The Leonid outburst of 1996

There is strong anticipation that the Leonid meteor shower could produce storm-level activity in 1998 and/or 1999. The well-documented Leonid outburst in 1996 and the more poorly observed one in 1994 have been taken by many observers to imply that a storm is imminent, This article explores the possible relationship between the 1996 outburst in activity and possible Leonid storms. The curve of activity is found to be much closer to that of normal activity, although with greater hourly rates, than it is to the very brief, steeply rising activity curve of a storm. It is probable that the 1996 outburst is thus completely unrelated to any future storm which may appear.     

Monte Carlo simulations of radio pulses in atmospheric showers using ZHAireS

We present predictions for the radio pulses emitted by extensive air showers using ZHAireS, an AIRES-based Monte Carlo code that takes into account the full complexity of ultra-high energy cosmic-ray induced shower development in the atmosphere, and allows the calculation of the electric field in both the time and frequency domains. We do not presuppose any emission mechanism and our results are compatible with a superposition of geomagnetic and charge excess radio emission effects. We investigate the polarization of the electric field as well as the effects of the refractive index n and shower geometry on the radio pulses. We show that geometry, coupled to the relativistic effects that appear when using a realistic refractive index n > 1, play a prominent role on the radio emission of air showers.     

Television meteor radiant mapping

We have carried out double-station TV meteor observations between 1990 and 1994. The orbits of 326 meteors have been determined from doubly observed meteors, and radiant distributions are studied. The mean magnitude of the observed meteors was as faint as +4.7, since I.I. (Image Intensifier) and Video cameras were used. Radiants were widely distributed over the celestial sphere. The velocity distribution showed some similarity with the distribution predicted by the theoretical radiant distribution from comets rather than that from asteroids. In all 13 showers including both major and minor meteor showers were detected from radiant distributions of the observed meteors; from the orbital elements and meteor velocities as well as from the radiant directions.     

A procedure of selection of meteors from major streams for determination of mean orbits

A procedure of selection of meteoroids from major streams is suggested and applied to the IAU Lund photographic database modified by a check for internal consistency among orbital elements (3411 orbits). Limits for choice of stream members were defined by break points on the plots of the cumulative numberN _C vs. the Southworth-HawkinsD discriminant. For the break points were considered the points from which the dependenceN _C vs.D changes to a quasi-linear one, and with the increasingD, N _C changes only moderately. Except for the Taurids which desire a separate analysis, theN _C vs.D diagrams are presented for the following major meteoroid streams: Quadrantids, Lyrids, Aquarids, Capricornids, N and S Aquarids, Perseids, Orionids, Leonids and Geminids. The mean orbits, velocities and radiants of the streams are derived and compared with the osculating orbits of their parent bodies. The limitingD _B was found to be a function of the number of the stream membersN _CB. Omitting the exceptionally concentrated Geminids, the relation is in the formD _B = 0.058 *ln(N _CB) – 0.04.     

Star passages through the Oort cloud

Stars passing through the Oort cloud eject comets to interstellar space and initiate showers of comets into the planetary region. Monte Carlo simulations of such passages are performed on a representative distribution of cometary orbits. Ejected comets generally lie along a narrow tunnel drilled by the star through the cloud. However, shower comets come from the entire cloud, and do not give a strong signature of the star's passage, except in the inverse semimajor axis distribution for the shower comets. The planetary system is likely not experiencing a cometary shower at this time.     

On the response of the neutral temperature at 78°N and 90 km altitude to solar proton events

We are able to determine neutral air temperatures by examining the fading times of meteor trail echoes in the upper mesosphere/lower thermosphere. It has been suggested that solar proton events may stimulate both dynamic and aeronomic changes in the middle atmosphere and we have endeavoured to investigate this. Despite a variety of approaches to determine the background temperature above which we might expect to see enhancements under conditions of strong proton precipitation, we are unable to detect any significant changes. We have repeated the search during selected seasons and also with various proton flux thresholds, similarly to no avail. We conclude, therefore, that at 90 km altitude, 78°N and 16°E, at least, we are unable to detect enhanced neutral temperatures due to solar proton events. At best, any enhancements, predicted to be of the order of a few K only, are likely to be completely masked by the day-to-day variability of the temperature field.     

昆明全天空流星雷达观测中高层大气温度

利用昆明电波观测站（25.6°N,103.8°E）两台不同工作频率的全天空流星雷达在2011年特殊联合观测试验期间的数据,基于Hocking的方法利用不同的温度梯度,在确定了昆明地区中层顶位于流星峰值高度之上的情况下,反演了昆明地区上空88 km和85 km高度的大气温度,并与Aura卫星观测的温度进行比较.对比研究发现,两台流星雷达可以分别正确获得88 km和85 km高度的大气温度,但其中由全球温度梯度模式反演得到的大气温度与卫星观测温度相关性不是很好,而利用卫星观测的温度梯度,两台雷达反演出的大气温度与卫星观测温度存在很好的相关性.结果表明了准确的温度梯度在流星雷达观测大气温度过程中是至关重要的.