Wave model predictions in the Black Sea: Sensitivity to wind fields

This paper evaluates the impact of using different wind field products on the performance of the third generation wave model SWAN in the Black Sea and its capability for predicting both normal and extreme wave conditions during 1996. Wind data were obtained from NCEP CFSR, NASA MERRA, JRA-25, ECMWF Operational, ECMWF ERA40, and ECMWF ERA-Interim. Wave data were obtained in 1996 at three locations in the Black Sea within the NATO TU-WAVES project. The quality of wind fields was assessed by comparing them with satellite data. These wind data were used as forcing fields for the generation of wind waves. Time series of predicted significant wave height (H_mo), mean wave period (T_m02), and mean wave direction (DIR) were compared with observations at three offshore buoys in the Black Sea and its performance was quantified in terms of statistical parameters. In addition, wave model performance in terms of significant wave height was also assessed by comparing them against satellite data.The main scope of this work is the impact of the different available wind field products on the wave hindcast performance. In addition, the sensitivity of wave model forecasts due to variations in spatial and temporal resolutions of the wind field products was investigated. Finally, the impact of using various wind field products on predicting extreme wave events was analyzed by focussing on storm peaks and on an individual storm event in October 1996. The numerical results revealed that the CFSR winds are more suitable in comparison with the others for modelling both normal and extreme events in the Black Sea. The results also show that wave model output is critically sensitive to the choice of the wind field product, such that the quality of the wind fields is reflected in the quality of the wave predictions. A finer wind spatial resolution leads to an improvement of the wave model predictions, while a finer temporal resolution in the wind fields generally does not significantly improve agreement between observed and simulated wave data.     

Geochemistry of black shales from the Mesoproterozoic Srisailam Formation,Cuddapah basin,India: Implications for provenance,palaeoweathering, tectonics,and timing of Columbia breakup

The Mesoproterozoic Srisailam Formation, exposed along the northern part of the Cuddapah basin, India, comprises mainly medium- to fine-grained siliciclastics, and is devoid of any carbonate sediment. Preliminary sedimentological studies helped in recognizing fifteen distinct facies (five facies associations) in Chitrial outlier of the Srisailam Formation deposited in continental half-graben basin(s). Black shales (sensu lato) are minor components of the Srisailam Formation, and inferred to have deposited in deep lacustrine and prodelta facies of the half-graben(s). The black shales show restricted thickness (up to 29.0 m), and are characterized by overall high ‘black shale' to ‘total shale' ratio (>0.51). Their geochemical characteristics were studied to constrain provenance, palaeoclimate, and tectonic setting of deposition of the Srisailam Formation. Further, an attempt has been made to use the Srisailam black shales as proxy for constraining the timing of breakup of the supercontinent Columbia.The Srisailam black shales are geochemically quite distinct. At similar SiO₂ contents they are considerably different from PAAS. They are characterized by considerably lower ΣREE (Av. 136.0 ± 50.4 ppm) but a more conspicuous negative Eu-anomaly (Av. 0.34 ± 0.09) than PAAS. Al₂O₃/TiO₂ and TiO₂/Zr ratios coupled with Eu/Eu*, Gd_CN/Yb_CN, La/Sc, Th/Sc, and Th/Cr ratios suggest their derivation from granite and granodiorite. The CIA values (65–90, Av. 72 ± 9) as a whole indicate moderate chemical weathering under semiarid climate. Discriminating geochemical parameters indicate passive margin depositional setting. The combined sedimentological and geochemical characteristics reveal deposition of the Srisailam sediments in continental rift basin(s).Thick succession of black shales (with high CIA values) that deposited with shelf carbonates proxy for mantle superplume and supercontinent breakup events. The sedimentological characteristics and geochemical data of the Srisailam black shales plausibly exclude any large-scale breakup of Columbia during the interval (1400–1327 Ma) of deposition of the Srisailam Formation.     

