耦合模式ICM模拟的近千年气候特征

利用中国科学院大气物理研究所季风系统研究中心发展的气候模式(Integrated Climate Model,ICM)开展了近千年气候模拟试验,考察了模式对过去千年温度和大气涛动变化的模拟,并分析了全球季风百年到千年尺度的变化。结果表明:模式对百年尺度气候变率有较好的模拟能力,900~1200年北半球平均表面温度偏高,1500~1800年温度偏低,模拟的北半球、南半球平均表面温度都呈现出了19世纪至2000年的快速增暖。模式对大气涛动百年尺度变化的模拟与重建资料存在较大的不同。全球季风在850~1050年、1150~1200年和1300~1420加强,在1210~1300年和1600~1850年减弱。1875~2000年全球季风指数呈直线上升趋势。中世纪气候异常期(MWP)季风强度在全球大部分季风区域增加,小冰期(LIA)则相反。20世纪暖期(PWP)全球季风强度显著增加,其中赤道西太平洋增加超过1 mm/d。     

迎接大气科学发展即将到来的新飞跃

一门学科中新的事实的发现、新的观测手段和新技术的应用都会引发新理论,从而促进这门学科一个大发展。大气科学发展的历史,就是沿上述道路前进的。近10多年来,对大气、海洋、陆面、生物和冰雪圈进行了大规模、四维的观测,获得了海量的资料。同时,组织了丰富多彩的多项国际和地区的研究计划。通过对观测资料的深入分析和研究,必将发现许多新事实和新现象。这是大气科学即将到来的一个飞跃时期的事实基础。 展望未来10~20年大气科学重大发展,预估将会有多方面的重大突破。新事实和新现象将催生大气科学新理论出现;对气候系统中各种过程的深入了解,巨型计算机的发展,使得新气候环境模式将会出现;这将是一个集地球系统中物理、化学和生物学等自然过程和人类社会经济活动的综合的模拟系统;对于人类生活环境有重大影响的气候突变现象的发生发展机理的了解将会比现在前进一大步;能够发现一些气候突变的阈值和一些气候突变的前期信号;对于未来气候的稳定性、极端气候的发生、海平面升高的程度都将会有比较确切的回答;气候预测的精度也将大大提高。     

Thermal tides on Pluto

Stellar occultations have shown that vertical profiles of density fluctuations in the atmosphere of Pluto typically show wave-like structure with an amplitude of a few percent and vertical wavelengths of a few kilometers. Here we calculate the tidal response of Pluto’s atmosphere to solar-induced sublimation “breathing” from N₂ frost patches. Solutions show global-scale wave-like density structure capable of explaining the observations. The atmospheric response is a combination of eastward and westward migrating tides, together with a zonally symmetric mode. Calculated vertical wavelengths and amplitudes are similar to observations.     

一次大范围暴雪天气的大气环境形成机理研究

通过分析2009年11月9—12日的一次大范围暴雪天气事件,探讨其发生前期和过程中的大气环境条件及形成机理。通过研究分析环流特征、星载雷达有关能数、物理量场诊断等表明:此次天气过程中暴雪区域上空对流层中低层一直存在着一层具有增温增湿特征的层状云,暴雪前大气低层高温高湿的环境为暴雪的发生提供了一个有利的温湿能量蓄积场;东北回流冷空气的入侵是层状云开始形成的触发机制;大气低层因水汽凝结产生的大量凝结潜热促进了垂直上升运动,大气中低层在水汽条件具备时,通过垂直上升运动的作用使水汽大量凝结增长,形成层状云。     

江西抚州2008年低温雨雪冰冻天气过程成因分析

利用常规气象资料、数值预报产品,从天气形势、物理量等方面,分析了2008年1月12日-2月2日江西抚州长时间低温、雨雪、冰冻天气过程的成因。结果表明,乌拉尔山阻塞高压的建立、青藏高原南侧到孟加拉湾南支低槽异常活跃、西北太平洋副热带高压偏强偏北,为这次过程的发生提供了有利的环流背景;700hPa西南风急流不仅为低温冻雨的发生提供了充沛的水汽条件和动力条件,而且还有利于中低层逆温层结的形成和维持;过程后期赣中、赣南的暴雨区,与垂直速度所表现的强烈上升区相对应。     

