1951—2008年北京极端天气事件分析

采用湖南14个地市州所在地国家气象站1980—2013年逐分钟降雨资料, 分别利用模糊识别法、芝加哥法、Pilgrim & cordery法及同频率法对各地短历时60 min、90 min、120 min、150 min、180 min以5 min为单位时段的暴雨雨型进行了识别和推求, 结果表明:推求的各地暴雨雨型基本以峰值在前部的单峰型为主; 芝加哥、Pilgrim & cordery计算的峰值、强度相当, 推求的各历时暴雨雨型基本一致, 也更接近实际, 同频率法相对来说效果较差些。

     

Engaging Diasporas for Development: a case study of Pitcairn Island

Diaspora engagement is a growing trend and many governments, international organisations and policy makers are increasingly focusing on the role of diaspora in development strategies for the homelands. Such policies are predominantly critical to island-dense regions such as the Caribbean and Pacific that have suffered high rates of outmigration during the postcolonial period. One such Pacific island is Pitcairn, a British Overseas Territory, and is the focus of this article. But while most of the literature focuses on the positive benefits of diaspora engagement, this paper examines the dynamics of diaspora (dis)engagement and (dis)affection. Each diaspora has a unique set of needs and capabilities based on its historical experience and the present realities of its countries of origin and destination. While much has been written celebrating the role of diasporas in development, diaspora have also shown themselves to have dual natures, with sometimes conflicting identities and allegiances. Based on analysis of a recent Pitcairn Diaspora Survey and ethnographic data, discussion in this paper reveals that the best intentions of engaging diaspora for development can be impeded by several factors including: (1) the complex nature of identity, place and politics; (2) difficult negotiations between past, present and future intentions of movers; and (3) shifting ‘roots/routes’ and boundaries of identification. Consequently, the paper aims to highlight the realities of settlement and relationships of diaspora space and subjectivity with the homeland.     

Word2003文档中插入AutoCAD2004图形的三种方法

对于测绘技术人员来说,需要编写设计书、技术总结、监测方案等测绘类文档。利用Word2003自带的绘图工具,远远不能满足要求。介绍了“利用复制＋粘贴工具”、“转换图像格式”、“使用插入对象”三种方式在Word2003文档中插入AutoCAD2004图形的三种方法,     

基于浮游有孔虫重建的南海北部400 ka以来上层水体结构变化及其对东亚季风的响应

现代南海上层水体结构具有鲜明的季节特征,反映了季节性风场通过动力与热力过程施加的强烈影响;这种风场对上层水体结构的调控同样存在于地质历史时期,借此,长时间尺度上的东亚季风强度变化能够在南海沉积中留下记录,对相关高分辨率样品的研究继而可以从海洋的角度发掘出新的季风信息,成为对现有古季风资料的重要补充。本研究利用南海北部岩芯总长为50.8 m的MD12-3432站位（19°16.88'N,116°14.52'E;水深2125 m）高分辨率沉积样品,通过浮游有孔虫属种组合及其转换函数恢复了400 ka以来冬、夏季海水表层温度及温跃层深度,并对其进行频谱分析,同时对比现代观测资料及黄土粒度等古季风记录,讨论了海表温度、温跃层深度变化与东亚季风强度、表层环流格局等因素的关系。结果表明,晚更新世以来南海北部海表温度具有显著的100 ka冰期-间冰期旋回,冬季海表温度降幅可达8℃,是冰期冬季风增强与表层环流变化的共同结果。此外,冬季海表温度与温跃层深度重建结果均具有明显的67 ka周期,可能代表了东亚冬季风风速在南海北部的变化周期。同时,温跃层深度中未出现100 ka周期,可能指示冰期-间冰期旋回中表层环流的变化对其影响较弱,温跃层的加深主要由东亚冬季风的增强造成。

     

Simulation of the full two rigid body problem using polyhedral mutual potential and potential derivatives approach

Herein we investigate the coupled orbital and rotational dynamics of two rigid bodies modelled as polyhedra, under the influence of their mutual gravitational potential. The bodies may possess any arbitrary shape and mass distribution. A method of calculating the mutual potential’s derivatives with respect to relative position and attitude is derived. Relative equations of motion for the two body system are presented and an implementation of the equations of motion with the potential gradients approach is described. Results obtained with this dynamic simulation software package are presented for multiple cases to validate the approach and illustrate its utility. This simulation capability is useful both for addressing questions in dynamical astronomy and for enabling spacecraft missions to binary asteroid systems.     