Evidence of local sourcing of sulfur and gold in an Archaean sediment-hosted gold deposit

Determining the source of sulfur in an ore deposit is key to understanding the nature of the ore forming processes. The Neoarchaean Paulsens sediment-hosted gold deposit (∼1 Moz @ 7.6 g/t) located in the Pilbara Craton of Western Australia exhibits many of the characteristics of Phanerozoic shale hosted gold deposits (e.g. Huijiabao Trend, Northern Carlin Trend and Sukhoi Log), in that 1) black shales are the dominant host rock, 2) gold is hosted in pyrite as both free gold and dissolved gold in the lattice of the pyrite, and 3) multiple generations of pyrite have formed due to a variety of geological processes. In this contribution we utilised Secondary Ion Mass Spectrometer (SIMS) to measure the in-situ quadrupole (³²S, ³³S, ³⁴S and ³⁶S) sulfur isotope compositions of the different generations of pyrite. Our results indicate that the both diagenetic and hydrothermal pyrite generations display similar and anomalous Δ³³S signatures (up to +0.4‰). Further, the Δ³³S-Δ³⁶S arrays in the hydrothermal pyrite generations lie on a slope which is similar to that of the diagenetic pyrite. These data support the hypothesis that the sulfur in the ore zones came from the host Hardey Formation black shales.We also performed trace element analyses of syn-sedimentary and early diagenetic pyrite from the Hardey Formaiton using Nano Secondary Ion Mass Spectrometry (NanoSIMS), Electron Probe Microanalysis (EPMA) and Laser Ablation-inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (LA-ICPMS), all of which show that the syn-sedimentary and early diagenetic pyrite contain high concentrations of many trace elements (As, Ni, Co, Cu, Ag, Se, Te, Bi), including up to 1.5 ppm Au. These metals contents are also abundant in the several generations of mineralised hydrothermal pyrite and form clear patterns of growth associated with couple dissolution reprecipitation reactions. These findings clearly indicate that the fluid that transported the Au must have also been enriched in the base and precious metals that are contained in the early, syn-diagenesis pyrite.Data from this study clearly support the hypothesis that in some sediment-hosted gold systems, all the sulfur and gold required to form the deposit are sourced from the local sedimentary package. By using the presence of anomalous mass independent sulfur isotope signatures as chemically conservative and indelible tracers, it is possible to fingerprint the source of sulfur in a wide range of mineral systems, thus enhancing predictive exploration strategies at the regional to camp scales.     

Paleomagnetism and U–Pb geochronology of the Black Range dykes,Pilbara Craton,Western Australia: a Neoarchean crossing of the polar circle

We report a new paleomagnetic pole for the Black Range Dolerite Suite of dykes, Pilbara craton, Western Australia. We replicate previous paleomagnetic results from the Black Range Dyke itself, but find that its magnetic remanence direction lies at the margin of a distribution of nine dyke mean directions. We also report two new minimum ID-TIMS ²⁰⁷Pb/²⁰⁶Pb baddeleyite ages from the swarm, one from the Black Range Dyke itself (>2769 ± 1 Ma) and another from a parallel dyke whose remanence direction lies near the centre of the dataset (>2764 ± 3 Ma). Both ages are slightly younger than a previous combined SHRIMP ²⁰⁷Pb/²⁰⁶Pb baddeleyite weighted mean date from the same swarm, with slight discordance interpreted as being caused by thin metamorphic zircon overgrowths. The updated Black Range suite mean remanence direction (D = 031.5°, I = 78.7°, k = 40, α₉₅ = 8.3°) corresponds to a paleomagnetic pole calculated from the mean of nine virtual geomagnetic poles at 03.8°S, 130.4°E, K = 13 and A₉₅ = 15.0°. The pole's reliability is bolstered by a positive inverse baked-contact test on a younger Round Hummock dyke, a tentatively positive phreatomagmatic conglomerate test, and dissimilarity to all younger paleomagnetic poles from the Pilbara region and contiguous portions of Australia. The Black Range pole is distinct from that of the Mt Roe Basalt (or so-called ‘Package 1’ of the Fortescue Group), which had previously been correlated with the Black Range dykes based on regional stratigraphy and imprecise SHRIMP U–Pb ages. We suggest that the Mt Roe Basalt is penecontemporaneous to the Black Range dykes, but with a slight age difference resolvable by paleomagnetic directions through a time of rapid drift of the Pilbara craton across the Neoarchean polar circle.     

