昆仑山口西8.1级地震前新疆定点形变异常初析

昆仑山口西 8.1级地震发生在新疆形变监测台网的东南 ,距震中 70 0— 1 2 0 0 km范围内有 6台项资料显示出地壳形变前兆异常。分析认为地壳形变异常具有一定的阶段性特征 ,中短期异常多出现在 NS向 ,8.1级地震前 2 0天 EW向出现加速或反向突变 ,临震前 4天重力仪记录到强烈的地脉动异常。这些异常的出现与 2 0 0 0— 2 0 0 1年中国西部地区 3次明显的地壳水平运动在时间上有一定的相关性。     

Seismicity anomalies before the great earth—quake of Ms=8.1 in the Kunlun Pass and its significance to earthquake prediction

A great earthquake of M _S=8.1 took place in the west of Kunlun Pass on November 14, 2001. The epicenter is located at 36.2°N and 90.9°E. The analysis shows that some main precursory seismic patterns appear before the great earthquake, e.g., seismic gap, seismic band, increased activity, seismicity quiet and swarm activity. The evolution of the seismic patterns before the earthquake of M _S=8.1 exhibits a course very similar to that found for earthquake cases with M _S≥7. The difference is that anomalous seismicity before the earthquake of M _S=8.1 involves in the larger area coverage and higher seismic magnitude. This provides an evidence for recognizing precursor and forecasting of very large earthquake. Finally, we review the rough prediction of the great earthquake and discuss some problems related to the prediction of great earthquakes.     

1303年山西洪洞8级地震地表破裂带di

综合20世纪90年代初在霍山山前断裂和近年在绵山西侧断裂和太谷断裂获取的最新调查资料，讨论了1303年山西洪洞8级地震地表破裂带的展布和位移特征. 如果太谷断裂、绵山西侧断裂与霍山山前断裂在1303年洪洞地震中同时活动，则该次地震的地表破裂带长163 km，分为3段，即霍山山前断裂段、绵山西侧断裂段和太谷断裂段. 各段长度分别为50，35和70 km，3段之间存在4和8 km的阶区. 该地震地表破裂带具右旋走滑特征，北段和中段右旋走滑位移量6～7 m，南段最大为10 m. 在山西断陷带盆地边界的单条断裂一般只对应7级地震，而该次8级特大地震则突破两个盆地之间的障碍体，显示了强震地表破裂尺度的可变特征.      

Source process of the 14 November 2001 western Kunlun Mountain M_S=8.1 earth-quake

Introduction On November 14, 2001, a great earthquake occurred in the western Kunlun Mountain area(Figure 1). The original time is 09h26min10.0s (UTC); the hypocentral location is 35.95°N,90.54°E; focal depth is 10 km from USGS National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC);MS=8.1 from China Seismic Network and Mw=7.8 from Harvard and Earthquake Research Insti-tute (ERI), University of Tokyo. This earthquake, known as the western Kunlun Mountain earth-quake, is an extraord…     

Study on relationship between features of strain anomaly obtained by borehole strain meter at Wushi station in Xinjiang and strong earthquake: Taking Jiashi MS = 6.8 earthquake as an example

Introduction According to the Seismograph Network of China, an earthquake of MS=6.8 occurred at10:03:42 on February 24, 2003 in Jiashi county, Xinjiang (39.55°N, 77.15°E) with the focal depthof 25.2 km. The macroseismic epicenter located at the boundary of Bachu and Jiashi counties,Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. 248 persons died and 4 853 ones were injured (2 058 ofthem were heavily injured) in the earthquake. 49 656 households (about 205 079 persons) losttheir houses. The Dis…     