影响江南春雨年际变化的前期海洋信号及可能机理

利用1980—2017年华南地区303个国家级地面气象站逐小时降水数据、ERA-Interim再分析资料,分析华南前汛期（4—6月）降水统计特征,定义站点上短时（1—6 h）、中等时长（7—12 h）和长时（>12 h）降水事件,对比降水量、频次和强度在南海季风爆发前后的变化,以及所定义的西部内陆、东部内陆、沿海地区的异同。结果表明：（1）南海季风爆发后,研究区域平均而言,三类降水事件的降水量增多、小时降水强度增强,短时、长时降水事件发生频次增多,而中等时长降水事件发生频次有所减少。（2）从空间分布来看,南海季风爆发后,小时降水强度在整个华南地区均增强,西部内陆时长大于6 h的降水事件尤为明显;降水事件的发生频次在西部内陆和沿海地区升高,而东部内陆时长大于6 h的降水事件发生频次降低,因此,季风爆发后西部内陆和沿海地区的总降水量均显著增大,而东部内陆的总降水量变化不大。（3）西部内陆降水事件主要在夜间开始发生,持续时间越长的事件越早开始,且由西向东逐渐推迟;东部内陆短时降水事件主要在14时（北京时,下同）左右开始,季风爆发后更为明显,而时长大于6 h的降水事件的开始时间和峰值时间无明显的分布规律;沿海地区短时降水事件在季风爆发前主要于05—08时开始,季风爆发后,在海岸线约50 km以内仍然如此,而较远离海岸线的短时降水事件主要于14时开始,沿海地区长时降水事件在季风爆发前、后都倾向于在夜间开始,并在日间出现峰值。

     

渤中凹陷西南部古新世—始新世构造差异活动及沉积充填演化

渤海海域渤中凹陷西南部构造复杂,其沉积充填演化规律不明确。综合运用岩芯、测井以及三维地震资料,对该区断陷湖盆古新世—始新世的构造活动、沉积体系以及盆地充填演化规律进行了系统研究。研究表明,渤中凹陷西南部古近纪孔店-沙河街组发育孔店组末期、沙三段末期、沙一二段末期等3期构造活动,多次隆升剥蚀形成3个关键层序界面,控制整个湖盆古近纪孔店-沙河街组的层序结构和古地貌形态。古新世—始新世主要发育近源扇三角洲、辫状河三角洲、湖泊以及湖底扇等4种沉积体系类型,其分布受古物源、古地貌、断裂活动等因素制约。在古新世孔店组沉积裂陷早期,湖盆范围小,物源供给充足,陡坡带和缓坡带均以发育扇三角洲沉积为主,湖盆中心发育湖底扇沉积,晚期湖盆逐渐萎缩;始新世早期的沙三段沉积时期,断陷活动加强,随着盆地范围的扩张,物源供应减弱,湖盆洼陷区主要发育湖底扇沉积。始新世晚期沙一二段裂后沉降期,辫状河三角洲进积特征明显,分布范围广,局部地貌高位置发育湖相碳酸盐岩沉积。不同时期构造差异活动与物源供给共同制约着该区古近纪孔店-沙河街组的沉积充填演化过程,也导致了与渤海海域其他构造区沉积充填的差异性。     

Assessment of regional air pollution distribution by point cumulative semivariogram method at Erzurum urban center, TURKEY

In the assessment of air quality, regional distribution and dispersion with distance are important, together with the variations of pollutants in time. On this occasion, the point cumulative semi-variogram (PCSV) method is used in order to find simply regional distribution of pollutants of Erzurum urban centre. This method is based simply on the summation of square differences in air pollutant concentrations between different sites. Monthly regional variation maps of Erzurum are constructed by finding radius of influence (for SO₂, from 1000 m to 3500 m and, for TSP, 1000–2000 m) and PCSV scattering diagram data at different levels by using monthly average sulphur dioxide (SO₂) and total suspended particulate (TSP) matter concentrations in 2001–2002 winter season. Consequently, the air pollution distribution of Erzurum is assessed.     

小口径加筋砼灌注桩应用初探

在小口径加筋砼灌注桩试桩基础上结合工程实例对小口径加筋砼灌注桩的设计、施工和检测进行了初步探讨     

外部利润、产权界定与土地资源优化配置——成都市农村土地股份合作制改革的制度经济学解析

以"外部利润——产权界定——资源优化配置"为研究主线,对成都市农村土地股份合作制改革进行了制度经济学解析。研究发现,制度创新空间的形成、土地的增值收益、土地规模利用效应和土地集约利用效应构成了成都市农村土地股份合作制改革的外部利润。成都市农村土地股份合作制改革,一方面可以提高土地规模和集约利用效应,促进土地资源优化配置;另一方面可以明晰集体土地产权主体,健全基层组织治理机制。要采取诸如放松法律限制、加强理论研究、规范机制建设等措施,从而推动土地股份合作制的生成和发展。