Precursory Signals of Extensive and Persistent Extreme Cold Events in China

The distinct precursory signals of countrywide extensive and persistent extreme cold events (CECs) were investigated and contrasted with those of countrywide cold wave events (CCWs). It is shown that most CECs were accompanied by a CCW in the initial stages. From the comparison between the CECs and the CCWs that were independent of any CEC, it is found that a south- west-northeast-oriented tilted ridge at 500 hPa was present around the Europe-Barents Sea regions approximately 10 days prior to the start of the CEC. Consistent with this feature, a high sea level pressure and strong cold air accumulation occurred over a broad extent of northern Eurasia one week prior to the start of the CEC. The tilted ridge and the strong cold air accumulation were the precursory signals that were absent for the CCW, and they provide important clues for the early prediction of whether a CCW event might evolve into a CEC.     

测量型GPS仪器比较

以科学的方法对Trimble、Topcon、南方测绘三个厂家GPS信号接收机和数据后处理软件进行比较。首先从GPS的发展历史和现状及其存在的问题进行分析研究,结合GPS系统和信号接收机的原理,对GPS结构等不同的方面进行分析比较,然后比较分析了各型号GPS的物理指标、精度指标、性能和价格,并对各型号GPS对应的数据后处理软件进行了实验分析,最后通过实验分析得出结论。     

A Comparison Study of the Contributions of Additional Observations in the Sensitive Regions Identified by CNOP and FSV to Reducing Forecast Error Variance for the Typhoon Morakot

The sensitive regions of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations (CNOPs) and the first singular vector (FSV) for a northwest Pacific typhoon case are reported in this paper. A large number of probes have been designed in the above regions and the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF) techniques are utilized to examine which approach can locate more appropriate regions for typhoon adaptive observations. The results show that, in general, the majority of the probes in the sensitive regions of CNOPs can reduce more forecast error variance than the probes in the sensitive regions of FSV. This implies that adaptive observations in the sensitive regions of CNOPs are more effective than in the sensitive regions of FSV. Furthermore, the reduction of the forecast error variance obtained by the best probe identified by CNOPs is twice the reduction of the forecast error variance obtained by FSV. This implies that dropping sondes, which is the best probe identified by CNOPs, can improve the forecast more than the best probe identified by FSV. These results indicate that the sensitive regions identified by CNOPs are more appropriate for adaptive observations than those identified by FSV.     

基于改进的Klobuchar模型建立南宁市区域电离层延迟模型

以最小二乘曲面拟合模型为背景场,利用南宁市区域CORS网实测数据,对Klobuchar模型的初始相位、振幅和夜间时延值不断改正,建立南宁市区域电离层延迟模型。结果表明,改进的Klobuchar模型精度有显著提高。     

2020年新疆于田MS6.4地震前地磁谐波振幅比变化特征分析

以2020年6月26日于田M_S6.4地震为例, 采用地磁谐波振幅比法, 选用距震中370 km和360 km范围内的且末台、 狮泉河台所记录到的秒值连续波形数据, 对震前地磁异常进行了提取和回溯性分析, 发现地磁谐波振幅比反映了观测点深部电阻率变化, 2020年于田M_S6.4地震前且末台和狮泉河台地磁谐波振幅比出现了较明显的异常现象。 异常特征有: ① 地磁谐波振幅比Y_ZHx和Y_ZHy主要表现为“下降—转折—恢复”的形态, 地震发生在下降型变化恢复之后上升阶段; ② 震前约2年起, 且末台和狮泉河台谐波振幅比表现长短周期变化不同步或NS向与EW向变化不同步的现象; ③ 且末台Y_ZHx(NS)和狮泉河台Y_ZHy(EW)谐波振幅比异常变化中的转折上升形态具有自较长周期向较短周期的迁移现象; ④ 狮泉河台谐波振幅比趋势性异常起始时间早于且末台, 持续时间平均2年左右, 最大异常幅度达到0.04; ⑤ 且末台Y_ZHx(NS)和狮泉河台Y_ZHy(EW)异常相比对应其他分量更为显著, 这也许震中和台站所在位置有关系; ⑥ 地震前和田大地电场(距震中约265 km)岩体裂隙优势方位角(α)也显示异常变化, 可见该地震前多地球物理探测参量的异常响应, 呈现多地球物理量耦合, 增加了异常可信度。     

