基于功效系数法的泥石流灾害预警研究

泥石流灾害破坏力巨大,预测预报泥石流发生的可能性是防灾减灾的重要手段,也是国内外学者研究的热点。基于功效系数法原理,在综合分析泥石流灾害发生的气象、地质环境影响因素的基础上,选取了山坡坡度、相对高差、植被覆盖率、沿沟松散物储量、5 d累计降雨量、最大小时雨强和当日雨量为评价因子,采用改进后的层次分析法计算评价因子的权重系数,建立了泥石流预测预警模型。以岫岩地区泥石流为例对预警模型进行检验,预测结果较好地反映了实际情况。表明基于功效系数法的泥石流预测预警模型具备较高的可靠性和实用性,研究结果为泥石流预测预警提供了一种新的思路和方法。     

沉积盆地异常低压与低压油气藏成藏机理综述

地下异常低压主要有两种成因：抬升—剥蚀反弹和在介质孔隙度、渗透率非均质性条件下的区域地下水稳态流动，而化学渗透与流体“冷却”在低压形成中只起次要作用。根据圈闭类型、储盖组合及成藏过程，将低压油气藏分为三种类型：①常规地层型(除砂岩透镜体外)低压油气藏，低渗透岩石通常起遮挡作用，底水与边水不发育；②砂岩透镜体低压油气藏，通常分布于盆地中心的深部，具有不含水、充满油气的特点，油气的充注和水的排出与构造抬升之前压实作用、超压引起的水驱裂缝和毛细管力的作用有关，抬升—剥蚀引起的异常低压导致水由砂岩向页岩的流动有助于油气藏中水的排出；③深盆区低渗透储层低压气藏，通常分布在含水层的下倾方向(气水倒置)，异常低压是由于构造抬升致使超压向低压演化的结果。实例研究表明，构造抬升盆地中的低压系统是一个水动力相对封闭的体系，有利于油气的聚集与保存。     

A laboratory study on groundwater quality and mass movement occurrence

In this study, soil samples collected from the sides of two streams with high debris flow potential at Shenmu and Fengchiou village in Nantou County, Taiwan, were used for seepage tank tests in the laboratory. While the tests were being conducted, observations were made to investigate the relationships among displacement of the slope, quality of the seepage water and occurrence of mass movement. The results showed that according to the change rate, displacement could be divided into two stages, namely, the initial failure displacement stage and primary failure displacement stage. While the displacement of the slope was in primary failure displacement stages, the probability of slope failure became much higher. Before general slope failure, electrical conductivity (EC) and sulfate ion (SO₄ ²⁻) concentration of the seepage water increased significantly. The time when EC of the seepage water started to increase rapidly was much earlier than that when displacement of the slope started to increase significantly. Therefore, from the hazard mitigation view, there will be a longer time for response if EC of the seepage water was monitored.     

金沙江某水电站库区泥石流地质灾害研究

金沙江是我国水能资源最为丰富的江河之一，但在金沙江上修建水库，泥石流是经常遇到的地质灾害问题。文章在详细调查了库区地层岩性、构造、滑坡的前提下，结合金沙江某水库区泥石流发育与降雨、地层岩性、构造、滑坡及地形地貌的关系深入探讨了库区泥石流的类型、规模、特征及发育阶段。研究表明：(1)本库区泥石流活动历史久远，泥石流地质灾害活跃，在部分泥石流地质灾害衰退的同时，更多的泥石流沟在逐步形成：(2)水库蓄水，减小了泥石流沟的比降，会在一定程度上降低泥石流的活动性及破坏能力；(3)泥石流对水库的影响主要为输送泥沙，造成水库淤积。     

塔里木盆地塔东地区中—上奥陶统海底扇浊积岩层序地层格架及沉积特征

塔东地区是塔里木盆地重要的油气资源战略接替区域之一。在剖面、测井和岩心资料的基础上,以Cross的高分辨率层序地层学理论为指导,对区内中—上奥陶统海底扇相浊积岩进行了初步的层序地层分析,识别出了6个三级层序,并建立了横向连井层序地层对比格架,揭示了地层的时空展布规律。在对海底扇相沉积特征研究的基础上,首次以三级层序为单位勾绘了6期海底扇扇体形态的平面展布图,分析了各期扇体的平面展布特征;最后,依据扇体形态,结合其岩性特征和重矿物分析,对海底扇的物源方向进行了初步的探讨,得出该区海底扇物源应来自北部的库鲁克塔格地区,研究成果为本区今后的油气勘探工作提供了依据。     

