黄河流域旅游经济的时空分异与R/S分析

以黄河流域为主要案例区,采用标准差、基尼系数、变差系数、区位商等指标,分析了1996~2010年黄河流域旅游经济时空分异的发展演化过程,运用分形理论中的R/S分析方法,预测了黄河流域未来旅游经济差距的发展趋势。结果显示：黄河流域旅游经济的绝对差距是逐年增大,相对差异呈现先减小后增大的趋势;各省发展差异明显。如果在原有条件下继续发展,未来黄河流域旅游经济的差距将继续增大。最后为缩小黄河流域旅游经济差距,促进流域旅游经济持续快速发展提出了对策建议。     

论企业有共同社会责任与灵活创新网络

企业家共同社会责任是指一个企业或“企业公民”对社会应该承担的义务,涉及到企业与相关利益群体之间的相互关系和价值观、操守以及对人的尊重、社群和企业的环境政策等各个方面。很明显,这一概念的核心是企业对基于经济、社会和环境可持续发展的一种责任和承诺,以改善和提高利益相关方的生活水准和条件。当前,企业家共同社会责任不再仅仅是一种道德伦理而已,而且已经成为一种制度性的自律和规定行为。目前的共识是,在运营过程中一个企业必须时刻关注它对客户、员工、股东、社群、地区发展和环境的经济、社会和道德后果,并使它们取得一个比较好的前景。基于这一观点和理念,本文以跨国公司企业家共同社会责任为视角,主要探讨了跨国公司研发活动与上海浦东新区——我国新经济的高地之一——发展的相互作用,以探索跨国公司研发活动、地区经济增长以及它们在形成灵活创新网络、促进可持续发展中的不同功能和共同作用。内容包括六个部分：1）企业家共同社会责任的相关概念及其关系;2）跨国公司在浦东研发活动的现状和态势;3）跨国公司研发活动与地区经济的联系模式和紧密程度;4）跨国公司在浦东研发活动中存在的主要问题;5）地区灵活创新网络的内涵;6）形成灵活创新网络的方式和途径。     

库水位波动条件下万州瓦窑坪滑坡稳定性分析

库水位波动对滑坡的稳定性变化有重要影响,传统的定值分析方法未能考虑土体强度参数取值的不定性,而概率分析法能考虑土体强度参数分布的随机性,对库区滑坡的稳定性分析提供了更有力的依据。文章以万州瓦窑坪滑坡为例,在基于库水位实际波动进行拟合的条件下对滑坡的渗流场进行了模拟,同时对不同水位下滑坡的稳定性和破坏概率进行了分析。结果表明,滑坡在库水位波动条件下整体稳定性系数均大于1,处于基本稳定状态,滑坡具有低危险性。库水位下降到160.47 m水位时,边坡破坏概率超过30%,具有中等危险性。采用R/S分析法对监测数据进行分析,结果表明滑坡具有持续性的小变形,滑坡处于基本稳定状态,与稳定性分析结果一致。     

Job-related mobility and plant performance in Sweden

This paper uses a Swedish micro-dataset containing 2,696,909 hires during the period 2002–2006 to assess the impact of job-related mobility on plant-level performance. The analysis classifies new recruits according to their work experience and level of formal qualification, as well as by the region of origin and of destination. New hires are divided into graduates and experienced workers and between high- and low-educated. The results point towards the importance of acknowledging both the experience and the skills of new recruits. The greatest benefits are related to hiring new workers from outside the region where the plant is located. The analysis also stresses the importance of geography, with plants in metropolitan regions gaining the most from labour mobility, while the benefits of mobility for plants in smaller, more peripheral regions are more diverse and dependent on both the type and origin of new workers.     

利用GOCE卫星观测数据反演地球重力场模型

利用GOCE卫星约6个月的重力梯度数据和约1 a的几何轨道数据,联合解算250阶次的地球重力场模型TJGOCE01。GOCE重力梯度数据的低频误差采用ⅡR数字滤波器处理,粗差采用阀值法和移动窗口阀值法组合探测与剔除。直接在梯度仪坐标系中建立GOCE卫星的重力梯度观测方程,采用改进的短弧边值法建立几何轨道观测方程。两类观测值的权根据其先验精度确定,采用Kaula规则约束的正则化方法解算法方程。解算的TJGOCE01模型相对于EIGEN6C2模型在250阶次的大地水准面误差和大地水准面累积误差分别为19.4 mm和177.9 mm。北美地区GPS水准观测数据的检验结果表明,TJGOCE01模型的中误差为0.544 m,略优于欧空局公布的同阶次的第二代时域法和空域法解算的GOCE重力场模型。     

