改进的修正预测法预报电离层

利用自回归移动平均ARMA模型的线性最小方差预测法预报电离层存在的主要问题是极值点处预测误差较大。通过对模型阶数上限及定阶准则的选取进行实验分析,确定了合适的模型阶数并建立了相应模型。修正预测法可利用新信息对线性最小方差预测法的预测结果进行修正。这是一种短期预报方法,每次向前预测一步即2 h,但结果并不理想。考虑到电离层变化的周期性,为了进一步减小极值点处预测误差,提出了改进的修正预测法。实验表明,改进的修正预测法预测结果与原始值符合较好。     

秦皇岛市断裂断层泥的SEM特征与断裂活动性

在野外地质调查的基础上，通过研究秦皇岛市Ｆ１、Ｆ２、Ｆ３断裂断层泥中石英颗粒表面的ＳＥＭ特征，认为Ｆ１断裂最末一次活动时间在早更新世至中更新世；Ｆ２断裂最末一次活动时间在晚更新世中晚期；Ｆ３断裂最末一次活动时间在晚更新世末或全新世初。     

Spectral features of geomagnetic low point displacement and its mechanism

In this paper,Changli station in Hebei Province was taken as an example,in which the minute data of geomagnetic Z component was used to analyze the spectral values of its main frequencies during normal time,geomagnetic storm time and low point displacement time interval respectively. After fitting of ten high spectral values to loga-rithmic functions,it is found that,by using same length of data,the spectral values at geomagnetic storm time in-crease apparently compared with those at normal time,especially at the high frequency segment. While low point displacement occurred,the spectral values at high frequency are approximate to those at normal time,but at period above 4 hours they are mostly lower than those at normal time. Comparison of accumulating of some FFT results at low point displacement and normal time shows that,spectral values at periods of 8.5 and 13.7 hours increase at low point displacement time relative to those at normal time. Compared with the images of Ne observed at DE-METER satellite,it is illustrated that the occurrence of geomagnetic low point displacement is well corresponding with the increase of Ne in ionosphere. Finally it was discussed about those spectral features and the occurrence mechanism of geomagnetic low point displacement.     

Total electron content processing from GPS observations to facilitate ionospheric modeling

With the increasing global distribution of high rate dual-frequency global positioning system (GPS) receivers, the production of a real-time atmospheric constituent definition, total electron content (TEC), has become a beneficial contributor to the modeling applications used in the assessment of GPS position accuracy and the composition of the ionosphere, plasmasphere, and troposphere. Historically, TEC measurements have been obtained through post processing techniques to produce the quality of data necessary for modeling applications with rigorous error estimate requirements. These procedures necessitated the collection of large volumes of data to address the various abnormalities in the computation of TEC associated with the use of greater data quality controls and source selection while real-time modeling environments must rely on autonomous controls and filtration techniques to prevent the production of erroneous model results. In this paper we present methods for processing TEC in real time, which utilize several procedures including the application of an ionospheric model to automatically perform quality control on the TEC output and the computational techniques used to address receiver multipath, faulty receiver observations, cycle-slips, segmented processing, and receiver calibrations. The resulting TEC measurements are provided with rigorous error estimates validated using the vertical TEC from the Jason satellite mission.

Biomass Burning in Southern Africa: Individual Particle Characterization of Atmospheric Aerosols and Savanna Fire Samples

Ambient atmospheric aerosols and savanna fireparticulate emission samples from southern Africa werecharacterised in terms of particle classes and theirnumber abundance by electron probe X-ray microanalysis(EPXMA). About ten particle classes were identifiedfor each sample. The major classes werealuminosilicates and sea salts for ambient coarse(2–10 m equivalent aerodynamic diameter (EAD))samples, and K-S and S-only particles for ambient fine(<2 m EAD) samples. The K-S particles are oneof the major products of biomass burning. The EPXMAresults were found to be consistent with the resultsfrom bulk analyses on a sample by sample basis. Forsavanna fire fine samples, quantitative EPXMA revealedthat many particles had a composition of simple saltssuch as KCl. Some particles had a deviatingcomposition in the sense that more ionic species wereinvolved in sustaining the balance between cations andanions, and they were composite or mixed salts.Because of extensive processing during the atmospherictransport, the composition of the K-S particles in theambient samples was different from K₂SO₄,and such particles were enriched with S. The finepyrogenic KCl particles and the fine sea-saltparticles were much depleted in chlorine.     

