遵义下—中三叠统沉积环境的多元统计分析方法探讨

本文尝试利用地层剖面岩石样品化学分析数据的聚类分析、非线性映象分析、对应分析及最优分割法等多元统计分析结果，结合地层剖面岩性特征，对遵义下—中三叠统碳酸盐岩地层沉积环境进行了初步探讨。     

西藏错勤—申扎剖面大地电磁测深研究

通过对西藏冈底斯地区错勤—申扎大地电磁测深剖面的研究,揭示了该地区壳幔结构特征.上地壳底界面深度大约20 km,在扎日南木错以西和当惹雍错以东地区分别发育壳幔高导层(体).高导层(体)的中心——电阻率低值区出现在20~40 km深度,其根部可追踪到上地幔.从高导层(体)的发育特征推断:错勤—申扎剖面壳幔高导层(体)是在印度板块与欧亚板块主、晚碰撞阶段地幔热流物质上涌和后碰撞阶段地壳东西向拉张作用下,导致中、下地壳岩石相继发生两期部分熔融的结果.而当惹雍错可能是一条深度可能达到上地幔的深、大断裂.     

Response of Growing Season Gross Primary Production to El Ni?o in Different Phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation over Eastern China Based on Bayesian Model Averaging

Gross primary production (GPP) plays a crucial part in the carbon cycle of terrestrial ecosystems. A set of validated monthly GPP data from 1957 to 2010 in 0.5° × 0.5° grids of China was weighted from the Multi-scale Terrestrial Model Intercomparison Project using Bayesian model averaging (BMA). The spatial anomalies of detrended BMA GPP during the growing seasons of typical El Ni?o years indicated that GPP response to El Ni?o varies with Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) phases: when the PDO was in the cool phase, it was likely that GPP was greater in northern China (32°–38°N, 111°–122°E) and less in the Yangtze River valley (28°–32°N, 111°–122°E); in contrast, when PDO was in the warm phase, the GPP anomalies were usually reversed in these two regions. The consistent spatiotemporal pattern and high partial correlation revealed that rainfall dominated this phenomenon. The previously published findings on how El Ni?o during different phases of PDO affecting rainfall in eastern China make the statistical relationship between GPP and El Ni?o in this study theoretically credible. This paper not only introduces an effective way to use BMA in grids that have mixed plant function types, but also makes it possible to evaluate the carbon cycle in eastern China based on the prediction of El Ni?o and PDO.     

Sea surface temperature anomaly in the tropical North Atlantic during El Nino decaying years

基于1979年到2016年多种再分析资料,本文分析了El Ni?o衰减年热带北大西洋的海温异常.结果表明,热带北大西洋海温在此期间呈显著变暖趋势.10次El Ni?o事件的合成结果表明热带北大西洋海温异常在El Ni?o事件峰值之后的春季达到最大值,并持续到夏季.一般而言,这种异常与三个因子有关,即El Nino,北大西洋涛动和长期趋势,能分别导致局地海温上升0.4℃,0.3℃和0.35℃.1983年和2005年的对比分析表明,尽管El Ni?o强度对春季北大西洋海温起到决定性作用,与长期趋势密切相关的前冬海温也很重要.此外,超前-滞后相关结果表明北大西洋涛动超前海温约2-3个月.比较两个冬季相反位相北大西洋涛动的年份(即1992年和2010年),表明北大西洋涛动也能调制北大西洋海温异常.冬季负位相北大西洋涛动能显著增强El Ni?o的强迫影响,反之亦然.换言之,如果北大西洋涛动与El Ni?o位相相合,衰减年北大西洋海温异常才更为显著.因此,为全面理解热带北大西洋海温变化,除长期趋势外,还必须考虑El Ni?o和北大西洋涛动的综合影响.