开平市日极值气温出现时间分析

利用开平市黄竹坑新气象观测站2007年12月和2008年1～11月的逐日观测资料,统计分析早晨、上午、中午等8个时段日极值气温出现时间在年、季节中的频率特征,发现全年最高及最低气温极值出现最多分别是在下午和早晨;分析高温、寒冷天气中气温日极值出现时间,并对其影响系统进行分析,探索存预报实践中如何更好地服务公众,及时预警...     

基于雷达回波最大重叠率的一种临近降水预报方法

基于天气雷达的临近降水预报是雷达短时预报业务系统的重要组成部分,本文在回顾雷达临近降水预报技术发展的基础上,充分考虑新一代天气雷达高时间、空间分辨率的优点,提出两个相邻时刻雷达回波具有最大重叠率的移向、移速是与降水系统整体的移向、移速密切相关的论点,再用此移向、移速对当前雷达回波进行平移,最后采用九点平均的回波生消模型...     

应用互信息法和Cao方法探讨ENSO的可预报性

为了研究ENSO的可预报性及其在空间和时间上的变化,利用相空间重构的参数确定方法——互信息法和Cao方法来分析研究海表温度异常（SSTA）序列。互信息法的结果表明,时间序列较长,求出的延迟时间较符合理论值。Cao方法的结果表明：SSTA序列的随机性比海杂波强;空间上,赤道东太平洋SSTA序列的确定性较赤道西太平洋的强。     

Kirchhoff叠前时间偏移关键参数分析与研究

叠前时间偏移已经成为地震资料处理的常规手段之一,在构造复杂但速度横向变化不大时,应用克希霍夫叠前时间偏移方法,一般可以得到较好的成像效果。但是叠前时间偏移是一项系统工程,一些配套技术的选取和一些关键参数的选取,直接影响到成像结果。这里根据O-MEGA2处理系统制定的叠前时间偏移的处理方法和流程,对叠前时间偏移处理的配套技术和关键参数（叠前道集偏移距分组、偏移孔径和倾角选取、均方根速度建模、旅行时算法）进行了分析总结,结合试验程序进行了研究和讨论,并提出了关键参数选取的基本原则,对实际处理工作具有一定的应用价值。     

不同前处理方法和测量时间对泥炭中无机矿物颗粒粒度的影响

用常规方法分析长江口泥炭全样粒度数据时,发现粒度频率分布曲线末端出现含量很低的一个或两个次主峰的奇怪现象.不同的前处理方法对泥炭粒度的测量结果表明:粒度数据应选取样品上机后第3 min内的测量结果;由于长江口泥炭样品中碳酸盐含量很少,粒度分析采用加H2O2加热去除有机质再加分散剂经超声波处理后的前处理方法测量即可.频率...     

腊寨水电站大坝右岸滑坡位移矢量角的时序分析

基于腊寨水电站大坝右岸滑坡位移观测资料,运用分形几何中的时间序列分析方法对滑坡的位移矢量角变化规律进行深入研究,发现滑坡位移矢量角的赫斯特指数H与时间相关函数C(t)随着滑坡失稳程度的加剧呈现明显的下降趋势,表明位移矢量角与滑坡稳定状态同步的动态变化过程,进而说明时间序列分析方法用于滑坡动态预报是可行的.     

基于GIS的徐州城镇体系空间结构分形研究

城镇体系是城市地理学和乡村地理学的核心内容之一,是指在一定范围内,以某中心城市为核心,由一系列不同规模、各具特点、相互联系的城镇组成的有机整体[1]。城镇体系的空间结构即城镇体系的空间分布体系,是城镇体系的重要特征之一[2]。城镇体系各要素通过物质流、能量流和信息流的传输与交换,相互依存、相互竞争、协同发育,使得区域内城     

镉和汞胁迫对四角蛤蜊（Mactra veneriformis）血细胞的毒性损伤研究

采用透射电镜观察、溶酶体膜稳定性衡量和微核生成率检测的方法,系统研究了室内模拟Cd和Hg污染胁迫对四角蛤蜊血细胞的毒性损伤。结果表明,Cd对四角蛤蜊血细胞超微结构的损伤表现出明显的浓度依赖效应,125μg/L Cd胁迫下血细胞结构损伤程度高于25μg/L Cd胁迫;不同浓度Cd和Hg暴露14天后,各处理组（2μg/L ...     

Analysis of characteristics of time-frequency correlations between runoff, tidal range and salinity in the Changjiang Estuary

Power spectrum and cross-wavelet transform analysis was adopted to study the time-frequency characteristics and multiscale correlations between runoff, tidal range and salinity in the Changjiang Estuary based on the runoff data collected at the Datong Station, the tidal range measured at the Baozhen Station, and the salinity at the Baogang Station from 2008 to 2009. The variations of the salinity showed significant periodicity at scales of 2-3, 7-8, 14-15 and 26-30 d. The correlation between the salinity and the runoff and the tidal range were found to be significantly related to shock at scales of 5-7, 14-15, 26-30 d and 0.5 a. The correlation between the runoff and the salinity was mainly in the same phase, while the correlation between the tidal range and the salinity was in the antiphase. Different frequency bands were related to different degrees, and their relevance increased as the resonance frequency decreased. In addition, changes of the seasonal runoff were obvious. Specifically, a point of discontinuity was reached in early June with a cycle of 7-8 d, which coincided with the periodicity of plum rains in the Changjiang-Huaihe region. High-frequency changes (8-16 d period) of the salinity corresponded to the time domain in January-April 2008, February-April 2009 and October-December 2009 and exhibited an approximately 0.5 a (184 d) long frequency oscillation. Short-period changes were found to be stronger than long-period changes. Cross-wavelet transforms for the salinity, the runoff and the tidal range revealed local features in the time domain, while the significant levels of different periodic oscillations were observed in the frequency domain. The correlation characteristics of the salinity and the runoff were significant in the 80-90 d frequency domain, indicating that the major impact of the runoff on the salinity was reflected in seasonal changes. The tidal range on the small scale of 14-15 and 30-32 d was more obvious than the runoff.