国家安全发展示范城市建设的震灾预防对策研究

我国地震多、强度大、分布广,强地震的现实危害和潜在威胁是我国城市安全发展所面临的重大挑战。国内外城市地震灾害惨痛经验表明,震灾预防能力建设不足的城市往往在强震中毁于一旦。实现我国城市安全可持续发展,必须高度重视和持续推进城市震灾预防能力建设,切实防控和消除地震灾害风险。本文在深入分析城市地震灾害影响因素的基础上,从震灾预防能力建设、城市地震灾害风险防控工作、法规及技术标准和评价体系等方面入手,提出了进一步加强城市震灾预防能力建设的对策建议。     

Influence of IHSS Standard and Reference Materials on Copper and Mercury Toxicity to Vibrio fischeri

The reduction in light emission of the marine bacterium Vibrio fischeri used in the standard Microtox^® bioassay was measured for the metals copper and mercury. The concentration at which the light emission was reduced by 50% (EC₅₀) was determined to be (3.43 ± 0.83) μmol/L for Cu²⁺ and (0.66 ± 0.01) μmol/L for Hg²⁺. The reduction of the toxicity of these metals by humic and fulvic acids were studied using IHSS Standard and Reference Materials. Copper toxicity was reduced 17...20% by the soil and peat fulvic acids and 9...20% by the aquatic fulvic acids. While there appeared to be little difference in the reduction of Cu toxicity by fulvic acids from soils, peats, or aquatic systems, Hg toxicity was reduced 3.6...7.3% by the soils and peats, while aquatic fulvic acids reduced Hg toxicity 14...16%. Soil fulvic acids appear to have significantly less capacity to reduce Hg toxicity than Cu toxicity. Humic acids had much higher reductions of Cu toxicity (44...124%) compared to the fulvic acids, with little difference between aquatic and soil or peat humic acids, 44...124% and 67...100%, respectively. However, humic and fulvic acids, regardless of origin, had approximately the same effect on Hg toxicity with 3.5...16% reduction by fulvic acids and 8...20% reduction by humic acids. Unlike the fulvic acids, no clear trend was observed relative to origin of the humic acids. There was no correlation between percent reduction of Cu or Hg toxicity by the organic compounds and copper binding capacity (CuBC), C/N ratio, or carboxyl content of the materials. Examination of natural organic matter (NOM) isolated by reverse osmosis techniques from three water sources had reductions of both Cu and Hg toxicity that were most similar to the Suwannee River and Nordic fulvic acids.     

Die neue EG‐Wasserrahmenrichtlinie: Bewertung der chemischen und ökologischen Qualität von Oberflächengewässern

The New EC Framework Water Directive: Assessment of the Chemical and Ecological Status of Surface Waters The main objective of the draft EC Framework Water Directive is the good quality of all surface waters. The directive provides for an assessment of the chemical status of surface waters (EU‐wide valid environmental quality standards for approximately 30 priority substances) and a five‐stage ecological classification of waters, comprising the stages high, good, moderate, poor, and bad. The starting point for the assessment are the reference conditions, which are defined as corresponding to high water quality and characterising a water status with no significant anthropogenic impact. The reference sites in the various water body types are to be selected using hydromorphological and physico‐chemical parameters and subsequently characterised by means of biological parameters. For surface waters, three groups of characteristics are provided for, namely: 1. with priority the biology – in the case of surface waters – with the four elements phytoplankton, macrophytes/phytobenthos, benthic invertebrate fauna, and fish fauna; 2. supporting the hydromorphology, e.g. flowing waters with the three elements hydrological regime, river continuity, and morphological conditions and 3. supporting the physico‐chemical conditions with the three elements general conditions, specific synthetic pollutants, and specific non synthetic pollutants (other than the priority substances of the chemical status).     

三峡澎溪河水-气界面温室气体模型估算及其敏感性分析

模型估算法是水-气界面温室气体通量监测的主要方法,所得成果也不胜枚举.然而监测过程中诸多环境因素会对最终结果产生不确定的影响.结合三峡库区澎溪河背景条件,利用模型估算法进行水-气界面温室气体通量(以CO_2为例)估算,并且采用修正Morris筛选法尝试分析模型估算法中各个参数对温室气体扩散通量(以CO_2为例)的局部敏感性.研究结果表明:利用模型估算法计算三峡澎溪河流域水-气界面温室气体通量具有较高的可行性和可靠性;风速、水温以及pH值会对监测结果产生影响,且风速越强、水温越高、pH值越小,CO_2扩散通量就越大;pH值是高灵敏参数,风速和水温是灵敏参数.在三峡库区澎溪河监测过程中更应注意pH值的精确性,每次采样前需校正仪器.     

