩不理想型城市(吉林市和四平市); 3)基本理想型城市逐渐趋向理想状态,而不理想型城市与理想状态差距较大。最后从加强建设用地供地管理、提高建设用地使用效率、转变经济发展方式等三个方面提出相关政策措施促进经济增长与城市建设用地扩张理想脱钩,以实现吉林省经济社会可持续发展、土地资源可持续利用。     

Porosity in chalk – roles of elastic strain and plastic strain

Chalks originate as Cretaceous to Recent pelagic or hemipelagic calcareous ooze, which indurate via burial diagenesis to chalk and limestone. Because they accumulate in pelagic settings with high environmental continuity, chalks may form thick formations and even groups. For this reason, and because chalks have a simple mineralogy (low magnesium calcite, silica and clays), they are ideal for the study of diagenetic processes including the depth-related decrease of porosity. It is the aim of this study to illustrate how the evaluation of in situ elastic strain can help in understanding these processes including the interplay between stress-controlled diagenetic processes and processes furthered by thermal energy. Petrophysical core and well data can be used for analyses of how porosity reduction via pore collapse and pressure dissolution is related to in situ elastic strain. The data in question are: depth, density of overburden, pore pressure, ultrasonic P-wave velocity and dry density/porosity. The analysis reveals that the transition from ooze to chalk is associated with high elastic strain and consequent pressure dissolution at calcite–particle contacts causing contact cementation. The transition from chalk to limestone is also associated with high elastic strain, especially at clay–calcite interphases causing development of stylolites via pressure dissolution, and consequent pore-filling cementation. Following each transformation the elastic strain drops rapidly. The observation of this diagenesis-related pattern in elastic strain of the sedimentary rock is novel and should not only be helpful in understanding the porosity development in sedimentary basins, but also add basic scientific insight.     

Elastic properties of spherically anisotropic piezoelectric composites

Effective elastic properties of spherically anisotropic piezoelectric composites, whose spherically anisotropic piezoelectric inclusions are embedded in an infinite non-piezoelectric matrix, are theoretically investigated. Analytical solutions for the elastic displacements and the electric potentials under a uniform external strain are derived exactly. Taking into account of the coupling effects of elasticity, permittivity and piezoelectricity, the formula is derived for estimating the effective elastic properties based on the average field theory in the dilute limit. An elastic response mechanism is revealed, in which the effective elastic properties increase as inclusion piezoelectric properties increase and inclusion dielectric properties decrease. Moreover, a piezoelectric response mechanism, of which the effective piezoelectric response vanishes due to the symmetry of spherically anisotropic composite, is also disclosed.     

基于线弹性位错模型及干涉雷达同震形变场反演1997年玛尼Mw75级地震参数－Ⅰ.均匀滑动反演

1997年11月8日西藏玛尼Mw75级地震是干涉雷达技术应用于地震观测以来的一次重要事件.Peltzer等认为该形变场体现了地壳的非线性弹性形变响应，挤压象限和拉张象限的杨氏模量比值为2.相同的情形并没有在其他地震同震形变场中发现，通常用线弹性理论就能够很好地解释观测数据.考虑到他们所用断层模型的简化程度和纯走滑约束等，本研究认为非线性弹性解释是牵强的.应用广泛使用的Okada线弹性位错模型，采用卫星观测得到的地表断层位置，去除倾滑为零的约束，基于非线性优化反演方法寻求拟合雷达观测的最佳断层几何参数和均匀滑动参数.结果表明，线弹性模型能够满意解释观测数据.断层在朝阳湖以东的段落最深达到165 km，随着断层向两侧延伸，深度逐渐减小；反演得到的断层倾     

应用P—S曲线分析非线弹性地基上的欧拉——伯努利梁

在较大外荷载下,搁置在地基上的Bernoulli—Euler梁下部的土体会发生塑性变形。在使用有限差分法离散了文克勒地基梁（Winkler）的控制方程后,形成了线性代数方程组,然后调用计算机Fortran程序进行了求解。利用p-s曲线,通过迭代,使用有限差分法求解了考虑土体塑性的变基床系数的Winkler地基梁的位移。计算结果表明：通过p-s曲线和变基床系数的Winkler地基梁模型,可近似分析出地基在外荷载作用下是进入弹性阶段还是弹塑性阶段,并给出较为合适的地基沉降值。最后,讨论了算法的应用范围。     

