基于EMD的中国大陆强震活动特征分析

利用EMD方法对中国大陆年度最大地震时间序列进行逐级分解, 得到5个本征模态函数(IMF)项和1个趋势项, 分析了各个IMF分量不同的周期成分同地球自转速度变化、 太阳黑子活动和潮汐运动等环境因子之间的相关关系, 初步探讨了各个IMF分量的物理机理及其对中国大陆地震活动的影响。     

Inversion of interference hydraulic pumping tests in both homogeneous and fractal dual media

This work proposes a complete method for automatic inversion of data from hydraulic interference pumping tests based on both homogeneous and fractal dual-medium approaches. The aim is to seek a new alternative concept able to interpret field data, identify macroscopic hydraulic parameters and therefore enhance the understanding of flow in porous fractured reservoirs. Because of its much contrasted sensitivities to parameters, the dual-medium approach yields an ill-posed inverse problem that requires a specific optimization procedure including the calculation of analytical sensitivities and their possible re-scaling. Once these constraints are fulfilled, the inversion proves accurate, provides unambiguous and reliable results. In the fractal context inverting several drawdown curves from different locations at the same time reveals more accurate. Finally, hydraulic parameters drawn from inversion should be taken into account to improve in various situations the conditioning of up-scaled flow in fractured rocks.     

Evaluation of equivalence between different methods for enumeration of fecal indicator bacteria before and after adoption of the new Bathing Water Directive and risk assessment of pollution

The quality of bathing water is of considerable public importance due to the possibility of fecal contamination. In 2009, Croatia implemented the new European Bathing Water Directive (BWD, 2006/7/EC) establishing stricter microbiological standards for new parameters with new reference methods. This study aims to evaluate the equivalence of different methods according to the old and revised BWD and to provide the possibility of data comparison. Furthermore, the directive requires the establishment of the bathing water profile (BWP) for pollution risk assessment. The estimation of consistency of pollution risk assessment with obtained microbiological results was also performed.     

一种利用贝叶斯最小判别准则估计未来地震危险的新方法

提出了一种基于最大似然和贝叶斯最小判别准则的新预测方法,它的长处在于对样本数无特殊要求,所以,对低地震活动地区,此模型也能得到与时间有关的稳定的未来强震危险估计。最后,以华北地区为例,说明了本方法的可行性。     

Manifestation and measurement of the fractal characteristics of karst hydrogeological formations

A new method of estimating the fractal dimension of the percolation backbone of karst systems, which are discharged through karst springs, is presented. This method is based on the simulation of the spring by the MODKARST deterministic mathematical model. Application has been made to the Psiloritis karst formation in Crete, which feeds the periodically brackish karst spring “Almiros” in Crete. Furthermore, the estimated dimension justifies an independently determined power law that quantifies the sea intrusion into the karst system.     

Fractal reconstruction of sea-floor topography

Sea-floor bathymetric profiles exhibit features at many different scales of length; this suggests that they could be described as fractals. An algorithm interpolating a fractal line between points has been used to reconstruct bathymetric profiles from a few data points. In general, this fractal line has the same Fourier amplitude spectrum as real bathymetry, and, if the parameters of the interpolation are suitably chosen, it has a very similar appearance. The success of this fractal reconstruction algorithm for the sea-floor raises the possibility that it could be used to extrapolate, from data collected at one scale, the properties of the sea-floor at finer scales, and that similar techniques could be used to interpolate a surface between bathymetric profiles. The fractal character is a sign that the processes that shape the sea-floor are scale invariant and suggests that the renormalization group technique could be used to model these processes.     

1999年台湾7.6级大震与江苏-南黄海地区中强震预测

分析讨论了台湾地区7级大震与本区中强震之间相关关系，指出1999年台湾7.6级大震后2－3年内，本区将有5－6级中强震发生。同时应用可公度模型和“带头地震”的异年倍九法联合对本区中强震发震时间进行分析预测。结论表明，该方法可以较好地应用于本区短临地震预报实践。     

台阵和噪声源分布对微动成像的影响及其在盐矿溶腔探测中的应用

随着节点地震仪的发展, 被动源地震成像方法在不同尺度的地下结构成像中得到了越来越广泛的应用.对于小尺度浅地表成像, 因高频噪声源时空分布不均, 一般采用基于台阵平均的方法, 即所谓的微动成像方法提取高频被动源面波频散数据, 但是不同类型的台阵一定程度上也会受到噪声源分布不均匀的影响.本文以水溶型盐矿溶腔探测为例, 通过实测数据较为系统地分析了不同台阵的响应函数及其对噪声源方向不均匀性的适应能力.研究发现, 当噪声源分布不均时, 三角形台阵可以获得更可靠的频散数据, 但对应的数据采集效率较低, 而其他类型的台阵虽然布设相对简便, 但是提取的相速度与真实速度存在较大的误差.当线性台阵和噪声源方位一致时, 可以提取与三角形台阵一致甚至更好的频散数据.在这个基础上, 我们分别采用三角形台阵和考虑噪声源的线性台阵在湘衡盐矿开展了两条剖面的数据采集, 并利用适应性更好的扩展空间自相关方法(ESPAC)计算面波频散数据.最后, 利用蒙特卡洛方法生成的随机初始模型进行了频散数据反演, 获得研究区600 m以浅的横波速度结构, 并刻画了盐溶腔的发育位置和空间分布形态.

     

峰谷平均法及其在计算浅源合成地震图中的应用

为了计算在震源和接收点深度相同或相近情况下分层半空间介质中的合成地震图,在重复平均法的基础上加以改进,提出一种有效的数值积分方法--峰谷平均法.根据被积函数的变化特点,将波峰和波谷值抽取出来组成慢收敛序列,利用重复平均法快速而准确地求出其极限值.与半解析方法相比,本文方法不仅数学处理上非常简单,而且易于数值实现.数值试验表明,本文方法是准确和高效的.     

低应变反射波法在基桩检测中的应用实例及一些问题的探讨

根据应力波理论，介绍了用低应变反射波法在桩身完整性检测中的几个应用实例，并对检测中的一些问题作了探讨。