A method to estimate the longshore sediment transport at ebb-tidal deltas based on their volumetric growth: Application to the Guadiana (Spain–Portugal border)

Current techniques assessing longshore sediment transport rates have large uncertainties, pleading for the development of alternative and complementary approaches. The present study proposes a method to estimate the decadal average rate of longshore transport at modern ebb-tidal deltas based on a sediment budget analysis of the outer shoal growth. This transport is obtained as the balance of the other contributions to the shoal with the total sediment input rate obtained from an inverse application of the inlet reservoir model. The method is applied to the Guadiana ebb-tidal delta, yielding an average longshore sediment transport rate (~85 000 m3 year⁻¹) in good agreement with expectations for the region. It is exemplified that this decadal averaged rate can be used to improve longshore sediment transport expressions in order to study its variability over shorter time scales. At the Guadiana, the yearly longshore sediment transport from the improved formula ranges from ~25 000 m³ (westward) to ~245 000 m³ (eastward) and is related to the North Atlantic Oscillation index. Overall, the proposed method constitutes an alternative tool to constrain the average longshore sediment transport rate over decades in the vicinity of tidal inlets. It is applicable to ebb-tidal deltas where the outer shoal growth (from an early to a mature stage) is well documented by bathymetric maps, and where the main transport pathways towards the outer shoal can be specified. © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

离散Fréchet距离在强震台站场地分类中的应用

当强震台站场地资料不完整时,所收集到的强震数据因缺乏准确的场地类别信息而难以有效利用。为解决这一问题,本文提出一种基于离散Fréchet距离的强震台站场地分类方法。将获取到的664个KiK-net台站场地按照《建筑抗震设计规范（GB 50011—2010）》进行分类,并构建2个数据集。利用数据集1得到Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ类场地标准谱比曲线,并结合离散Fréchet距离对数据集2中的台站进行场地分类,统计分类成功率与误判率。统计结果表明,本文方法能较准确地对场地进行分类,且误判率在可接受范围内。将本文方法分类统计结果与斯皮尔曼秩相关系数法分类的成功率与误判率进行对比,结合本文方法分类后得到的平均谱比曲线,均可表明应用本文方法进行强震台站场地分类具有合理性。     

RAMS模式在山谷城市模拟性能的检验

 利用2005年冬季兰州边界层试验的观测数据,分别从边界层结构、近地面温度和风速、地表通量等几个方面检验了RAMS在山谷城市的模拟性能。RAMS模式能很好地捕捉边界层结构特征,模拟的白天混合层高度和夜间稳定边界层高度和观测值非常一致。模式能较好地模拟近地面温度和地表通量的日变化特征。对模拟偏差进行统计分析,结果显示RAMS对近地面温度和风速的模拟结果是可以接受的:近地面温度的平均偏差为-1.73 ℃,RMSE为2.16 ℃,风速的平均偏差为0.35 m·s-1,RMSE和RMSVE分别为1.61 m·s-1和3.15 m·s-1。研究表明,RAMS适合作为研究兰州山谷城市大气边界层的工具。     

北极地区200海里外大陆架划界法律问题研究

随着北极冰盖的融化,开采北极蕴藏丰富的石油、矿产资源越来越具有现实可行性,北极地区200海里外大陆架划界问题日益成为各国关注的热点.分析北极地区200海里外大陆架划界的国际法基础、主要法律问题以及学界对解决该问题的建议,认为200海里外大陆架划界不可能通过某一特定程序一次性解决,而是现有国际法框架内各国共同参与、区分不...     

基于地理信息系统的数字环境模型研究

本文提出了以遥感与地理信息系统为技术手段,用有序数值阵列的方法建立数字环境模型的新思路,具体阐述了建立数字环境模型的意义、方法和应用范围。并在建立数字环境模型的基础上,对西藏“一江两河”地区的环境综合状况进行了定量评价。     

用气象卫星资料估算吉林省主要农作物产量

净第一性生产力（Npp）分析是全球变化研究中广为利用的方法,利用气象卫星资料获得年际植被指数（Iv）估算Npp建立不同作物的Npp与其产量的关系模型,即可实现对粮食总产和不同作物产量的估算。文中介绍了应用净第一性生产力遥感（NPP—RS）模型对吉林省粮食总产和主要作物产量进行估算的方法。采用NPP—RS模型,对1995～2000年吉林省的粮食总产及主要农作物玉米、水稻产量进行了动态估算。对粮食总产估产的平均相对误差为13．6％,玉米的平均相对误差为17．6％,水稻的平均相对误差为6．7％。要提高用此方法进行遥感估产的精度,还需要对当年的种植制度、种植结构的变化有所了解,注意当年的灾情,增加灾害影响系数。