Solar radio burst (type III)

This article describes the observations of a type III radio burst observed at 103 MHz simultaneously by the two radio telescopes situated at Rajkot (22.3°N, 70.7°E) and Thaltej (23°N, 72.4°E). This event occurred on September 30, 1993 at about 0430 UT and lasted for only half a minute. The event consisted of several sharp spikes in a group. The rise and fall time of these are comparable, however the peaks of individual spikes varied by a factor of four. The comparison of these observations with the data of solar radio spectrograph HiRAS indicates that this was a metric radio burst giving highest emission at about 103 MHz.     

吉林省地质灾害类型及防治对策探讨

本文针对吉林省的地质灾害类型及各类地质灾害的成因，分布及其危害进行了论述。对其防治对策进行了探讨，提出了切合本省实际的五项防治措施。     

电子探针分析与系列矿物研究

本文论述以电子探针为主要测试手段对下述几种系列矿物的研究成果:(1)铂族元素系列矿物的研究(包括Ru-Os-Fe金属互化物矿物系列和RuAs_2-OsAs_2二元固溶体矿物系);(2)Au-Cu系列矿物的研究;(3)黝铜矿族矿物的研究。     

基于球谐函数模型的电离层预报

据球谐函数模型系数的特点,采用ARMA(p,q)模型对球谐函数模型系数进行预报,由球谐函数模型计算电离层VTEC。提出了针对某一时刻球谐系数进行预报的方法,相比传统按照时刻顺序的预报,预报时间大大延长,预报精度也有所提高。试验结果表明,相比中高纬度地区,低纬度地区预报精度偏低,同时,一天中不同时刻预报结果有所差别,前半天的预报效果明显好于后半天。     

Microanalysis of Fe3+/ΣFe in oxide and silicate minerals by investigation of electron energy-loss near-edge structures (ELNES) at the Fe M 2,3 edge

The Fe M _2,3-edge spectra of solid solutions of garnets (almandine-skiagite Fe₃(Al_1–xFe_x)₂[SiO₄]₃ and andradite-skiagite (Fe_1–xCa_x)₃Fe₂[SiO₄]₃), pyroxenes (acmite-hedenbergite (Ca_1–xNa_x)(Fe²⁺ _1−xFe³⁺ _x)Si₂O₆), and spinels (magnetite-hercynite Fe(Al_1–xFe_x)₂O₄) have been measured using the technique of parallel electron energy-loss spectroscopy (EELS) conducted in a transmission electron microscope (TEM). The Fe M _2,3 electron energy-loss near-edge structures (ELNES) of the minerals exhibit a characteristic peak located at 4.2 eV and 2.2 eV for trivalent and divalent iron, respectively, prior to the main maximum at about 57 eV. The intensity and energy of the pre-edge feature varies depending on Fe³⁺/ΣFe. We demonstrate a new quantitative method to extract the ferrous/ferric ratio in minerals. A systematic relationship between Fe³⁺/ΣFe and the integral intensity ratio of the main maximum and the pre-edge peak of the Fe M _2,3 edge is observed. Since the partial cross sections of the Fe M _2,3 edges are some orders of magnitude higher than those of the Fe L _2,3 edges, the Fe M _2,3 edges are interesting for valence-specific imaging of Fe. The possibility of iron valence-specific imaging is illustrated by Fe M _2,3-ELNES investigations with high lateral resolution from a sample of ilmenite containing hematite exsolution lamellae that shows different edge shapes consistent with variations in the Fe³⁺/ΣFe ratio over distances on the order of 100 nm. Received: 14 April 1998 / Revised, accepted: 8 March 1999