高速铁路对中国省际可达性的影响

中国高速铁路网“四纵四横”客运专线规划至2015 年建成,将覆盖所有省会及90%的50 万以上人口城市,高速铁路可达性因此成为近年可达性研究的热点。本文在总结前人研究方法的基础上,运用加权平均旅行时间研究高铁时代中国省际可达性及空间格局。研究结果表明:① 采用传统客运最短旅行时间(含中转及停留)数据得到的省际可达性呈中心—外围模式,以郑州—武汉为中心,其他省份按“距离衰减规律”成为圈层式阶梯状空间格局;② 高速铁路建设带来省际联系时间缩短、可达性最优区域大幅增加等“高铁效应”,空间结构仍以武汉—郑州为中心呈现中心—外围模式;③ 高铁运营使省际可达性均衡化,可达性变化幅度在空间上呈中间凹四周高的“碗形”特点,位于客运铁路网络中心附近的省份变化幅度较小,外围地区如云南、福建等省可达性变化幅度较大。     

金湖凹陷TC-CZ地区三维地震资料处理

JC-TC地区有多年施工的多块小范围三维资料,但资料的品质较差,信噪比低,不能满足构造解释的需要。我们此次以较完整的二级构造单元为整体解剖对象,对四块三维资料进行拼接处理。     

Evaluation of GODAS Using RAMA Mooring Observations from the Indian Ocean

We present a comparison of the Global Ocean Data Assimilation System (GODAS) five-day ocean analyses against in situ daily data from Research Moored Array for African-Asian-Australian Monsoon Analysis and Prediction (RAMA) moorings at locations 90°E, 12°N; 90°E, 8°N; 90°E, 0°N and 90°E, 1.5°S in the equatorial Indian Ocean and the Bay of Bengal during 2002–2008. We find that the GODAS temperature analysis does not adequately capture a prominent signal of Indian Ocean dipole mode of 2006 seen in the mooring data, particularly at 90°E 0°N and 90°E 1.5°S in the eastern India Ocean. The analysis, using simple statistics such as bias and root-mean-square deviation, indicates that standard GODAS temperature has definite biases and significant differences with observations on both subseasonal and seasonal scales. Subsurface salinity has serious deficiencies as well, but this may not be surprising considering the poorly constrained fresh water forcing, and possible model deficiencies in subsurface vertical mixing. GODAS reanalysis needs improvement to make it more useful for study of climate variability and for creating ocean initial conditions for prediction.     

Effects of seismic isolation on the seismic response of a California high‐speed rail prototype bridge with soil‐structure and track‐structure interactions

With the launch of the high‐speed train project in California, the seismic risk is a crucial concern to the stakeholders. To investigate the seismic behavior of future California High‐Speed Rail (CHSR) bridge structures, a 3D nonlinear finite‐element model of a CHSR prototype bridge is developed. Soil‐structure and track‐structure interactions are accounted for in this comprehensive numerical model used to simulate the seismic response of the bridge and track system. This paper focuses on examining potential benefits and possible drawbacks of the a priori promising application of seismic isolation in CHSR bridges. Nonlinear time history analyses are performed for this prototype bridge subjected to two bidirectional horizontal historical earthquake ground motions each scaled to two different seismic hazard levels. The effect of seismic isolation on the seismic performance of the bridge is investigated through a detailed comparison of the seismic response of the bridge with and without seismic isolation. It is found that seismic isolation significantly reduces the deck acceleration and the force demand in the bridge substructure (i.e., piers and foundations), especially for high‐intensity earthquakes. However, seismic isolation increases the deck displacement (relative to the pile cap) and the stresses in the rails. These findings imply that seismic isolation can be promisingly applied to CHSR bridges with due consideration of balancing its beneficial and detrimental effects through using appropriate isolators design. The optimum seismic isolator properties can be sought by solving a performance‐based optimum seismic design problem using the nonlinear finite‐element model presented herein. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

城市人群聚集消散时空模式探索分析——以深圳市为例

城市中人群的移动是带有目的性的,城市空间结构功能也存在差异,导致人群在城市中出现聚集或消散的现象,而且该现象会随着时间不断变化。本文基于海量的手机位置数据,以深圳市为例,采用自相关分析识别出城市中人群聚集与消散的区域,然后将这些区域一天中人群聚散组合成时间序列矩阵,采用自组织图聚类方法（SOM）进行聚类得到9种典型的人群聚集、消散时空模式,结合土地利用现状数据,分析解释了每种聚散模式最可能出现的土地利用组合。该研究从聚集和消散的角度探索了城市人群移动的时空模式,进一步帮助理解城市不同区域人群的移动模式以及与城市空间结构功能之间的关系,对城市规划、交通管理具有参考和指导意义。     

