模糊识别的隶属原则及其应用

由于模糊识别之最大隶属原则,在实际应用中存在着某种上程度上的不足。本文提出了加势隶属原则、积势隶属原则及加权加势隶属原则、加权积势隶属原则。以此可综合考虑各种变量因素,并在最大限度上综合利用各种变量因素间的信息,以达到模糊识别的最佳效应。     

Flood-type trend analysis for alpine catchments

ABSTRACT

In many places, magnitudes and frequencies of floods are expected to increase due to climate change. To understand these changes better, trend analyses of historical data are helpful. However, traditional trend analyses do not address issues related to shifts in the relative contributions of rainfall versus snowmelt floods, or in the frequency of a particular flood type. We present a novel approach for quantifying such trends in time series of floods using a fuzzy decision tree for event classification and applied it to maximal annual and seasonal floods in 27 alpine catchments for the period 1980–2014. Trends in flood types were studied with Sen’s slope and double mass curves. Our results reveal a decreasing number of rain-on-snow and an increasing number of short rainfall events in all catchments, with flash floods increasing in smaller catchments. Overall, the results demonstrate the value of incorporating a fuzzy flood-type classification into flood trend analyses.     

A study on the combination of satellite, airborne, and terrestrial gravity data

Satellite gravity missions, such as CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE, and airborne gravity campaigns in areas without ground gravity will enhance the present knowledge of the Earths gravity field. Combining the new gravity information with the existing marine and ground gravity anomalies is a major task for which the mathematical tools have to be developed. In one way or another they will be based on the spectral information available for gravity data and noise. The integration of the additional gravity information from satellite and airborne campaigns with existing data has not been studied in sufficient detail and a number of open questions remain. A strategy for the combination of satellite, airborne and ground measurements is presented. It is based on ideas independently introduced by Sjöberg and Wenzel in the early 1980s and has been modified by using a quasi-deterministic approach for the determination of the weighting functions. In addition, the original approach of Sjöberg and Wenzel is extended to more than two measurement types, combining the Meissl scheme with the least-squares spectral combination. Satellite (or geopotential) harmonics, ground gravity anomalies and airborne gravity disturbances are used as measurement types, but other combinations are possible. Different error characteristics and measurement-type combinations and their impact on the final solution are studied. Using simulated data, the results show a geoid accuracy in the centimeter range for a local test area.     

菏泽MS 5.9地震前后地震前兆综合加权信息量的变化

地震前兆综合加权信息量是利用“地震预报专家系统”的思想对每一异常事件进行综合评估,考虑到异常的可靠性、有效性、显著性及相互关联性给予不同的权重,以每一异常事件的最可能发震时间来估算异常出现的概率,计算了山东地区1977年以来地震前兆综合加权信息量,分析了1983年11月7日菏泽Ms 5.9地震前信息量变化的特点。     

澜沧-耿马Ms7.6级地震前兆综合加权信息量的变化

在地震综合信息量的基础上,改进了地震前兆异常的出现概率的计算方法,得到地震前兆综合加权信息量.利用"地震预报专家系统"的思想对每一异常事件进行综合评估.考虑到异常的可靠性、有效性、显著性及相互关联性,给予不同的权重,以每一异常事件的最可能发震时间来估算异常出现的概率,计算了澜沧-耿马地震的地震前兆综合加权信息量,并对这种信息量变化的特点进行了分析.     

三峡库区城镇居民地移民迁建分布规律的分析与应用

针对三峡库区移民安置规划中的实际需求,本文以三峡库区秭归县为例,分析了居民地空间分布类型、规律,并结合人口空间化模型,对研究结果的应用作了探讨,进而对居民地空间分布规律进行了验证。     

GPS/GLONASS组合导航不确定度评定的稳健加权融合算法

针对卫星导航系统在实际测量中存在大量野值的情况，利用M估计计算各系统污染分布统计特性，应用不确定度评定分配权值并进行融合。通过实例分析该法在模型及算法选择上均具有优越性。     

A summer and winter apportionment of particulate matter at urban and rural areas in northern France

The apportionment of atmospheric aerosols undertaken in Northern France during two sampling campaigns allowed to determine the influence of the atmospheric contribution of a heavy industrialized urban center on the particulate matter composition at a nearby rural site. The concentrations of major components and trace elements sampled by bulk filtration have been determined on June–July 2000 and January–February 2001, and the comparison of these two campaigns shows very well the importance of wind directions. The sources of 10 trace elements (Al, Ba, Cu, Fe, K, Mn, Pb, Sr, Ti and Zn) and 7 major components (Cl⁻, NO₃⁻, SO₄²⁻, NH₄⁺, Na, Mg and Ca) are better identified by studying their elemental contribution at each sampling site according to wind sectors. This kind of study shows that the concentrations recorded at the urban sampling site are always higher than those observed at the rural site as well during the summer campaign (about + 35%) as during the winter campaign (+ 90%), because of the predominance of the W–NW wind sector, corresponding to the influence of the urban and industrialized areas.     

关于桩基软弱下卧层验算的几点认识

对于国内外不同的规范、手册中对于桩基软弱下卧层验算的不同方法进行了分析。提出以下的一些建议:承台底面以上的原地基土自重在附加应力计算时可以扣除,在总应力计算时再加上;扣除的群桩实体基础四周的摩阻力应使用群桩四周地基土的摩阻力特征值,而不是极限值;对于地下室中的独立柱的桩基础和内墙的条形桩基础,应当从地下室地面而不是原地面起算进行验算。