梯级水库运行期设计洪水理论和方法

人类活动和气候变化显著地改变了河川径流及洪水的时空分配过程，直接影响下游断面的设计洪水。本文综述水库对下游水文情势的影响，提出梯级水库运行期设计洪水理论方法和研究内容；重点探讨非一致性洪水频率分析和基于Copula函数的最可能地区洪水组成法，比较各种方法的实用性；推荐采用运行期设计洪水及汛控水位指导水库调度运行，建议进一步加强水库运行期设计洪水计算理论和方法研究。     

Continental size,eustasy and sediment yield

Sediment yield from modern continental blocks is a function of the area (dissolved load) and hypsometry (mechanical load) of the blocks. Hypsographic curves for modern continental blocks show that the change in the percentage area flooded for any change in eustatic sea level depends on the size of the block and the absolute sea level. This allows predictions of changes in sediment yield around different sized blocks for any given eustatic change. The range in size of continental blocks is such that, for any given sea level change, the blocks will show different percentage changes in yield. Data from modern continental blocks are compared with theoretical results. Assuming that the rules governing modern hypsometries applied in the past, and a constant volume of continental crust, it is possible to estimate the hypsographic curves of former continental blocks. The implications of suggested past continental configurations and sea levels for sediment yield are discussed.     

潜水延迟给水理论模型探讨

基于对失饱和带毛管与潜水流间交互作用的分析，提出了以“失水带迟后反应”模式计算延迟给水下的定降深流动①的成因方法。它能自然地解释水位、水头的Ｗａｌｔｏｎ三阶段演变规律，且拟合实测资料，具较强实用性。现行的纽曼代表性模型未能考虑延迟给水作用，因而其水位计算结果与实测线型相反．博尔顿法是经验性的，未予揭示该现象成因。本法基本上解决了上述问题。文后图示了各参变量对水头时空分布的影响。验算表明，将本法用于潜水出流试验推求含水层参数，可获更佳结果。     

Mineral composition variation in Alpine Schist, Southern Alps, New Zealand: Implications for recrystallization and exhumation

Abstract Compositional variation of silicates (plagioclase, K-feldspar, epidote, titanite, garnet, white mica, biotite, chlorite), ilmenite, carbonates (calcite, ankerite) and apatite, in quartzofeldspathic lithologies of the Alpine Schist, New Zealand, is discussed in terms of increasing metamorphic grade and possible isograd-producing reactions. The mineral data, in conjunction with geological considerations, are used to determine polychronous P-T arrays of an early high P/T event (c. 16°C/kb; 5°C/km) overprinted by a lower P/T event (c. 50°C/kb; 15°C/km) that provides an estimation of Mesozoic and Cenozoic exhumation of schist of 11 to 13 km and 19 to 22 km respectively. The effects of possible shear heating and recrystallization to form K-feldspar zone schist near the Alpine Fault is consistent with movement along a mid to lower crustal detachment surface during Cenozoic shortening, and near isothermal exhumation of the schists to form the Southern Alps.     

Prediction of tension crack location and riverbank erosion hazards along destabilized channels

Riverbank erosion, associated sedimentation and land loss hazards are a land management problem of global significance and many attempts to predict the onset of riverbank instability have been made. Recently, Osman and Thorne (1988) have presented a Culmann-type analysis of the stability of steep, cohesive riverbanks; this has the potential to be a considerable improvement over previous bank stability theories, which do not account for bank geometry changes due to toe scour and lateral erosion. However, in this paper it is shown that the existing Osman-Thorne model does not properly incorporate the influence of tension cracking on bank stability since the location of the tension crack on the floodplain is indirectly determined via calculation or arbitrary specification of the tension crack depth. Furthermore, accurate determination of tension crack location is essential to the calculation of the geometry of riverbank failure blocks and hence prediction of land loss and bank sediment yield associated with riverbank instability and channel widening. In this paper, a rational, physically based method to predict the location of tension cracks on the floodplain behind the eroding bank face is presented and tested. A case study is used to illustrate the computational procedure required to apply the model. Improved estimates of failure block geometry using the new method may potentially be applied to improve predictions of bank retreat and floodplain land loss along river channels destabilized as a result of environmental change.     