太湖湖泛形成研究进展与展望

回顾近些年对太湖湖泛形成的研究进展,参考国外关于黑斑和缺氧现象的相关研究成果,重点从湖泛的感官特征与描述、缺氧与污染效应、湖泛形成的物质和气象条件,以及微生物和底泥作用等方面,进行了系统综述,总结出湖泛发生条件与生消过程.从基本属性方面,归纳出湖泛是指在适当的气象和地形等条件下,富营养湖泊局部水域因长时间聚积大量藻体或水草等生物质,在微生物和底泥参与下,形成边界可辨、散发恶臭的可移动黑色水团,并导致水质恶化和一些生物死亡的极端污染现象的定义.文章最后从湖泛研究的新技术、新手段,沉积物有效成分提供机制,湖泛发生的关键参数阈值确定,以及致黑致臭物稳定性机制等方面,对未来发展进行了展望.     

塔里木盆地海相石油的真实勘探潜力

塔里木盆地古生界蕴藏了丰富的海相油气资源,储集层目前埋深在5500～10000m。深部流体的相态或者说液相石油大量消失的深度下限是学术界比较关心的理论问题,而塔里木盆地海相到底富油还是富气也是关系到塔里木油田未来产能规划的现实问题。通过对塔里木盆地原油的热稳定性分析,特别是低地温梯度和晚期快速深埋过程的补偿效应研究,认为液态石油大量消亡(油裂解成气)的深度下限在9000～10000m以下,对应的储层温度大于210℃,在此深度之上液态石油可以大量存在。通过对油气聚集与保存的关键地质科学问题的研究,认为晚海西期是台盆区油藏的主要成藏期,烃源灶区生成的油气主要分布在稳定的古隆起及其围斜区域;而晚海西期这些古隆起及其围斜区碳酸盐岩储层埋藏深度在800～2500m范围内,岩溶储集体发育,这是台盆区形成大面积层状油气聚集的基础,也决定了现今埋深在7000～9000m深度范围内的斜坡区将成为黑油和凝析油的重要勘探接替区。     

乌鲁木齐大气黑碳气溶胶浓度变化特征及影响因素分析

利用乌鲁木齐大气成分观测站2009年11月—2010年2月(2009年冬季)黑碳气溶胶(BC)质量浓度观测资料,同时结合该站观测的PM数据以及国内外其它地区的BC观测结果,分析了该地区黑碳气溶胶的变化特征及影响因素。结果表明:(1)BC日平均浓度为12.442±5.407μg.m-3,其变化范围为2.685~26.691μg.m-3。BC质量浓度与API指数的变化趋势基本一致,相关系数为0.660。(2)BC浓度的日变化具有明显的双峰值特征,其峰值区主要出现在上午和夜间,谷值区出现在凌晨和下午。逐日分布具有2~3 d到数天不等的急剧上升的变化,与天气过程活动周期基本吻合。(3)周一至周四BC平均浓度呈总体降低趋势,周五开始逐渐增加,总体的变化幅度不大,工作日和周末差别较小。(4)BC小时平均浓度出现频数符合对数正态分布,冬季本底浓度为6.146μg.m-3。(5)BC与PM10,PM2.5,PM1.0日平均浓度在0.001水平上均呈正相关,线性相关系数分别为0.526,0.538和0.548;BC在PM10,PM2.5,PM1.0中分别约占6.8%,8.2%和9.2%,表明BC是PM的重要组成部分。(6)乌鲁木齐城市冬季BC气溶胶浓度高于国内外部分城市,明显高于较为洁净的边远地区,远高于瓦里关本底站及南极观测的结果。     

