湖南省主要城市大气环境质量状况分析

根据近两年《环境保护报》每周一次的湖南省主要城市空气质量周报资料，采用综合污染指数法，统计分析出湖南省13个主要城市空气质量总体较好，在Ⅱ级标准以内。TSP为首要污染物，SO2为第二污染物，NOx污染轻微，且冬季污染高于夏季；同时大气环境质量与城市工业化水平和以煤为主的能源结构密切相关，并具有区域性和季节性的差异，长沙、株洲、湘潭和娄底污染严重，趋于Ⅲ级际准，永州、张家界空气质量较优，接近Ⅰ级标准，其它城市居中。在分析湖南省大气污染原因和特征的基础上，提出调整能源结构，加强污染治理以及城市绿化等措施，以提高城市大气环境质量，保证经济可持续发展。     

Probabilistic and fuzzy reliability analysis of a sample slope near Aliano

Slope stability assessment is a geotechnical problem characterized by many sources of uncertainty. Some of them, e.g., are connected to the variability of soil parameters involved in the analysis. Beginning from a correct geotechnical characterization of the examined site, only a complete approach to uncertainty matter can lead to a significant result. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate how to model data uncertainty in order to perform slope stability analysis with a good degree of significance.

Once the input data have been determined, a probabilistic stability assessment (first-order second moment and Monte Carlo analysis) is performed to obtain the variation of failure probability vs. correlation coefficient between soil parameters. A first result is the demonstration of the stability of first-order second moment (FOSM) (both with normal and lognormal distribution assumption) and Monte Carlo (MC) solutions, coming from a correct uncertainty modelling. The paper presents a simple algorithm (Fuzzy First Order Second Moment, FFOSM), which uses a fuzzy-based analysis applied to data processing.     

Construction of a historical Water Pollution Index for the Mersey Basin

The Mersey Basin has been significantly polluted for over 200 years. However, there is a lack of quantitative historical water quality data as effective water quality monitoring and data recording only began 30–40 years ago. This paper assesses water pollution in the Mersey Basin using a Water Pollution Index constructed from social and economic data. Methodology, output and the difficulties involved with validation are discussed. With the limited data input available the index approximately reproduces historical water quality. The paper illustrates how historical studies of environmental water quality may provide valuable identification of factors responsible for pollution and a marker set for contemporary and future water quality issues in the context of the past. This is an issue of growing research interest.     

Modelling Compositional Change: The Example of Chemical Weathering of Granitoid Rocks

Perturbation on the simplex is an operation which can be used to numerically describe changes in the composition of, for example, soils, sediments, or rocks. The combination of perturbation and power transformation provides a strong tool for analyzing compositional linear processes in the simplex. When the process is constrained in the sense of a well-known starting (or final) composition, noncentred principal component analysis can be used to estimate the leading perturbation vector of the process. Applying these mathematical tools to chemical major element data from a weathering profile developed on granitoid rocks allows us to model the compositional changes associated with the process of chemical weathering. The comparison of these results with the compositional linear trend defined by erosional products of several of the world's major drainage systems yields close similarities. The latter observation allows for a mathematical formulation of a global mean weathering trend within the system Al₂O₃–CaO– Na₂O– K₂O. We further demonstrate the usefulness of the approach for validating processes behind individual trends and for combining the effects of different processes which modify the composition of soils, sediments, and rocks. Alternatives to the Chemical Index of Alteration (CIA) are discussed to obtain a translation-invariant scale for the process of chemical weathering.     

On depletion of an exhausting natural resource

This paper addresses some of the issues currently surrounding natural resource depletion in national income accounting and makes an argument that user costs associated with exhausting natural resources ought not be treated as costs of production and subtracted from net national product in order to arrive at a “net” net national product. Depletion charges should be reflected in income accounts only to the extent that they are actually taken, in which case they should be treated as saving, rather than as a cost. Purely notional disappearances of natural resources should be recorded in off-balance sheet accounts or satellite accounts, not income statements. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the WSSA conference in Albuquerque, NM in April 1997.     