平山县泥石流的形成特征和机理分析

平山县是河北省太行山区主要泥石流地质灾害频发区,每年7～8月份强降雨期间,沟谷源头侧壁岩土体在雨水的浸泡下失稳破坏,形成崩塌与滑坡,崩滑的岩土体与沟源洼地中积聚的洪水迅速混合形成泥石流。本文认真分析了该区泥石流的分布概况,研究了泥石流灾变的形成特征,并从泥石流形成的物源条件和动力条件两方面分析了泥石流发生的机理和崩滑转化机制。     

In situ estimation of the effective chemical diffusion coefficient of a rock matrix in a fractured aquifer

An in situ method of estimating the effective diffusion coefficient for a chemical constituent that diffuses into the primary porosity of a rock is developed by abruptly changing the concentration of the dissolved constituent in a borehole in contact with the rock matrix and monitoring the time-varying concentration. The experiment was conducted in a borehole completed in mudstone on the campus of the University of the Free State in Bloemfontein, South Africa. Numerous tracer tests were conducted at this site, which left a residual concentration of sodium chloride in boreholes that diffused into the rock matrix over a period of years. Fresh water was introduced into a borehole in contact with the mudstone, and the time-varying increase of chloride was observed by monitoring the electrical conductivity (EC) at various depths in the borehole. Estimates of the effective diffusion coefficient were obtained by interpreting measurements of EC over 34 d. The effective diffusion coefficient at a depth of 36 m was approximately 7.8×10^?6 m²/d, but was sensitive to the assumed matrix porosity. The formation factor and mass flux for the mudstone were also estimated from the experiment.     

青藏高原中部北北东向深部负磁异常带的成因及其意义

根据最新测量获得的青藏高原中西部航磁异常图 ,经不同高度向上延拓后 ,发现在测区东部 ,即青藏高原中部自柴达木向西南延伸的广大地区 ,出现一条极为明显的北北东向负磁异常带。从对航磁区域场的分析 ,并结合人工地震、重力计算莫霍面深度、热水活动、最新火山岩活动、地貌特征和天然地震活动等多种资料的解释 ,认为负异常带是由于深部热流沿北北东向上升引起局部岩浆熔融 ,使上地壳下部具有较高的地温 ,导致磁性层底部消磁作用的结果。与此同时也加快了青藏高原隆升的幅度 ,为高原形成和演化的研究提供了新的证据     

崩落矿岩散粒体流动性能试验研究

崩落矿岩散粒体的流动性能对于降低损失贫化具有重要的意义。分析了影响散粒体流动性能的因素,采用标志颗粒法进行了崩落矿岩散粒体流动性能试验,主要考虑的因素有放矿口大小、散体颗粒的粒径以及不同的散体材料。试验内容有放矿口大小与散体移动带试验;不同散体粒径与散体移动带试验、不同散体材料与散体移动带试验;平面和立体模型时放矿口尺寸对放出量影响试验;散体堆积高度与散体移动带试验。研究结果表明,（1）移动边界与散体的材料、颗粒的尺寸大小、放矿口大小等因素有关,而散体堆积高度对其影响不大;（2）散体的流动速度与散体颗粒的大小和放矿口尺寸有关。根据所得试验结果,提出了采矿设计参数的确定方法。     

西藏羊湖二厂电站厂房区泥石流危险性评价

泥石流的活动特征及其危险性评价对电站的施工及运行有重要意义。根据羊湖电站厂房区勘查所获取的资料,对厂房区后山5条泥石流沟的成因进行了分析,在此基础上将层次分析法(AHP)应用到泥石流危险性评价研究中。对该厂房区5条泥石流沟的危险度评价表明,5号沟泥石流危险度最高,4号沟次之,1号沟、2号和3号沟危险度相对较低。泥石流危险度与流域面积的大小呈正比关系。