基于熵变加权法的水安全综合指数评价

为了构建水安全综合评价的模型,采用熵变加权法对水安全评价体系的各子系统进行赋权,得到水安全的综合评价指数公式。将方法应用于山东省区域水资源安全评价,并与其它方法的评价结果进行了比较分析。结果表明：基于熵变加权法的水安全综合指数能反映出样本与评价标准之间的远近程度,并且可以同时评价多个样本;熵变加权法的应用减少了评价的主观性,使评价结果客观、合理,具有良好的实用性。     

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Regional hydrologic mapping of flows in stream networks

River low flow (LF) is an important hydrological characteristic used in management of the quantity and quality of water resources. A common way to transpose at-station low flow quantiles to ungaged locations involves development of regional multivariate regression models. In site selection studies of water control facilities, need arises to automate the mapping of LF characteristics onto the stream network in a continuous manner. This would allow estimation of LF at any desired ungaged location. A mapping algorithm is introduced that determines the value of regression model's independent variables (input components) over the drainage area of each stream pixel and calculates the flow (output). The mapping algorithm relies mainly on the digital elevation model (DEM) and its derivatives, such as flow direction and flow accumulation. Furthermore, the contribution of each independent variable of the regional model to the total flow may be plotted to represent the flow profiles along the streams. A case study involving LF mapping in rivers of Gilan province, Iran, where LF quantiles are required for issuing water withdrawal permits as well as maintaining water quality standards, is also described in the paper. Overall, the maps and profiles of flow statistics in the region of interest provide convenient visualization and assessment tools for water resource and environmental engineers. The transposition algorithm may also be applied in regional mapping of other flow characteristics such as flood or average flows.     

观测值含有粗差的抗差粒子滤波算法

作为非线性滤波的代表,粒子滤波得到广泛应用。该算法通过随机生成的具有权重的样本（粒子）来计算后验概率密度。其中赋权的过程需要综合系统信息和观测信息,当观测值含有粗差时,会使粒子错误赋权影响滤波结果。提出一种新的基于抗差估计的抗差粒子滤波算法,通过计算粒子等价权,抑制观测值粗差的影响。模拟计算分析表明,当观测值含有粗差时,与标准粒子滤波相比,该方法能有效提高滤波精度。     

逐点内插法建立DEM的研究

本文讨论了移动拟合法和加权平均法两种逐点内插法建立DEM的原理及算法实现,并对其中的关键技术——动态确定阈值R和权函数的确定与实现进行了详细讨论。文章在分析常规权函数的基础上提出了一种新的定权方法。最后通过大量试验数据对两种内插方法的精度以及不同权函数的精度分别进行了评定。     

1st0pt在沉降预测中的应用研究

预测方法有多种,找一种操作简单的方法较难。本文利用综合优化软件包1 st0pt,选用几种预测模型,通过对实测数据进行拟合,得出各种预测方法的计算模型,再利用最小二乘法原理,以预测绝对误差平方和最小为目标,给每种预测模型赋予不同的权重,组成规划方程,求出权重数列并组成新的预测模型,再对建筑物进行预测,将得到较好的预测结果。     

GeoSurveillance: a GIS-based system for the detection and monitoring of spatial clusters

This article introduces a software package named GeoSurveillance that combines spatial statistical techniques and GIS routines to perform tests for the detection and monitoring of spatial clustering. GeoSurveillance provides both retrospective and prospective tests. While retrospective tests are applied to spatial data collected for a particular point in time, prospective tests attempt to incorporate the dynamic nature of spatial patterns via analyzing time-series data to detect emergent clusters as quickly as possible. This article will outline the structure of GeoSurveillance as well as describe the statistical cluster detection methods implemented in the software. It concludes with an illustration of the use of the software to analyze the spatial pattern of low birth weights in Los Angeles County, California.      

Climate Warming Mitigation from Nationally Determined Contributions

Individual countries are requested to submit nationally determined contributions(NDCs) to alleviate global warming in the Paris Agreement. However, the global climate effects and regional contributions are not explicitly considered in the countries’ decision-making process. In this study, we evaluate the global temperature slowdown of the NDC scenario(?T =0.6°C) and attribute the global temperature slowdown to certain regions of the world with a compact earth system model.Considering reductions ...     

特征分析模型构造原理

本文研究在矿产资源评价中适用于不同条件的,特征分析模型的构造原则和方法:建立一般特征分析模型的最大标度准则;变量权和样品关联度的不同算法和解释;基于不同相似性度量标准的矿床模型及建立广义矿化模型的方法;构造多维特征分析模型和进行定量资源评价的可能性。