毛乌素沙地1960-2013年极端气温变化

毛乌素沙地处于多层次生态地理景观过渡带,拥有丰富的自然及人文资源.研究该生态脆弱区极端气温变化,有利于揭示全球气温变化与局地气温响应之间的复杂关系,为当地的可持续发展和气象灾害预防提供参考。通过线性趋势分析、累计距平、Mann-Kendall法、因子分析、R/S分析等方法,分析了该地极端气温指数的变化特征\,突变特点、相互关系,探讨了该地区气温变化的空间差异和极端气温未来的变化趋势。结果表明:(1)极端最低气温、极端最高气温、夏日日数、热夜日数、暖夜日数、暖日日数分别以不同的速率上升;冰日日数、霜冻日数、冷夜日数、冷日日数分别以不同的速率下降。(2)除极端最高气温、极端最低气温外,其余8项极端气温指数均发生突变,突变年份集中在20世纪90年代。(3)冷指数大幅下降是毛乌素沙地极端气温变化的主要特点,并且各冷指数间、各暖指数间相关关系显著。(4)毛乌素沙地极端气温在空间上表现出不同的变化特点,东北方向(榆林及鄂托克旗)冷指数呈现大幅减少,西南方向(横山及盐池)暖指数呈现大幅增加。(5)ENSO事件具有使毛乌素沙地极端最高气温降低的作用以及使极端最低气温升高的作用。(6)10项极端气温指数的Hurst指数均大于0.5,表明未来毛乌素沙地极端气温仍将呈现冷指数下降、暖指数上升的变化趋势。     

中国南阳伏牛山世界地质公园地质灾害评价

中国南阳伏牛山世界地质公园位于豫西南山区。地貌类型以中、低山为主,地表多出露变质岩及侵入岩,岩体风化强烈,多赋存基岩裂隙水,地质构造发育,人类工程活动强烈,园区地质环境条件复杂。通过野外调查及评价,园区处于地质灾害高易发区,主要地质灾害有崩塌、滑坡和泥石流。针对地质公园这一特色旅游,提出地质灾害防治对策,保障当地旅游经济可持续发展。     

Using geospatial technology to strengthen data systems in developing countries: The case of agricultural statistics in India

Despite significant progress in the development of quantitative geography techniques and methods and a general recognition of the need to improve the quality of geographic data, few studies have exploited the potential of geospatial tools to augment the quality of available data methods in developing countries. This paper uses data from an extensive deployment of geospatial technology in India to compare crop areas estimated using geospatial technology to crop areas estimated by conventional methods and assess the differences between the methods. The results presented here show that crop area estimates based on geospatial technology generally exceed the estimates obtained using conventional methods. This suggests that conventional methods are unable to respond quickly to changes in cropping patterns and therefore do not accurately record the area under high-value cash crops. This finding has wider implications for commercializing agriculture and the delivery of farm credit and insurance services in developing countries. Significant data errors found in the conventional methods could affect critical policy interventions such as planning for food security. Some research and policy implications are discussed.     

Dune field development,interactions and boundary conditions for crescentic and stellate megadunes of the Al Liwa Basin,the Empty Quarter

Within the greater Ar Rub' al Khali (Empty Quarter) sand sea lies an internal depocentre, the Al Liwa Basin, which comprises a variety of mega‐scale dune types. Crescentic dunes dominant the north of the basin while megadunes of stellate or star form are a major landform of the south‐eastern reaches. Their development into dune fields is determined by the style and rate of dune–dune interactions, the boundary conditions imposed by a multi‐modal wind regime, fluctuating groundwater levels, and sediment availability under an assortment of climatic conditions throughout the Quaternary. As a result, dune field patterns are a collective response to these perturbations in space, time and environment. The R‐statistic is a collective measure of these responses, and is a metric capable of identifying the degree of pattern maturity or self‐organization of the aeolian system, and the pathways from which patterns evolve. The spatial signature of the southerly located star dunes is characterized by two definitive patterns of organization: the first, one of complete spatial randomness, the second, a low degree of spatial uniformity. In isolation, these results appear to be unrelated to those for crescentic dunes of the region in which a significantly higher degree of pattern dispersion is the norm. However, when spatial statistical measures are integrated with the theoretical understanding of dune–dune interactions and the involvement of environmental agents, the complex morphodynamic pathways and linkages between regional dune fields is better understood. In this case, both constructive (e.g. merging, lateral linking) and regenerative activity (e.g. calving) have played important roles in the development of dune size, and associated adjustments in spacing, and dune numbers, and subsequently dune field patterns. Synergetic patterns are emblematic of this vast dunescape, whereby transitional geographic, morphologic, dimensional and environmental modifications exist between the mega‐crescentic and mega‐stellate dunes of the Empty Quarter. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.