Modelling Short‐Scale Variability and Uncertainty During Mineral Resource Estimation Using a Novel Fuzzy Estimation Technique

For mineral resource assessment, techniques based on fuzzy logic are attractive because they are capable of incorporating uncertainty associated with measured variables and can also quantify the uncertainty of the estimated grade, tonnage etc. The fuzzy grade estimation model is independent of the distribution of data, avoiding assumptions and constraints made during advanced geostatistical simulation, e.g., the turning bands method. Initially, fuzzy modelling classifies the data using all the component variables in the data set. We adopt a novel approach by taking into account the spatial irregularity of mineralisation patterns using the Gustafson–Kessel classification algorithm. The uncertainty at the point of estimation was derived through antecedent memberships in the input space (i.e., spatial coordinates) and transformed onto the output space (i.e., grades) through consequent membership at the point of estimation. Rather than probabilistic confidence intervals, this uncertainty was expressed in terms of fuzzy memberships, which indicated the occurrence of mixtures of different mineralogical phases at the point of estimation. Data from different sources (other than grades) could also be utilised during estimation. Application of the proposed technique on a real data set gave results that were comparable to those obtained from a turning bands simulation.     

砾卵石层中预制桩的承载性状研究

依据59根桩静载荷试验实测结果和桩侧相关土层的标贯试验成果,反算出砾卵石持力层中预制桩的极限桩端阻力,结合7根桩身埋设有应力计的预制桩桩端阻力的实测成果,分析了砾卵石层中的预制桩的桩端阻力、桩端荷载分担比例及端阻充分发挥所需的桩端位移。通过对121根以砾卵石为持力层的预制桩的静载试验成果与静压法施工终压力的比较,分析了砾卵石层中静压预制桩的施工终压力与极限承载力的关系。     

桂西南岩溶生态脆弱区生态承载力分析及可持续发展状况评价——以广西平果县为例

以平果县这一典型岩溶生态脆弱区为例,依据1990、1995、2000及2002年的调查统计数据,对区域生态系统的生态足迹和生态承载力进行测算,并以测算结果为依据,对区域生态系统可持续发展状况进行评价。结果表明,在1990年、1995年、2000年、2002年,平果县区域生态足迹呈不断增加的趋势,人均生态足迹从0．8004hkm^2增加至1．4444hkm^2,净增加了0．644hkm^2;生态承载力总体也呈增长的趋势,2002年比1990年增长了26．83％,其增长值主要来源于森林（果园）面积的增加,而耕地和草地的面积却呈现负增长。区域生态承载力阈值很小,远低于广西区及全国的同期水平;除森林（果园）表现为轻微生态盈余外,耕地、草地、水域均表现为生态赤字,以致区域生态总体表现为较大的生态赤字,且呈逐渐增加趋势,表明区域生物生产土地面积的需求量已经严重超过区域生态系统的承载能力,区域可持续发展的前景不容乐观。[      

山水城市建设与都市旅游发展——以贵阳市为例

都市旅游为推进城市现代化起到了十分积极的作用,已成为城市竞争力的重要组成部分。把城市建设与都市旅游结合起来,寻求二者的共同点,既可促进都市旅游的发展,又有利于现代城市的建设。通过对贵阳市发展建设和旅游开发条件的分析,从理论和实际结合上探寻贵阳“山水城市”建设与都市旅游资源开发的完美结合点,实现城市建设和旅游发展的双赢。     

四川长宁石林地质遗迹景观资源特征及开发建议

长宁石林地质遗迹景观资源丰富,类型多样。最具代表性的景观资源是岩溶地貌,有溶洞、石林、天坑、漏斗、地缝、暗河、瀑布等,并有其他多种配套景观资源。这些地质景观资源具有重要的地学科研和美学观赏价值,具有较大的开发潜力。     

河南荥巩矿区岩溶水发育规律研究

通过对矿区地层、构造以及水文地质条件的分析,认为寒武-奥陶系岩溶裂隙含水层是矿区的主要含水层。岩溶水受地层岩性、构造的作用明显,岩溶发育程度在矿区呈现出西弱东强,浅部强、深部弱的发育规律。岩溶水动态受大气降水和矿井排水的双重控制,大气降水是岩溶水的主要补给来源,矿井排水是主要排泄方式,水位动态属于降水-矿排型。在天然状态下,岩溶水主要接受南部露头区大气降水的补给,然后自南向北、自西向东径流,经过新中-三李一带的岩溶水强径流带,在三李一带以岩溶大泉的方式向外排泄。     

杭州湾岸线变迁与城市规划建设

本文较系统地阐述了杭州湾沿岸平原第四纪地质与地貌特征,扼要分析了钱塘江与杭州湾岸线的变迁历史及其演变趋势。在此基础上,指出海平面持续上升带采的一系列环境问题是未来杭州湾海岸带面临的主要威胁,并对环杭州湾城市化发展规划提出了若干建议。     

Urban effects of Chennai on sea breeze induced convection and precipitation

Doppler radar derived wind speed and direction profiles showed a well developed sea breeze circulation over the Chennai, India region on 28 June, 2003. Rainfall totals in excess of 100 mm resulted from convection along the sea breeze front. Inland propagation of the sea breeze front was observed in radar reflectivity imagery. High-resolution MM5 simulations were used to investigate the influence of Chennai urban land use on sea breeze initiated convection and precipitation. A comparison of observed and simulated 10m wind speed and direction over Chennai showed that the model was able to simulate the timing and strength of the sea breeze. Urban effects are shown to increase the near surface air temperature over Chennai by 3.0K during the early morning hours. The larger surface temperature gradient along the coast due to urban effects increased onshore flow by 4.0m s⁻¹. Model sensitivity study revealed that precipitation totals were enhanced by 25mm over a large region 150 km west of Chennai due to urban effects. Deficiency in model physics related to night-time forecasts are addressed.     

新疆坎儿井现状及其发展

简述了新疆坎儿井的构成、特点、研究意义,分析了坎儿井衰退状况及其原因,列举了已进行的坎儿井保护工作,提出了坎儿井于枯断流的综合治理对策及今后的发展方向。     

水布垭面板堆石坝的三维弹塑性数值分析研究

在建的清江水布垭面板堆石坝高达233 m,是目前同类坝型中最高的.采用MSC.Marc非线性有限元程序,发展了三维子模型法,对该坝进行了三维弹塑性有限元仿真分析,模拟了面板的分缝、坝体材料分区、填筑及蓄水过程,采用双屈服面弹塑性模型模拟堆石体的变形特征.根据数值分析的结果,对坝体和面板的应力变形分布规律进行了探讨.