基于GPT3模型的ZTD及PWV反演精度分析

使用亚洲区域18个IGS测站和中国区域内16个探空站2016~2018年的数据,研究GPT3模型反演天顶对流层延迟（ZTD）和大气可降水量（PWV）的精度,并与其他GPT系列模型进行对比。结果表明,GPT3-1模型估计的ZTD的bias均值和最大值均最小,分别为1.34 mm和14.06 mm;GPT3模型整体精度略优于GPT2w模型,优于GPT2模型。探空站处GPT3模型反演的PWV的bias和RMSE均表现出较强的季节性特征;由GPT3模型反演的PWV的月均值可知,GPT3-1模型比GPT3-5模型具有更高的精度和稳定性。     

GNSS水汽层析的约束条件方程变权代数重构算法

基于传统代数重构算法（algebraic reconstruction technique, ART）提出一种约束条件方程变权的代数重构算法(variable weight algebraic reconstruction technique, VWART),利用2019-08香港地区CORS网GNSS观测数据进行实验,选用京士柏探空气象站探空数据进行验证分析。结果表明,相比于传统代数重构算法,变权代数重构算法的精度、稳定性和可靠性均有所提高。以探空数据为例,其RMSE降低20.334%;在不同程度降水条件下,变权代数重构算法反演的垂直水汽廓线分布均优于传统代数重构算法。     

印度尼西亚方程的改进及其在大庆长垣低孔渗储层的应用

针对大庆长垣F油层储层具有孔隙度小、渗透率低、泥质含量高、微孔隙发育、束缚水饱和度高等特点,通过理论和实验分析长垣F油层低孔、低渗储层的主要导电因素,得出泥质附加导电和束缚水导电是该区F油层的低孔、低渗泥质砂岩储层的重要导电因素.考虑束缚水和可动水导电路径不同,基于三水导电模型的推导原理,建立混合水等效电导率方程;依据该区矿化度较低和含泥高的储层特征,对适用于淡水高泥储层的印度尼西亚方程进行改进,用混合水等效电导率代替原方程中的地层水电导率,建立长垣地区F油层低孔低渗泥质砂岩含水饱和度模型.利用岩心分析数据和常规测井资料,采用多元回归法确定长垣F油层饱和度模型中的泥质体积分数、孔隙度、束缚水饱和度.利用岩电实验数据,采用最优化方法确定长垣F油层饱和度模型中的饱和度指数、胶结指数等参数.经密闭取心井含水饱和度对比和试油结果验证,建立的含水饱和度模型可用于F油层的低孔低渗泥质砂岩储层定量评价.     

鄂尔多斯盆地都思兔河流域白垩系含水层特征及供水前景分析

在鄂尔多斯盆地都思兔河流域供水水文地质详查的基础上,通过水文地质钻探、抽水试验、样品分析等手段,查明了流域含水层的结构、埋深以及含水层和隔水层在水平和垂直方向上的变化规律,探讨了各含水层之间的水力联系,并求取了含水层的水文地质参数;对比圈定了包乐浩晓、巴彦布拉格、好勒包勒吉3处富水区;采用地下水流数值模拟方法对上述3处富水区地下水开采量进行计算,提出了27种地下水开采方案,并经过对比得到地下水开采推荐方案。结果表明:包乐浩晓、巴彦布拉格、好勒包勒吉3处富水区主要补给为侧向径流及大气降水入渗补给,排泄方式以潜水面蒸发及向河流排泄为主;在地下水浅埋区,结合含水层单井涌水量的大小,确定采用管井开采方式、中段悬挂式非完整井结构,平均布井,井深300m,单一开采白垩系环河组的地下水,最大限度夺取潜水蒸发排泄量;根据推荐方案,上述3个富水区总开采量达到123 500m3/d,可为该地区地下水资源开发与利用提供技术保障。     

基于Visual ModFlow的苑庄水源地地下水位预测

根据苑庄水源地的水文地质条件,建立了水源地的水文地质概念模型。在此基础上,采用Visual ModFlow对水源地地下水流场进行了数值模拟。误差统计分析表明,数值计算模型在识别与验证过程中的误差较小,模拟效果较为理想。根据所建立的数值模型,并按照设计开采量,对水源地运行后区域地下水位的变化趋势进行了预测。     

