基于BP人工神经网络的枯水径流预报方案研究

介绍了BP人工神经网络的桔水径流预报方法,编制了锦屏一级水电站枯水径流预报方案.根据枯水径流预报方案的预报精度评定成果,总结了应用BP人工神经网络进行枯水径流预报的特点.研究表明基于BP人工神经网络的枯水径流预报方案能够满足水文情报预报规范,具有较好的实用性和可行性.     

海洋石油管道单点提升分析

基于管道微单元体平衡建立了海管单点提升的非线性力学模型的控制微分方程组 ,使用变弧长的无量纲代换将动边界问题化为固定边界的两点边值问题 ,利用Maple环境下编制的两点边值问题的打靶法程序得到了该问题在各个提升阶段的数值解答和在单点提升过程中管道的极限弯矩约为 0 .71q1 3(EI) 2 3。     

空间刚架结构极限强度分析

本文用理想结构单元法对空间刚架结构进行了极限强度分析，理想结构单元法在于将结构分成最大可能的单元。以简单的形式归并几何非线性与材料非线性。按增量形式加载，直到达到极限强度。本文根据Ｒａｓｈｅｄ理论导出了对称的切向方程组，节省了存贮单元、改善了破坏准则的描述。算例结果与非线性有限单元法结果十分吻合。     

非线性洋面温度反演

本文从辐射方程出发，简述洋面温度与亮度温度之间的非线性关系，进行非线性洋面温度反演的方案设计，用正演算法 计算出非线性洋面温度反演公式的回归系数，对样进行检验。     

A New Pursuit Mode of Nonlinear Wave Surface

The numerical mode of nonlinear wave transformation based on both the Laplace equation for water field and the Bemoulli equation for water surface is a kind of time-domain boundary problem with initial conditions. And the basis for establishing the numerical mode of nonlinear wave in time domain is to trace the position of wave free surface and to calculale the instantaneous surface height and surface potential function. This paper firstly utilizes the ‘0-1‘ combined BEM to separate the boundary by means of discretization of Green‘ s integral equation based on the Laplace equation, then separates the free surface of wave with FEM and derives the FEM equation of wave surface that satisfies the nonlinear boundary conditions. By jointly solving the above BEM and FEM equations, the wave potential and surface height could be obtained with iteration in time domain. Thus a new kind of nonlinear numerical mode is established for calculating wave transformation. The wave test in the numerical wave tank shows that the numerical simulation with this mode is of high accuracy.     

Spectral Analysis of Nonlinear Drag Forces

The spectral properties of nonlinear drag forces of random waves on vertical circular cylinders are analyzed in this paper by means of nonlinear spectral analysis. The analysis provides basic parameters for estimation of the characteristic drag forces. Numerical computation is also performed for the investigation of the effects of nonlinearity of the drag forces.The results indicate that the wave drag forces calculated by linear wave theory are larger than those calculated by the third order Stokes wave theory for given waves. The difference between them increases with wave height. The wave drag forces calculated by use of hnear approximation are about 5% smaller than their actual values when measured in the peak values of spectral densities. This will result in a safety problem for the design of offshore structures. Therefore, the nonlinear effect of wave drag forces should be taken into comidemtion in design and application of important offshore structures.     

潮汐响应分析及非线性输入函数的研究

本文采用对不同潮族进行带通滤波而后进行响应分析的方法对潮汐进行分析。引用第一级预报水位构成的非线性输入函数分析非线性潮。给出了预报水位4至6级的组合公式。较好地分析了8,10两族。本文还以坎门和金山咀为例研究了各种输入函数的分析效果,并以预报方差和谱结构来考察输入函数的合理性。     

均匀水底上二维随机波面的二阶谱

本文用摄动方法导出了均匀水底上精确至二阶的二维随机波动解。依据此解并将二阶谱定义为三阶矩函数的Fourier变换,首次给出了精确至二阶的二维随机波面二阶谱的理论表达式并简略地考虑了它的各个组成部分的物理意义。     

A New Approach to High-Order Boussinesq-Type Equations with Ambient Currents

A new approach to high-order Boussinesq-type equations with ambient currents is presented. The current velocity is assumed to be uniform over depth and of the same magnitude as the shallow water wave celerity. The wave velocity field is expressed in terms of the horizontal and vertical wave velocity components at an arbitrary water depth level. Linear operators are introduced to improve the accuracy of the kinematic condition at the sea bottom. The dynamic and kinematic conditions at the free surface are expressed in terms of wave velocity variables defined directly on the free surface. The new equations provide high accuracy of linear properties as well as nonlinear properties from shallow to deep water, and extend the applicable range of relative water depth in the case of opposing currents.     

从树轮б~(13)C序列中提取大气б~(13)C信息的可行性研究

工业革命以来化石燃料的大量使用和森林的过度砍伐,引起大气CO2浓度大幅度增加,但同时由于"Suess"效应,大气δ13C值却在不断下降。研究大气δ13C值的变化历史,不仅有助于预测其今后的趋向,而且可以用来了解碳循环的自然变率和校正全球碳预算模型。由于直接的仪器测量从1978年才开始,因此便产生了各种各样的替代方法。利用树轮δ13C值重建古大气δ13C值的变化就是其中的一种,但树轮δ13C值容易受到外界环境因子的影响,从树轮δ13C值中得到的大气δ13C值存在很大的差异。本文分析了树木生长季(5—9月)温度和降水对树轮δ13C值序列变化趋势的影响。结果表明,温度和降水对树轮δ13C序列的趋势变化没有明显的影响,树轮δ13C值近几十年来下降的趋势主要反映的是大气CO2浓度的增加引起的"Suess"效应。但自然灾害的发生和树轮δ13C值的边材效应可以改变这种结果,如新疆昭苏树轮δ13C值和年轮宽度分别在1969年和1967年突然升高以及青海祁连树轮δ13C值在1990年后上升。