“菲特”台风路径和强度预报难点分析

利用1°×1°NCEP再分析资料、NOAA海温资料对其进行分析,结果表明:(1)副高突然加强西进,中低层高压带加强,在台风北侧形成高压坝和强盛偏东气流,是台风路径突然西折的主要原因;(2)"丹娜丝"的活动在一定程度上阻止了副热带高压的南落,有利于副高南侧偏东急流的维持和加强,对"菲特"路径的突然西折起一定作用。敏感性数值试验结果表明"双台风"效应对"菲特"登陆前进一步西折具有决定作用;(3)高低空急流的配置,产生了动力场的耦合作用,加强了台风的对流活动,所释放的潜热可以补偿海温降低的影响,对"菲特"在近海强度维持起到了重要作用;(4)"菲特"的强度和环境风垂直切变的演变规律基本一致,较低的环境风垂直切变是"菲特"在近海强度维持的重要原因。     

The Hill stability of inclined small mass binary systems in three-body systems with special application to triple star systems, extrasolar planetary systems and Binary Kuiper Belt systems

The dynamical stability of a bound triple system composed of a small binary or minor planetary system moving on a orbit inclined to a central third body is discussed in terms of Hill stability for the full three-body problem. The situation arises in the determination of stability of triple star systems against disruption and component exchange and the determination of stability of extrasolar planetary systems and minor planetary systems against disruption, component exchange or capture. The Hill stability criterion is applied to triple star systems and extrasolar planetary systems, the Sun-Earth-Moon system and Kuiper Belt binary systems to determine the critical distances for stable orbits. It is found that increasing the inclination of the third body decreases the Hill regions of stability. Increasing the eccentricity of the binary also produces similar effects.These type of changes make exchange or disruption of the component masses more likely. Increasing the eccentricity of the binary orbit relative to the third body substantially decreases stability regions as the eccentricity reaches higher values. The Kuiper Belt binaries were found to be stable if they move on circular orbits. Taking into account the eccentricity, it is less clear that all the systems are stable.     

Development of a skill assessment tool for the Korea operational oceanographic system

A standard skill assessment(SA) tool was developed and implemented to evaluate the performance of operational forecast models in the Korea operational oceanographic system.The SA tool provided a robust way to assess model skill in the system by comparing predictions and observations,and involved the computation of multiple skill metrics including correlation and error skills.User-and system-based acceptance criteria of skill metrics were applied to determine whether predictions were acceptable for the system.To achieve this,the tool produced a time series comparison plot,a skill score table,and an advanced summarized diagram to effectively demonstrate the multiple skill scores.Moreover,the SA was conducted to evaluate both atmospheric and hydrodynamic forecast variables.For the atmospheric variables,acceptable error criteria were preferable to acceptable correlation criteria over short timescales,since the mean square error overwhelmed the observation variance.Conversely,for the hydrodynamic variables,acceptable root mean square percentage error(e.g.,p erms) criteria were preferable to acceptable error(e.g.,erms) criteria owing to the spatially variable tidal intensity around the Korean Peninsula.Furthermore,the SA indicated that predetermined acceptance error criteria were appropriate to satisfy a target central frequency(fc) for which errors fell within the specified limits(i.e.,the fc equals 70%).     

大直径气举反循环成套钻具的研制

介绍了大直径气举反循环成套钻具的研制背景、设计原则、结构尺寸和主要技术参数。该套钻具不仅强度大,连接便捷,而且充分考虑了通气、通泥浆、泥浆补给三大通道面积等因素,采用内平设计。经生产试验,完全能满足大直径工程井气举反循环钻进的需要。     

深厚堆积体地层钻进工艺方法研究

太钢(集团)有限公司矿业公司峨口铁矿是一个从20世纪60年代就开始开采的老矿区,经过长期开采储量已严重不足。为了延长矿山寿命,需要进一步扩大勘探范围,在原有矿山周边地区进行勘探。最初采用岩心勘探钻机进行常规回转钻进加套管护壁,历时3个月。在上部堆积体地层最大钻孔深度达到约20m,再也无法继续钻进,使勘探工作被迫停止。针对深厚堆积体地层钻孔施工遇到的具体困难,介绍了风动潜孔锤双管跟管钻进在工程施工中的应用,在对深厚堆积体地层进行分析的基础上,探讨进行深厚堆积体地层钻孔施工的工艺方法及技术措施;在钻孔结构基础上选择钻孔设备及钻孔机具的一般原则,对深厚堆积体地层的钻孔工程施工具一定指导意义。     

煤田地质超深孔钻探工艺

在对深部煤田地质钻孔钻进工艺研究的基础上,有针对性选择使用聚合物泥浆,解决了基浆配制用水及泥浆抗地表水水质污染问题。通过改变双管钻具长度和改换取心钻头的切削具,满足软硬互层对钻头钻进效率的影响。在煤系地层钻进中,除采用常规的单管钻具钻进外,在见煤预告下过后,采用加长双管取心钻具,既可保证了回次进尺,又可保证岩心的采取。多项措施落实,不仅解决了生产中的一些难题,收到了较好的效果,而且创造了河北省煤田地质局煤田地质单孔钻探深度2 009.12m的新纪录,为今后深部钻孔的施工积累了经验。     

Optimal design of structures for earthquake loads by a hybrid RBF-BPSO method

The optimal seismic design of structures requires that time history analyses （THA） be carried out repeatedly. This makes the optimal design process inefficient, in particular, if an evolutionary algorithm is used. To reduce the overall time required for structural optimization, two artificial intelligence strategies are employed. In the first strategy, radial basis function （RBF） neural networks are used to predict the time history responses of structures in the optimization flow. In the second strategy, a binary particle swarm optimization （BPSO） is used to find the optimum design. Combining the RBF and BPSO, a hybrid RBF-BPSO optimization method is proposed in this paper, which achieves fast optimization with high computational performance. Two examples are presented and compared to determine the optimal weight of structures under earthquake loadings using both exact and approximate analyses. The numerical results demonstrate the computational advantages and effectiveness of the proposed hybrid RBF-BPSO optimization method for the seismic design of structures.     

二维空间关系定性表达模型的研究

通过对几种典型的定性表达模型的分析及比较,论述了单一模型实现空间查询所存在的局限,提出利用组合模型来表达空间关系的方法。最后结合空间查询中的实例,通过介绍如何同时运用二值拓扑关系模型和符号空间索引模型来实现同时包含拓扑关系和方向关系的复杂空间查询来说明这种方法。     

ArcGIS8图形二进制解读

通过对ArcG IS8 Personal Geodatabase和Enterprise Geodatabase图形二进制字段存储规律的解读,完成脱离ArcG IS环境,使用ADO直接对ArcG IS地理数据库图形二进制字段进行读写操作,为地理资源共享提供了一种新途经,同时提高了ArcG IS8地理数据库应用的灵活性。     

基于二元关系的GIS实体拓扑关系的粗糙表达

利用二元关系和粗糙集的一些性质来研究GIS实体之间关系,发现在基于二元关系的广义近似空间下GIS实体的前继领域、后继领域算子、上、下继领域包含了比它自身更广的一个集合定义。同样基于粗糙集,我们发现二元关系GIS实体的上、下近似比Pawlark粗糙集的定义更广泛。在二元关系的广义近似空间下,一个GIS单点集的上近似等于它的前继领域,同样等于它后继领域的逆。