对地质灾害隐患早期识别相关问题的认识与思考

泥石流物源识别与计算是科学评估泥石流规模、危害程度以及综合治理的基础,而传统的地面调查和光学遥感手段难以有效识别山区植被茂密覆盖下的泥石流物源。机载激光雷达（light detection and ranging,LiDAR）技术能有效去除植被获取真实的地表形态,为泥石流物源的识别提供了新的解决方案。以九寨沟震区的日则沟泥石流为例,基于高分辨率机载LiDAR数据结合震前卫星影像,开展泥石流物源识别研究,根据物源所处位置和在山体阴影图像上的色彩及纹理差异,将物源分为崩滑物源、坡面物源和沟道物源,并建立各类型物源的机载LiDAR识别标志与遥感解译方法。共解译出日则沟泥石流物源155处,总面积达1.06 km²,占流域总面积的31.56%,在此基础上分析了各类型物源的发育分布规律。为泥石流物源的精确计算提供理论参考和数据支撑,进一步服务于九寨沟震区泥石流的防治与风险评价。

     

基于GIS的兰州滑坡与泥石流灾害危险性分析

频繁发生的灾害愈来愈对人类社会造成巨大影响, 遥感、地理信息系统、全球定位系统和网络技术日益在减灾行动中发挥重要的作用. 兰州区域地质岩性、构造断裂、地震活动带、地表侵蚀强烈和地形起伏破碎等因素造成了兰州滑坡与泥石流灾害的发育, 夏季暴雨、人类工程活动等诱发下灾害频繁, 风险加剧. 针对兰州地区滑坡与泥石流等山地灾害对区域社会经济的影响, 通过建立区域滑坡与泥石流灾害的空间数据库, 在GIS技术辅助下实现了专家经验模型和Logistic模型对滑坡与泥石流灾害危险性的预测, 其中滑坡Logistic模型准确性达到85.3%, 专家经验模型准确性达到74.2%; 泥石流Logistic危险性预模型准确性达到80.5%, 专家经验模型准确性达到90.5%. 随着研究的深入, 综合遥感、地理信息系统、全球定位系统和网络技术的灾害研究与应用将在灾害防治中发挥重要的作用.     

琼东南盆地中生界潜山天然气成藏模式

琼东南盆地基底潜山勘探面临地质年代不清、储层非均质性强及成藏条件复杂等难题。通过开展区域大地构造演化、基底锆石测年、潜山储层描述及成藏动力分析,明确潜山储层发育区及有利成藏区。研究表明,在印支运动、燕山运动及喜山运动叠加控制下,松南低凸起、陵南低凸起大面积发育印支期的花岗岩潜山储层,平面上北西、北东及近东西向三组断裂、裂缝交错切割成网,纵向上形成的风化带-裂缝带总厚度超300 m的双层结构,明确裂缝储层发育的关键因素为脆性矿物和双向流体改造。基于早渐新世古地貌及烃源岩沉积模拟实验研究,提高了崖城组陆源海相烃源岩TOC分布预测精度,明确了中央坳陷优质烃源灶分布规律。综合分析潜山-古近系储层、构造脊展布和崖城组烃源灶的时空配置关系,建立了“松南低凸起源外高潜山天然气长距离侧向有限运聚模式”及“陵南低凸起源边低潜山近距离高效运聚模式”,提出源边低潜山的L26-B是下步勘探的有利目标。     

惠民凹陷西部沙四下亚段冲积扇沉积类型与成因分析

本文在岩心观察和描述的基础上,结合地震、测井等资料及平面上砂体的分布形态,对惠民凹陷西部沙四下亚段的沉积特征及成因进行了研究。认为研究区沙四下亚段主要发育冲积扇沉积的泥石流扇和辫状河扇两种类型,共识别出了6种沉积微相。宁南断层和无南断层下降盘发育大面积的辫状河扇沉积。砂体垂直岸线分布,延伸距离较远。平面上分布呈扇形,沉积相带分异不明显,主要沉积微相为辫状河道、河道砂坝与河道间沉积。邻近齐广断层断崖处发育泥石流扇沉积,砂体不甚发育,与辫状河扇相比,该沉积类型砾岩富集,扇体规模较小。相带变化比较明显,主要沉积微相为泥石流沉积、河道沉积与漫流沉积。该沉积体系的形成主要受构造活动、古地貌、物源区性质与古气候等因素的影响,断裂活动是该沉积体系形成的决定性因素。     

