Can origin of the 2400-year cycle of solar activity be caused by solar inertial motion?

A solar activity cycle of about 2400 years has until now been of uncertain origin. Recent results indicate it is caused by solar inertial motion. First we describe the 178.7-year basic cycle of solar motion. The longer cycle, over an 8000 year interval, is found to average 2402.2 years. This corresponds to the Jupiter/Heliocentre/Barycentre alignments (9.8855 × 243). Within each cycle an exceptional segment of 370 years has been found characterized by a looping pattern by a trefoil or quasitrefoil geometry. Solar activity, evidenced by ¹⁴C tree-ring proxies, shows the same pattern. Solar motion is computable in advance, so this provides a basis for future predictive assessments. The next 370-year segment will occur between AD 2240 and 2610.     

Ionospheric measurements of relative coronal brightness during the total solar eclipses of 11 August, 1999 and 9 July, 1945

Swept-frequency (1/10 MHz) ionosonde measurements were made at Helston, Cornwall (50°06N, 5°18W) during the total solar eclipse on August 11, 1999. Soundings were made every three minutes. We present a method for estimating the percentage of the ionising solar radiation which remains unobscured at any time during the eclipse by comparing the variation of the ionospheric E-layer with the behaviour of the layer during a control day. Application to the ionosonde date for 11 August, 1999, shows that the flux of solar ionising radiation fell to a minimum of 25±2% of the value before and after the eclipse. For comparison, the same technique was also applied to measurements made during the total solar eclipse of 9 July, 1945, at Sörmjöle (63°68N, 20°20E) and yielded a corresponding minimum of 16 ± 2%. Therefore the method can detect variations in the fraction of solar emissions that originate from the unobscured corona and chromosphere. We discuss the differences between these two eclipses in terms of the nature of the eclipse, short-term fluctuations, the sunspot cycle and the recently-discovered long-term change in the coronal magnetic field.     

Global force balance of region 1 current system

At times of strong solar wind forcing such as those that produce major magnetic storms, the region 1 current system dominates over the Chapman–Ferraro current system in mediating the transfer of force between the solar wind and the terrestrial system. The global force balance can be broken into two components, one involving the high-altitude part of the region 1 current system that is in contact with the solar wind (labeled here the HRS) and the other involving the low-altitude part of the region 1 current system that lies in the ionosphere (the LRS). Both communicate their J×B force to the geomagnetic dipole via a gradient in the magnetic field that they generate. In the HRS case the force acts to push the dipole away from the sun. This is the region 1 analog of the Chapman–Ferraro mechanism for transmitting the solar wind's force to the Earth. However, in the LRS case, the force (which is much stronger than in the HRS case) acts to push the dipole toward the sun, seemingly paradoxically. The LRS balances the ‘paradoxical’ sunward force on the dipole with an opposite force on the atmosphere. This paper uses MHD simulations to demonstrate the presence of both the normal force-transmitting gradient generated by the Chapman–Ferraro and the counter-Chapman–Ferraro gradient in the magnetic field generated by the region 1 current system.     

Space-time soil wetness variations monitoring by a multi-temporal microwave satellite records analysis

In the last few years, remote sensing observations have become a useful tool for providing hydrological information, including the quantification of the main physical characteristics of the catchment, such as topography and land use, and of its variables, like soil moisture or snow cover. Moreover, satellite data have also been largely used in the framework of hydro-meteorological risk mitigation.Recently, an innovative Soil Wetness Variation Index (SWVI) has been proposed, using data acquired by the microwave radiometer AMSU (Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit) which flies aboard NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) satellites.SWVI is based on a general approach for multi-temporal satellite data analysis (RAT - Robust AVHRR Techniques). This approach exploits the analysis of long-term multi-temporal satellite records in order to obtain a former characterization of the measured signal, in term of expected value and natural variability, providing a further identification of signal anomalies by an automatic, unsupervised change-detection step. Such an approach has already demonstrated, in several studies carried out on extreme flooding events which occurred in Europe in the past few years, its capability in reducing spurious effects generated by natural/observational noise. In this paper, the proposed approach is applied to the analysis of the flooding event which occurred in Europe (primarily in NW Spain) in June 2000. Results obtained, in terms of reliability as well as efficiency in space-time monitoring of soil wetness variation, are presented. Future prospects, in terms of exportability of the methodology on the new dedicated satellite missions, like ESA-SMOS and NASA-HYDROS, are also discussed.     