煤体静载破坏中低频磁场变化特征及产生机制研究

为了研究煤体静载破坏中低频磁场变化特征及其产生机制,进一步完善煤矿动力灾害监测预警技术,通过室内试验、现场试验研究了煤体静载破坏中低频磁场时、频谱特征,并结合微震信号提出了低频磁信号的产生机制。结果表明：煤体静载破坏中所产生低频磁场信号强度为19～156 nT,信号最大幅值、能量与试样强度、加载速度均呈正相关关系。垂直于裂纹扩展面磁场最强,平行于裂纹扩展面磁场最弱。并结果微震信号提出了低频磁场产生机制。低频磁场与微震信号具有时、频域同步性,带电裂纹面随微震信号同频振荡为低频磁场产生机制。现场放炮破煤低频磁信号由簇状脉冲信号及小幅震荡信号组成,其中簇状脉冲成分产生于炮后振动波带动带电壁面的同频振动,而小幅震荡成分是巷帮煤壁趋向新应力平衡状态时发生的横向拉伸破坏及带电煤碎屑运移、摩擦及转动的结果。     

基于STA/LTA岩石破裂微震信号实时识别算法及工程应用

微震监测获取的数据中通常混有大量的非岩石破裂信号,该类信号目前主要通过人工经验进行识别与滤除,这消耗了大量的宝贵时间,严重影响灾害的防治和救援效率。对大量微震信号进行分析,发现STA/LTA算法在信号实时触发后能大致表征波形振幅和频率的变化,岩石破裂信号和非岩石破裂信号在延迟位置处R值具有差异性。基于此,提出了岩石破裂微震信号实时识别算法。新算法应用到白鹤滩水电站地下厂房、红透山和阿舍勒铜矿深部采场3个工程,岩石破裂事件识别的准确率分别是85.98%、92.45%和91.06%,非岩石破裂事件滤除的准确率分别是72.06%、83.11%和49.87%。该算法使基于岩石破裂微震信息的岩石工程灾害自动分析与预警成为可能,具有重要意义。     

基于伪随机信号的磁电法渗漏模型试验

磁电法是近些年在国内兴起的一种电磁勘探方法,该方法在探测地下渗流等长走向的良导地质体方面具有技术优势,但是其抗干扰能力差,易受外部噪声影响,一直未能推广.近年来,伪随机信号在物探领域开始广泛应用,该技术通过对冲激响应及阶跃响应进行卷积运算来达到降噪目的 ,可极大地提升抗干扰能力,因此,本文结合磁电法的勘探原理及伪随机辨...     

Using LM‐OSL of quartz to distinguish sediments derived from surface‐soil and channel erosion

This study describes the use of linearly modulated optically stimulated luminescence (LM‐OSL) to distinguish surface‐soil derived sediments from those derived from channel bank erosion. LM‐OSL signals from quartz extracted from 15 surface‐soil and five channel bank samples were analysed and compared to signals from samples collected from two downstream river sites. Discriminant analysis showed that the detrapping probabilities of fast, first slow and second slow components of the LM‐OSL signal can be used to differentiate between the samples collected from the channel bank and surface‐soil sources. We show that for each of these source end members these components are all normally distributed. These distributions are then used to estimate the relative contribution of surface‐soil derived and channel bank derived sediment to the river bed sediments. The results indicate that channel bank derived sediments dominate the sediment sources at both sites, with 90.1 ± 3% and 91.9 ± 1.9% contributions. These results are in agreement with a previous study which used measurements of ¹³⁷Cs and ²¹⁰Pb_ex fallout radionuclides to estimate the relative contribution from these two sources. This result shows that LM‐OSL may be a useful method, at least in the studied catchment, to estimate the relative contribution of surface soil and channel erosion to river sediments. However, further research in different settings is required to test the difference of OSL signals in distinguishing these sediment sources. And if generally acceptable, this technique may provide an alternative to the use of fallout radionuclides for source tracing. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

北斗新一代试验星观测数据质量分析

5颗北斗新一代试验星搭载了包括B1C、B2a和B2b的诸多新体制民用信号,并且为了与北斗区域系统平稳过渡而搭载了B1I和B3I两个旧体制信号。采集了来自国内的6个监测站7 d的试验星观测数据,针对信号载噪比和码伪距多路径偏差分析了新一代试验星观测数据质量。结果表明,新一代试验星信号的各项指标整体较北斗区域系统卫星更好。前者载噪比较高,虽然仍发现了部分测站数据微小的多路径波动,但通过实时相位平滑伪距的方法可以很好地消除之;新一代试验星上B3I与B1I频点的载噪比最大,B2a和B2b次之,B1C的载噪比最小,且不同测站的观测结果存在明显差异;新一代试验星各频点的MP基本相同,但B2a、B2b和B3I频点MP的RMS明显小于B1I和B1C频点的结果。