U–Th–Pb–REE systematics of organic-rich shales from the ca. 2.15 Ga Sengoma Argillite Formation, Botswana: Evidence for oxidative continental weathering during the Great Oxidation Event

The redox-sensitive geochemical behavior of uranium permits the use of Th/U ratios as a geochemical proxy for the oxidation state of the atmosphere during deposition. Due to the effects of post-depositional uranium mobility on Th/U ratios during events involving oxygenated fluids, direct measurements of Th/U ratios are often misleading even for drill core samples. Because both of these elements radioactively decay and produce lead isotopes, the Pb isotope composition may reflect the depositional Th/U ratio, although the Th/U ratios induced by changes shortly after deposition may not be distinguished from the true depositional Th/U ratios. In order to effectively evaluate the time-integrated Th/U ratio (κ_a), values for the initial depositional Pb isotope composition must be determined or accepted from the models for the whole Earth.While the timing for the rise of atmospheric oxygen is reasonably well constrained now, its effect on continental weathering and ocean redox state remains poorly constrained and debated. The ca. 2.15 Ga Sengoma Argillite Formation of Botswana contains organic-rich shales deposited during the Great Oxidation Event. The slope of the ²⁰⁷Pb/²⁰⁴Pb–²⁰⁶Pb/²⁰⁴Pb array of shales from the Sengoma Argillite Formation corresponds to a Pb–Pb age that is within analytical error of the depositional age and is, therefore, inferred to be the time by which the time-integrated thorogenic and uranogenic lead growth started. The time-integrated lead growth corresponds to an average κ_a of 2.63 (± 0.62, 1σ) for the organic-rich shales of the Sengoma Argillite Formation. This is lower than Th/U ratios measured in Archean shale suites or estimated for the Archean–Proterozoic average upper continental crust [Taylor, S.R. and McLennan, S.M., 1985. The Continental Crust: Its Composition and Evolution. Blackwell, Oxford, 312 pp.], which indicates that these samples were enriched in uranium with respect to thorium (and perhaps lead) at the time of deposition. In the modern ocean, sediments are enriched in uranium under reducing conditions by reduction of the water-soluble uranyl ion, which is delivered to the ocean by oxidative weathering of continental crust. To evaluate the potential mobility of Th, U, and Pb during post-depositional processes, the concentrations of the rare earth elements (REE) were also determined. Interelement ratios of the largely immobile REE (in this study, La/Nd and Gd/Er) can be used as a proxy for the Th/U ratio, as the geochemical behavior of the lanthanide and actinide elements is similar under a variety of conditions. Furthermore, close similarity in the chondrite-normalized REE patterns and small range in La/Nd and Gd/Er ratios in studied samples indicate that variations in κ_a values are not likely to have been controlled by mixing of one or more REE-, Th-, and U-rich heavy minerals from the multiple detrital sources. Our study of shales from the ca. 2.15 Ga Sengoma Argillite Formation indicates that decoupling of U from Th, most likely related to the oxidative continental weathering, began by 2.15 Ga, at the latest.     

Mobilization and loss of elements from roofing tiles

Deposition, leaching and chemical transformation are processes that affect roofing tile and roof runoff water. Leaching experiments, with artificial rainwater in the laboratory, showed the presence of Na⁺, K⁺, Mg²⁺, Ca²⁺, Cl⁻, NO₃ ⁻, SO₄ ²⁻, with a ratio of Ca²⁺ and SO₄ ²⁻ suggesting gypsum dissolution. X-ray fluorescence (XRF) of the exposed roof tile showed depletion such as Mg, Al, Si, P, Ti and K at the surface of the tile and an enrichment of Fe and Mn which hinted at a process akin to laterite formation. However, calcium appeared to be enriched at the surface as gypsum (confirmed by X-ray diffraction) and to a lesser extent calcite, which is characteristic of deposits on building surfaces in cities.     

1991年江淮地区特大洪涝时期的环流特征

研究了１９９１年长江淮河流域洪涝时期北半球大气环流特征，指出江淮流域旱涝与东亚低纬度到高纬度经极地再到大西洋低纬度一线的ＥＡＡ波列密切相关。进而，讨论了ＥＡＡ波列与北太平洋海温的关系。黑潮地区和亲潮地区海温的反位相变化可能是形成ＥＡＡ波列的原因之一。１９９１年６－８月大气环流的模型类似于ＥＡＡ波列。