CAM3.0模式中黑碳及硫酸盐气溶胶浓度变化对东亚春季气候的影响研究

本文采用CAM3.0模式研究东亚地区各种气溶胶浓度增加后对于东亚春季各气候要素,尤其是对降水和春季风场的影响。在模式中通过分别对区域(20～50°N,100～150°E)内黑碳气溶胶浓度单独加倍、硫酸盐气溶胶浓度单独加倍、两种气溶胶浓度同时加倍的实验方法,探讨不同气溶胶浓度变化在东亚春季气候变化中的具体作用。结果表明:在春季,3种气溶胶浓度增加方式都使得东亚地区表现出降水中南部减少北部增加,低层大气西南风异常以及地面温度南部增加北部减少。通过对110～120°E的断面分析发现,硫酸盐与黑碳气溶胶在春季首先影响约800 hPa以上大气的温度并通过不同的动力机制影响东亚地区的风场,风场的改变进而导致了云量和降水在东亚北方地区增多而中南部地区减少,并最终使得地面温度表现出东亚中南部地区增温而北方地区相对降温的特征。     

偏振雷达在人工影响天气工作中的应用潜力

在人工影响天气作业时，实时了解被作业云中的水成物粒子大小、相态、密谋、运动等参数及其微物理变化过程是非常重要的。这些微观参量和微物理过程揭示了云降水发展的不同阶段，对于及时正确地评估云增水及消雹潜力，确定是否适合人工影响作业以及如何正确选择作业时机、作业部位和作业量，与了解云的宏观特征一样是至关重要的，它是提高作业效率的基础。本文借助国内外偏振雷达应用研究中成功的范例，探讨了偏振雷达在人工影响天气方面的应用问题。特别是介绍了不同偏振雷达在识别云内水成物粒子的相态、密度，观测云内水成物粒子微物理变化过程，以及被作业云的作业效果评估等方面的方法。这些方法对于发展我国偏振雷达技术，促进偏振雷达在人工影响天气方面的应用和提高我国人工影响天气工作水平方面有很好的参考与借鉴作用。     

珠江三角洲地区的灰霾天气研究进展

珠江三角洲地区是我国气溶胶污染较严重的地区之一,也是国内较早开展灰霾天气研究的地区,从灰霾标准、科学概念、长期变化趋势、细粒子污染本质、水平输送和垂直扩散能力以及气溶胶的光学特性和物理化学特性方面进行了研究。结果表明,近年来珠江三角洲地区的气溶胶污染日趋严重,气溶胶云一年四季都出现,且长期稳定存在,重污染区位于珠江口以西的珠江三角洲西侧。灰霾天气主要出现在10月至次年4月。灰霾导致能见度恶化。自20世纪80年代初开始,该地区的能见度急剧恶化,灰霾天气显著增加,其中有3次大的波动,分别代表珠江三角洲经济发展相伴随的粗颗粒气溶胶污染、硫酸盐+粗颗粒气溶胶污染、光化学过程的细粒子+硫酸盐和粗颗粒气溶胶的复合污染时期。雾和轻雾造成的低能见度的长期变化趋势,没有由于人类活动影响或经济发展影响带来的趋势性变化,其波动主要反映了气候波动固有的年际和年代际变化。珠江三角洲能见度的恶化主要与细粒子关系比较大,PM10有一半年份的年均值超过国家二级标准的年均值浓度限值(70μg m–3),而细颗粒物(即PM2.5)各年都超过国家二级标准的年均值限值(35μg m–3),尤其是有些年份年均值浓度超过标准限值的2倍,细粒子浓度甚高。另外,近年细颗粒物占PM10的比重非常高,可达57%~79%,黑碳气溶胶浓度非常高,月均值达到5.0~9.1μg m–3,黑碳气溶胶污染严重。和20余年前的资料相比较,细粒子在气溶胶中的比重有明显增加,有机碳和硝酸盐、铵盐的占比增加,而硫酸盐占比略有减少,钙占比明显减少。区域气流停滞区的形成是发生严重灰霾天气的主要气象条件,垂直输送能力不足也是加重灰霾天气的气象条件之一。