可持续生计的研究现状及未来重点趋向

Under the background of fast urbanization and urban-rural dual structure in China, the research about sustainable livelihoods has important theoretical and practical meaning for solving the problem of poverty in rural areas and promoting the transformation of semi-urbanized farmers who live in city to urban residents. First, this paper reviewed the emergence and development history of sustainable livelihoods, and introduced current frameworks of sustainable livelihoods analysis. Second, this paper summarized the international research status quo from the aspects of both theory and practice, concluded the domestic research progress from four aspects including vulnerability context, livelihoods assets, policy and institution influencing process, livelihoods strategy and outcome. This study believed that the problems of current sustainable livelihoods research included: The theoretical system is incomplete and needs to be improved; research methods and technological means are not complete, which could obstruct research results; most researches focus on rather static assessment than dynamic forecast; researchers focus mainly on case study in rural areas, lacking in the semi-urbanized farmers in the urbanization process and macro level study. Finally, this paper suggested five key issues of future sustainable livelihoods research including the sustainable livelihoods research of a large number of semi-urbanized farmers in the urbanization process, sustainable livelihoods research at macro level, integrated study of both humanities and natural sciences, dynamic study based on new technological means, and sustainable livelihoods research in typical case areas.     

Ferrous iron in post-perovskite from first-principles calculations

We investigate by first-principles calculations the effect of ferrous iron, Fe²⁺, on the structure and the equation of state of MgSiO₃ post-perovskite. We find that ferrous iron is high-spin over the pressure range of the mantle assuming a ferromagnetic structure. The bulk modulus and the specific volume increase with the addition of ferrous iron to MgSiO₃. We find that Fe partitions preferentially to post-perovskite and broadens the two-phase pressure range.     

山东沂水观测井水氡异常变化及其形成机制

据沂水观测井的构造背景、环境条件和泉的成因结果, 经过前兆异常现场落实和采样分析, 并结合活动断裂、地震活动以及流磁观测结果对山东沂水水氡自2001年以来的异常变化从形成机制上进行了分析研究。结果表明, 沂水观测井位于沂水-汤头断裂与沂水-沂源断裂交汇部位, 系断层上升泉, 具有应力易集中的地质构造环境; 沂水水氡的下降异常变化与沂沭断裂带中南段的应力活动增强和沂水-汤头断裂与沂水-沂源断裂构造活动加剧有关。     

九江-瑞昌MemＳsub5.7地震地磁异常的观测与分析y

2005年11月26日九江——瑞昌MＳ5.7地震发生前,震中及其周围地区的地磁基本场测量和相应的ldquo;2005.0中国地磁基本场曲面样条模型rdquo;显示,震中周围100 km范围内存在显著的ldquo;2005.0九江——瑞昌地磁基本场水平分量异常rdquo;. 而该异常在ldquo;1970.0中国地磁基本场曲面样条模型rdquo;中并不存在. 2005年12月在震中及其周围地区的21个测点上进行了地磁重复测量, 并建立了ldquo;局部修订2005.0中国地磁基本场曲面样条模型rdquo;. 该模型显示,震后ldquo;2005.0九江——瑞昌地磁基本场水平分量异常rdquo;明显减弱. 因此认为,ldquo;2005.0九江——瑞昌地磁基本场水平分量异常rdquo;是地震地磁前兆异常现象.      

Cs+水合结构的密度泛函理论计算研究

基于密度泛函理论在ωB97XD/gen def2-tzvp基组水平上对[Cs(H_2O)n]~+(n=1～15)水合团簇结构的振动光谱进行了研究。研究表明,随着水分子数的增加,在气相和液相中,八配位的Cs~+水合团簇是最稳定的;随着水分子数的增加,Cs-O键长增大,Cs~+上的电荷密度减小。当水分子数大于11时,Cs-O键长和Cs~+上的电荷密度变化很小。O(H_2O)-O(H_2O)距离、∠O(H_2O)-Cs-O(H_2O)°统计结果表明,15个水分子足以形成Cs~+的近似饱和水合层。此外,红外光谱显示[Cs(H_2O)n]~+水合团簇中O-H伸缩振动随着水分子数的增加而发生变化,由此可以作为鉴别水合层位置的一种参考方法。