Income,consumer preferences,and the future of livestock-derived food demand

In recent decades there has been a sustained and substantial shift in human diets across the globe towards including more livestock-derived foods. Continuing debates scrutinize how these dietary shifts affect human health, the natural environment, and livelihoods. However, amidst these debates there remain unanswered questions about how demand for livestock-derived foods may evolve over the upcoming decades for a range of scenarios for key drivers of change including human population, income, and consumer preferences. Future trends in human population and income in our scenarios were sourced from three of the shared socioeconomic pathways. We used scenario-based modeling to show that average protein demand for red meat (beef, sheep, goats, and pork), poultry, dairy milk, and eggs across the globe would increase by 14% per person and 38% in total between the year 2020 and the year 2050 if trends in income and population continue along a mid-range trajectory. The fastest per person rates of increase were 49% in South Asia and 55% in sub-Saharan Africa. We show that per person demand for red meat in high-income countries would decline by 2.8% if income elasticities of demand (a partial proxy for consumer preferences, based on the responsiveness of demand to income changes) in high-income countries decline by 100% by 2050 under a mid-range trajectory for per person income growth, compared to their current trajectory. Prices are an important driver of demand, and our results demonstrate that the result of a decline in red meat demand in high-income countries is strongly related to rising red meat prices, as projected by our scenario-based modeling. If the decline in the income elasticity of demand occurred in all countries rather than only in high-income countries, then per person red meat demand in high-income countries would actually increase in 2050 by 8.9% because the income elasticity-driven decline in global demand reduces prices, and the effect of lower prices outweighs the effect of a decline in the income elasticity of demand. Our results demonstrate the importance of interactions between income, prices, and the income elasticity of demand in projecting future demand for livestock-derived foods. We complement the existing literature on food systems and global change by providing quantitative evidence about the possible space for the future demand of livestock-derived foods, which has important implications for human health and the natural environment.     

对称荷载正多边形孔洞弹性应力解析逼近方法

提出一种简单有效的计算方法,求解对称荷载作用下含正多边形孔洞无限平面体的弹性应力解。将孔洞内边界向两侧延伸至应力可忽略的远处,其外侧构成半无限平面体。相邻两个半无限平面体有一个公共域,其中一个半无限平面体顶边延伸至相邻两个半限平面体体内。孔洞内边界上面力是已知的,延伸至两相邻半无限平面体体内的顶边上面力可先假设,由弹性理论求出半无限平面体体内应力,再计算相邻半无限平面体顶边上面力,根据对称性得到本半无限平面体顶边上面力改进值,迭代求解直至收敛。该方法具有计算过程简单、精度高等优点。算例分析表明,该方法求解的工程尺度下孔洞周边应力场与复变函数方法、有限元方法计算结果吻合,拟合计算的孔边角点处应力奇异性次数与理论解基本一致。     

定量评估极端天气影响农业总产值的方法

选取对极端天气敏感性和脆弱性较高的农业领域为研究对象,将极端天气因子和农业生产因子引入Cobb-Douglas生产函数,构建气候经济模型,定量分析了极端天气事件对浙江省农业总产值的影响。结果表明：极端天气因子与浙江省农业总产值存在长期均衡关系,对农业总产值有显著的负面影响。高温日数、低温日数、强降水日数每增加1%,浙江农业总产值分别减少0.072%、0.046%、0.076%;高温日数和强降水日数的短期波动对农业总产值也有显著的负面影响;不同区域的农业总产值受极端天气影响程度存在差异,浙江西北地区和西南地区相对东部沿海地区受极端天气影响更为严重。     

橡胶座非线性弹性界限特性和屈曲特性理论和试验研究

本文系统地研究分析了橡胶隔震支座(以下简称为橡胶座)的界限特性和屈曲特性,界限特性的研究包括橡胶座的界限压缩、界限拉伸、界限剪切等特性,屈曲特性研究包括橡胶座的屈曲应力与界限剪切应变的相关特性。基于橡胶座的压缩刚度因子和拉伸刚度因子,给出了计算橡胶座界限压缩和界限拉伸应力的实用计算理论,同时提出了屈曲应力和界限剪切应变的评价方法。针对橡胶座的界限特性和屈曲特性理论,采用天然橡胶和铅芯橡胶座原型试件进行了试验研究,结果表明本文提出的界限压缩、界限拉伸、屈曲应力等计算理论和评价方法是偏于安全的。文末汇总了本研究涵盖的橡胶座压缩、拉伸、回转、剪切和界限等相关特性的研究成果,初步形成了建筑用橡胶座的基础理论体系。     

昆明长水国际机场砂页岩残积红土动力特性研究

昆明长水国际机场残积红土既是区域内重要的土地资源,更是各类工程建设的建筑地基,由于裂化特性,在现代气候条件下,红土出现了严重的开裂变形,其工程性质不断恶化。文章针对昆明长水国际机场砂页岩残积红土开展了一系列固结不排水动三轴试验分析研究。变形试验结果表明:砂页岩残积红土在某一次循环动应力中存在屈服应变;在相同的应变水平下,动弹性模量随着固结围压的增大而增大;同时砂页岩残积红土的阻尼比在动应变小幅度的增加时会发生骤降,并随着动应变的增加逐渐趋平。同时通过动强度试验得出砂页岩残积红土破坏动强度随着固结围压的增大而增大,并得到砂页岩残积红土在固结比K_c=1时的动抗剪强度指标,即c_d=25.182 kPa,φ_d=12.985°,将其与固结不排水的静三轴试验下得出的抗剪强度指标进行了对比与分析。红土在动力作用下的剪切破坏实质是其土体中的弱结合水大量丧失,导致其颗粒之间的粘结力降低,从而内部单元体产生了相对位移。该研究成果对红土系统深入研究及工程实践应用具有重大的指导意义。