Within-storm variations in runoff and sediment export from a rapidly eroding coal-refuse deposit

Measurements of rainfall, runoff and sediment export from a barren deposit of coal mine refuse in south-western Indiana were collected during three storms in the summer and autumn of 1990. Interfluve sheetwash, sediment mass flux, sediment concentration and, to a lesser extent, trunk gully discharge all responded quickly to changes in rainfall intensity. Grain-size distributions varied considerably during storms, containing exclusively fine-grained sediment at low sediment discharges but very large quantities of coarse (> 2mm) sediment at peak sediment discharges. Although data from a fairly long, multipulsed storm indicate that sediment production is limited by supply, the imbricated layer of flat chips that exists at the surface of the deposit is apparently mobilized during most high-intensity pulses of rainfall, thereby producing large volumes of coarse sediment during summer thunderstorms.     

Changes in the ionic composition of a saline lake,Mar Chiquita,Province of Córdoba,Argentina

Mar Chiquita is the largest water-body in Argentina according to area. This ranges from 2,000 km² in dry periods to 5,000 km² in humid ones. Its very high salinity ranged this century from 200 to 300 g/L, but an increase in the average rainfall in the basin since 1973 has led to a rise in lake level and the dilution of its waters to 78 g/L in 1978 and about 30 g/L in the late 1980s. Ionic strength decreased from 6.61 in 1970 to 0.541 in 1986. The composition of the water also changed, with increases in the proportions of sulphate, calcium and magnesium concentrations. The most important processes taking place in solution are calcite and gypsum equilibrium, formation of clay minerals, and sulphate reduction in the interstitial waters of the bottom sediments. The thermodynamic state of the solutions for different years has been obtained. Results show that the solution shifted from gypsum oversaturation in 1970 to gypsum equilibrium in 1978, and to gypsum undersaturation since 1982. A geochemical simulation of the composition of the solution from its origin from mean tributary composition, following a modified Hardie-Eugster model, has been developed using PHRQPITZ. The results agree with empirical observations.     

塔里木河流域地表水资源及径流组成

塔里木河流域内水系的分布几乎包括整个塔里盆地，水资源在全流域不仅是农业的命脉，也是制约国民经济发展的重要因素，同时也是制约和影响生态环境最敏感的因子。本文根据塔里木河流域干，支流水文测站长期的实际观测资料，加以深入研究分析，对该流域各源流及干流的地表水资源量，径流组成以及年内分配情况，提出了较为翔实，可靠的数据，谨供流域水资源规划设计，管理调度等参考。     

广东新会市人口,耕地,粮食问题及灰色模型预测

在我国改革开放政策实行较早的广东珠江三角洲地区，我们对地处西南部的新会市进行了为期两年的全面、典型抽样调查。发现全市的耕地面积和播种面积呈下降趋势，单产虽有较大幅度的增长但粮食总产量的增长缓慢，速度低于全市总人口的自然增长率，因此人均粮食产量呈下降趋势。根据建立的灰色ＧＭ（１，１）模型预测，新会市２０１０年人均耕地面积只有０．０２５ｈｍ＾２，在“人均４分保命田”之下。因此，本文对该地区作出的粮食及     

安康双龙桥碱性辉长杂岩中磷灰石和榍石的矿物成分研究

X射线衍射分析和化学成分研究表明,磷灰石为氟磷灰石,榍石成分中存在着的主要类质同象替代是(Fe~(3+)、Al)+(F,OH)~-=Ti~(4+)+O~(2-)。磷灰石和榍石是碱性辉长岩的REE、Ba、Zr等微量元素的主要载体;它们是在较高氧逸度的条件下结晶的。磷灰石的Sr同位素特征说明形成双龙桥碱性辉长杂岩的物质来源于上地幔。