牛眠沟流域泥石流形成条件、发展趋势及其防治探讨

汶川地震使牛眠沟流域变成了一个多泥石流灾害的区域,到目前为止,已经发生7次大规模泥石流灾害。经研究,该流域诱发泥石流灾害的3个基本条件非常发育,而目前正处于发展阶段,在震后5~10年内的雨季,极易发生危害性较大、冲击力较强的大规模降雨型泥石流。如果考虑直接利用主沟内沉积的泥石流堆积物,在主沟堆积区的中上游左右两侧修建约为沟宽一半的交替式拦挡土石坝、在中下游修建与沟宽大致相等的拦挡土石坝及在相邻两坝间修建与沟向相对且具有一定坡度斜坡的土木防治工程,可实现消能与耗能双重目的。     

Transport and deposition of large woody debris in streams: a flume experiment

Large woody debris (LWD) is an integral component of forested streams of the Pacific Northwest and elsewhere, yet little is known about how far wood is transported and where it is deposited in streams. In this paper, we report the results of flume experiments that examine interactions among hydraulics, channel geometry, transport distance and deposition of floating wood. These experiments were carried out in a 1.22-m-wide×9.14-m-long gravel bed flume using wooden dowels of various sizes as surrogate logs. Channel planforms were either self-formed or created by hand, and ranged from meanders to alternate bars. Floating pieces tended to orient with long axes parallel to flow in the center of the channel. Pieces were deposited where channel depth was less than buoyant depth, typically at the head of mid-channel bars, in shallow zones where flow expanded, and on the outside of bends. We hypothesize that the distance logs travel may be a function of the channel's debris roughness, a dimensionless index incorporating ratios of piece length and diameter to channel width, depth and sinuosity. Travel distance decreased as the ratio of piece length to both channel width and radius of curvature increased, but the relative importance of these variables changed with channel planform. Large pieces can move further than our debris roughness models predict if greater than 50% of the active channel area is deeper than the buoyant depth of the piece, or if momentum is high enough to carry pieces across shallows. Our debris roughness model allows first-order prediction of the amount of wood transport under various channel geometries.     

Late glacial fans in the eastern Skagerrak; depositional environment interpreted from swath bathymetry and seismostratigraphy

The origin of acoustically transparent fan deposits overlying glacial till and ice-proximal sediments on the southern margin of the Norwegian Channel has been studied using high-resolution seismic-reflection profiles and multibeam bathymetry. The first deposits overlying glacigenic sediments are a series of stacked, acoustically transparent submarine fans. The lack of glaciomarine sediments below and between individual fans indicates that deposition was rapid and immediately followed the break up of the Late Weichselian ice cover. The fans are overlain by stratified glaciomarine sediments and Holocene mud. Because of the uniformity of this drape, the upper surface of the fan deposits is mimicked at the present seafloor, and the bathymetric images clearly show the spatial relationship of the fans to bedrock ridges and the presence of braided channel-levee systems on the surface of the youngest fans. The acoustically transparent character of the fan deposits indicates that they comprise silt and clay, and their lobate form and lack of internal stratification indicates that they were deposited by debris flows. The channel-levee morphology indicates deposition from more watery hyperconcentrated fluid flows. The fan sediments were either derived from 1) erosion of Mid Weichselian lake deposits in southern Skagerrak or 2) from Late glacial ice-margin lake deposits, ponded against the Norwegian Channel ice stream, which collapsed catastrophically when the lateral support was removed as the ice disintegrated. Fans composed almost exclusively of fine-grained sediment need not, therefore, rule out an origin in a deglacial setting relatively close to the former margins of glaciers and ice sheets.     

基于超熵理论的泥石流危险性模糊综合评判

泥石流灾害往往造成巨大经济损失,但由于其影响因素众多,如何合理进行危险性评判一直是研究的焦点问题.本文以研究项目为依托,选择泥石流流域沟谷的纵剖面形态指数作为流域的地貌特征指标,用超熵理论量化泥石流流域地貌系统的稳定性与演化趋势,并借助于模糊综合评判手段,对泥石流危险性进行评价.评判结果表明:该方法的评价结果与实际较为接近,为泥石流流域系统的演化趋势预测以及危险性等级划分提供了良好的分析方法.     

西藏古乡沟泥石流发展趋势

1950年地震造成的大规模雪崩、冰崩及崩塌,堵塞古乡沟中游沟道,在降雨、气温及冰雪融水作用下,1953年溃决成特大冰川泥石流,流量达2.86万m~3/s。随着流域内补给物质的转移,古乡沟泥石流的规模、容重、暴发频率可能会减弱。