微波消解-等离子体发射光谱法同时测定水中硅铁钠

讨论使用电感耦合等离子体发射光谱法测定水样中si、Fe、Na时，四种水样前处理方法对测试结果的影响。提出采用HNO3^-HF体系微波消解、H3BO3掩蔽HF的方法前处理水样，用等离子体发射光谱法可同时准确快速地测定水中Si、Fe、Na三种元素的含量。5次测定的相对标准偏差小于4％，加标回收率为89．2％-106％。     

微波辅助化学反应制备纳米高岭石

为提高高岭石比表面积、孔隙率和吸附容量，利用微波辅助化学反应制备了尿素-高岭石复合物，进一步微波辐射使层状高岭石完全剥离并粉碎，经分散后得到了纳米高岭石。利用傅立叶红外光谱仪（FT-IR）、X射线粉晶衍射仪（XRD）、扫描电镜（SEM）和透射电镜（硎）进行了过程中样品结构、形貌和尺寸方面的表征。结果表明：同等条件下，通过微波辅助剥离并粉碎层状高岭石，时间只需30min，约为单一球磨的1／20，分散后的纳米高岭石平均粒径约为150nm。     

多频率多极化地表辐射参数化模型

发展了针对对地观测系统被动微波辐射计AMSR-E应用的裸露地表辐射模型。首先，利用1993年法国INRA地面试验数据对AIEM在宽波段高频率和大角度的辐射信号模拟能力进行评价。验证结果表明，AIEM模型模拟值与地面实测数据吻合很好，说明AIEM模型能很好模拟宽波段和大角度的辐射信号。在此基础上，用AIEM模型建立了一个针对AMSR-E传感器参数配置．包含各种地表粗糙度和介电特性的裸露地表辐射模拟数据库。利用AIEM模拟数据和地面实测数据对目前人们使用的半经验地表模型进行了比较和分析，发展了多频率多极化的地表辐射参数化模型——Qp模型。该模型中，地表粗糙度对辐射信号的影响通过粗糙度参数Qp来表示。参数Qp可简单表示为均方根高度与相关长度的比值（s／l）。从Qp模型与AIEM模型模拟的发射率比较结果来看，它们之间的绝对误差很小，不超过10^-3因而，本文发展的参数化模型可用作模拟地表辐射的前向模型，如用于估算AMSR-E传感器的亮温值，同时模型的发展有利于提高人们对辐射机制的理解和认识。     

南海热带气旋路径集合预报试验

利用3种不同模式的初始资料，通过它们生成得到16个不同的初始场，分别对2004年南海及其周边地区9个热带气旋个例进行集合预报试验，最后筛选得到了7个南海热带气旋初值集合成员，由此初步探讨了南海热带气旋初值集合成员的生成方法。结果表明，采用不同模式的初始资料生成得到初值集合成员的方法用于集合预报，对南海热带气旋路径预报有一些明显的改进。     

Study on the Variational Assimilation Technique for the Retrieval of Wind Fields from Doppler Radar Data

This paper introduces a variational assimilation technique for the retrieval of wind fields from Doppler radar data. The assimilated information included both the radial velocity (RV) and the movement of radar echo. In this assimilation technique, the key is transforming the movement of radar echo to a new radar measuring variable- "apparent velocity" (AV). Thus, the information of wind is added, and the indeterminacy of recovering two-dimensional wind only by AV was overcome effectively by combining RV with AV. By means of CMA GRAPES-3Dvar and CINRAD data, some experiments were performed. The results show that the method of retrieval of wind fields is useful in obtaining the construction of the weather system.