利用AVHRR植被指数数据集分析中国东部季风区的物候季节特征

利用ＮＯＡＡ／ＮＡＳＡＰａｔｈｆｉｎｄｅｒＡＶＨＲＲ陆地数据集,建立了中国东部季风区（１０８°－１２３°Ｅ,２１°－４５°Ｎ）的１９８６年归一化植被指数（ＮＤＶＩ）距平图像序列。对此数据集进行主成分分析（ＰＣＡ）,前２个主成分的时间序列和空间场展示了中国东部季风区植被物候季节性特征和地域差异。南岭一五夷山以南的华南地区,植被生长季的物候季节性变化不明显。在南岭－五夷山以北地区,植被生长季的物候季节性特征明显,可以比较清晰地确定生长季的变化过程。以淮河流域为界,植被生长季的物候季节性特征又存在明显差异。华北平原表现出强烈的双峰植被物候过程。淮河以南地区,虽然也存在这种双峰物候过程,但比较华北平原的植被,还具有持续性的植被生长特征。淮河流域构成一条区分南北物候季节特征差异的过渡带。     

漳州经济开发区7号山体爆破地震波衰减规律的分析

本文通过对漳州开发区7号山体硐室大爆破振动速度、加速度的测试及数据的初步分析,阐述了爆破地震波衰减规律及其影响因素。并引入平均衰减指数的概念,对开发区当地以后众多的大、中型爆破抗震的安全设计提供有益的依据。     

Eine erneute Revision des Saprobiensystems ‐ weshalb und wozu?

Another Revision of the Saprobic Index ‐ Why and What For? The 1990 revision of the German standard DIN 38410 “Determination of the Saprobic Index in Running Waters” had to be revised again in the course of a periodical updating due to the DIN regulations. Thus, practical experience can be taken into account as well as scientific development and the legal requirements. In this work, modifications of the standard are explained as far as it is not done within DIN 38410. Additionally, emerged suggestions and critiques are discussed. The necessity of quality assurance is especially emphasized. An essential part of the revision is the considerable enlargement of the list of indicators (macro‐ and microorganisms). Beside this, type‐specific ranges of the saprobic index are presented for the reference status in all types of German rivers. Consequently the saprobic system may be used as a metric for the biological assessment with the benthic fauna within the implementation of the European Water Framework Directive. Moreover, many details of the standard have been tightened up. The methods for further enlargements of these lists will also be described, especially the proceeding for the inclusion of neozoic organisms as indicators within the saprobic system. A formula concerning the statistical securing of the saprobic index is not given anymore, mainly because of the high variability of habitats and biocoenses in pristine environments. Further information for quality assurance is given as well.     

四川宣达盐盆富钾富矿卤水地球化学特征及资源意义研究

宣达盐盆富钾富矿卤水产于四川盆地东北部黄金口背斜群南段付家山构造近高点,以深层卤水形式赋存于3260m左右的下三叠统嘉陵江组五段和中统雷口坡组一段(T1j5-T2L1)盐系的碳酸盐岩储层中。卤水与海水蒸发系列相比,K+含量异常高,达25 96g L,超过海水钾盐沉积阶段,也超过综合利用和单独开采品位,为国内外罕见的液态钾矿资源。且富含I-,B3+,Li+,Rb+,Sr2+等多种有用组分,品质优异,构成优质化工原料水,为一种综合性富钾富矿液态矿藏,经济价值极高。卤水为沉积变质水和固态钾盐溶滤水的复合成因。开发利用将可为农业提供优质钾肥,缓解我国钾盐资源不足,并可提供多种短缺的化工产品,对固态钾盐找矿具有重要现实意义。     

东亚海陆热力差指数及其与环流和降水的年际变化关系

利用 196 1～ 1999年海温和地温月平均资料 ,定义了一个海陆热力差指数 ,来表示东亚季风环流的纬向和经向海陆热力差异的变化强度 ,研究了夏季指数与东亚夏季风环流场和中国东部夏季降水的年际变化关系。结果表明 :(1)海陆热力差指数可用来表示东亚夏季风的强弱变化。强指数年东亚季风区低空西南夏季风气流和高层的东风气流明显偏强 ,表明这一年夏季风偏强 ,弱指数年反之。 (2 )海陆热力差指数能较好地反映东部季风区夏季降水的异常状况。强指数年 ,雨带偏北 ,江淮流域和长江中下游明显干旱 ,华南、华北降水偏多 ,弱指数年反之。这一降水异常特征可以从强弱海陆热力差指数年的环流场得到解释。 (3)海陆热力差指数所反映的东亚夏季风具有明显的准 2a和 3～ 6a周期的年际振荡 ,但其振幅和周期具有显著的年代际异常