莫桑比克东部沿海锆钛砂矿矿石质量特征——以赞比西亚省5004C矿区为例

滨海砂矿是目前全球最大的潜在海洋矿产资源之一,仅次于石油与天然气。莫桑比克东部沿海滨海砂矿资源丰富,在世界上占有重要地位。该文结合莫桑比克赞比西亚省5004C矿区锆钛砂矿,分析矿石结构与构造、矿石物质组成、矿物含量及变化等矿石质量特征,为莫桑比克东部沿海锆钛砂矿的勘探和开发提供有利信息。     

基于傅里叶级数的中国沿海地区Tm模型精化研究

本文采用中国沿海地区13个探空站2010~2014年实测地表温度T_s与平均温度T_m数据,利用傅里叶级数分析法精化中国沿海地区T_m模型,并将2015年探空站实测T_m数据与精化模型进行对比检验。结果表明,精化模型在T_m探测方面具有更高的计算精度,其计算大气可降水量的误差概率分布趋近于正态分布,具有较强的稳定性。     

Water Cooperation Priorities in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin Based on Cooperative Events Since the Mekong River Commission Establishment

The Lancang-Mekong River has attracted much attention from researchers, but the cooperation on water issues in this river basin has been limited, even after the establishment of the Mekong River Commission(MRC). Cooperation on water resources has been determined as one of the key priority areas in the Lancang-Mekong Cooperation Mechanism, but there are no details of targets. In order to establish the priorities of water cooperation under the mechanism, we adopted nine categories to classify the objectives of 87 water cooperation events based on the ‘Lancang-Mekong Water Cooperative Events Database' from 1995 to 2015. Based on the occurrence of cooperative events, cooperative objectives, cooperative scales, and approaches to cooperation, we conducted statistical, correlation, and text analyses. Our analyses indicated the following results: under the impact of economic conditions inside and outside the river basin, full cooperation appeared more difficult than bilateral and multilateral cooperation. Each of the partners adopted different preferences for cooperation targets. Cooperation with more definite objectives was easier to establish than cooperation with broader and more complex objectives. The potential objectives for water cooperation were navigation, hydropower, joint management, data sharing, flood control and water use. Because hydropower development is controversial, and because water cooperation is avoided by most existing regional cooperation mechanisms due to its complexity, we suggest the following priority areas for water cooperation in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin. 1) Navigation and flood control/drought relief are attractive objectives for all the riparian countries across the whole watershed. 2) Data sharing should be a priority for cooperation in the watershed due to its laying the foundation for the equitable and reasonable utilization of transboundary waters. 3) Hydropower is an objective best implemented mainly through bilateral cooperation, and on tributaries.     

A New Retracking Technique for Brown Peaky Altimetric Waveforms

A new Brown-Peaky (BP) retracker has been developed for peaky waveforms that usually appear within ～10 km to the coastline. The main feature of the BP is that it fits peaky waveforms using the Brown model without introducing a peak function. The retracking strategy first detects the peak location and width of a waveform using an adaptive peak detection method, and then estimates retracking parameters using a weighted least squares (WLS) estimator. The WLS assigns a downsized weight to corrupted waveform gates, but an equal weight to other normal waveform gates. The BP retracker has been applied to 4-year Jason-1 waveform (2002–2006) in two Australian coastal zones. The results retracked by BP, MLE4 and ALES retrackers have been validated against tide-gauge observations located at Burnie, Lorne and Broome. The comparison results show that three retrackers have similar performance over open oceans with the correlation coefficient (～0.7) and RMSE (～13 cm) between altimetric and tide-gauge sea levels for distance >7 km offshore. The main improvement of BP retracker occurs for distance ≤7 km to the coastline, where validation results indicate that data retracked by BP are more accurate (15–21 cm) than those by ALES (16–24 cm) and MLE4 (19–37 cm).     

长河煤矿充水因素分析及防治水措施

长河煤矿为地质构造中等复杂区，其矿区地质及水文地质条件表明，地表水、直接充水含水层煤系砂岩裂隙水、老窑水、构造断裂带水都可构成该矿井开采的充水因素，且其涌水量大小与大气降水关系密切。针对矿井开采的具体情况提出了一系列的防治措施，并取得了良好的效果，对煤矿水害的防治有一定的指导意义。