盐岩地下储气库体积收敛失效概率分析与模型试验验证

盐岩地下储气库受盐岩蠕变特性影响会产生较大的体积收缩变形,影响储气库安全稳定运行。目前对地下储气库体积稳定性分析方法和评价准则各国没有统一标准,国内主要采用数值计算的方法来评价储气库体积稳定性。以江苏金坛盐矿地下储气库体积收敛数值分析为基础,借鉴国外盐岩地下储气库稳定性评价标准,建立盐岩地下储气库体积收敛失效风险评价矩阵,采用一次二阶矩法显示功能函数分析储气库体积收敛失效概率,分析得出：储气库在长期恒定内压工况下体积收敛失效概率随内压的增大而减小;在短期调峰低压工况下体积收敛失效概率随内压的减小而增大;最小内压应保持在4.2 MPa以上。通过交变气压条件下层状盐岩地下储气库大型三维地质力学模型试验得出:储气库体积收敛变形随内压的增大而减小;短期运行最小内压应大于4.0 MPa。模型试验结果与失效概率分析结论较为相似。因此,为避免盐岩地下储气库产生体积收敛破坏,应保证调峰短期最小内压在4.0 MPa以上。     

Scoping prediction of re-radiated ground-borne noise and vibration near high speed rail lines with variable soils

This paper outlines a vibration prediction tool, ScopeRail, capable of predicting in-door noise and vibration, within structures in close proximity to high speed railway lines. The tool is designed to rapidly predict vibration levels over large track distances, while using historical soil information to increase accuracy. Model results are compared to an alternative, commonly used, scoping model and it is found that ScopeRail offers higher accuracy predictions. This increased accuracy can potentially reduce the cost of vibration environmental impact assessments for new high speed rail lines.To develop the tool, a three-dimensional finite element model is first outlined capable of simulating vibration generation and propagation from high speed rail lines. A vast array of model permutations are computed to assess the effect of each input parameter on absolute ground vibration levels. These relations are analysed using a machine learning approach, resulting in a model that can instantly predict ground vibration levels in the presence of different train speeds and soil profiles. Then a collection of empirical factors are coupled with the model to allow for the prediction of structural vibration and in-door noise in buildings located near high speed lines. Additional factors are also used to enable the prediction of vibrations in the presence of abatement measures (e.g. ballast mats and floating slab tracks) and additional excitation mechanisms (e.g. wheelflats and switches/crossings).     

Using a Lagrangian model to estimate source regions of particles in sediment traps

A Lagrangian model is used to evaluate source regions of particles collected in the sediment traps at the DYFAMED(Dynamique des Flux Atmosphériques en Méditerranée) station by tracking particles backwards from March 1 to August 31, 2001. The analysis suggests that source regions depend on the flow fields, the settling speed of the particles, and the deployment depths of the traps. Monthly variation is observed in the distribution patterns of source regions, which is caused by the currents. The source regions are located around the traps and up to hundreds of kilometers away. As the settling speed increases with the particle diameters, the distance to the source regions decreases. The vertical flux can be approximately estimated in 1D for the particles with diameters larger than 500 μm. Furthermore, traps moored at various depths at the DYFAMED can collect particles that originated from different regions in the Ligurian Sea.     

我国西部六盘山片区产业结构趋同度比较研究

通过对六盘山片区2006-2011年间产业发展数据的整理, 利用产业结构相似度系数对片区四省区及所辖县市进行了定量测算与综合比较, 发现片区呈现“二三一”的产业结构类型. 其中, 第一产业比重仍处高位, 三次产业结构仍处于低级结构状态, 产业结构优化转型任务艰巨. 对片区各省区间产业结构的关系和所辖主要县市间产业结构的现状进行了由整体到局部的动态分析, 在对陕、甘、宁、青四省区涉及县市的产业结构趋同程度的定量分析与测算后, 确定陕西与宁夏区域产业结构趋同度属于较高层次, 区内产业结构趋同度处于0.9以上的高位, 产业结构同质化现象十分严重; 甘肃与青海区域产业趋同现象相对较轻, 存在明显的波动性, 并针对不同区县间的具体情况进行了系统分析. 最后, 依据分析结果, 从协同规划、培育特色产业、发展优势产业等方面提供了政策建议.     

单位圆外域到任意开挖断面隧洞外域共形映射的计算方法

将复杂开挖断面为边界的力学问题转化成单位圆为边界的力学问题,是利用复变函数理论开展地下隧洞围岩力学分析的前提。从黎曼存在定理出发,建立了以洛朗级数有限项表示的单位圆外域到任意开挖断面隧洞外域的共形映射函数。根据边界对应原理,将域到域的共形映射问题转化成单位圆周线到任意开挖断面隧洞边界线的共形映射问题。从三角插值理论出发,采用奇偶插值点反复相互迭代对映射函数的求解开展了研究。为快速地进行迭代计算,采用法线逼近法进行计算点（映射点）调整。提出了以映射边界线与实际开挖洞形边界线之间的绝对误差作为迭代计算的收敛条件,保证了共形映射精度。给出了3个开挖断面隧洞映射函数的求解算例,并将研究结果与文献中的方法进行了比较。结果表明,提出的单位圆外域到任意开挖断面隧洞外域共形映射的计算方法具有操作简单、精度高和收敛快等特点。